Realized P&L
-$175
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
34.5%
Resolved
23
Trades
119
lifetime
Volume
$1.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$627
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 11-08 03:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
58% 38% -$57
Politics
35% 0% -$126
Crypto
5% 100% +$7
Sports
2% 100% +$1
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 9? No +142 $25 34¢ $48 +$23 11-07 17:47
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -1,175 -$41 3¢ $-34 +$7 10-16 00:21
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +270 $16 12¢ $31 +$15 11-07 18:44
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +47 $25 65¢ $31 +$6 11-07 18:47
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on November 9? No +38 $25 70¢ $27 +$2 11-08 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on November 9? No +36 $25 75¢ $27 +$2 11-07 18:41
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 9? No +35 $25 70¢ $24 -$1 11-07 16:18
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 9? No +29 $25 84¢ $24 -$1 11-08 01:39
Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 80k? No +46 $25 52¢ $24 -$1 11-08 01:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on November 9? No +47 $25 51¢ $24 -$1 11-07 16:43
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? No +62 $25 38¢ $24 -$1 11-07 23:48
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? Yes +70 $25 34¢ $24 -$1 11-07 18:45
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on November 9? No +47 $25 49¢ $23 -$2 11-08 00:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on November 9? No +35 $25 65¢ $23 -$2 11-07 16:41
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +32 $25 71¢ $23 -$2 11-07 18:43
Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +38 $25 59¢ $22 -$3 11-07 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 9? No +52 $25 42¢ $22 -$3 11-07 16:39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on November 9? No +41 $24 53¢ $22 -$3 11-07 22:43
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 9? No +50 $25 43¢ $22 -$4 11-07 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on November 9? No +38 $25 49¢ $19 -$6 11-07 22:42
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? No +17 $10 92¢ $16 +$6 11-05 22:39
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 9? Yes +85 $19 18¢ $15 -$3 11-07 23:40
Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? No +88 $16 16¢ $14 -$2 11-08 03:42
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings? No +25 $10 48¢ $12 +$2 11-05 14:40
Will UK annual inflation be between 4.0% and 4.2% in October? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 11-07 02:40
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 9? Yes +40 $10 24¢ $10 $0 11-07 17:40
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +90 $10 10¢ $9 -$1 11-08 02:45
Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings? No +24 $10 34¢ $8 -$2 11-05 19:40
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -200 -$14 4¢ $-7 +$7 10-16 00:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 9? Yes +42 $9 16¢ $7 -$2 11-08 01:42