Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

Trades

951

lifetime

Volume

$24.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-21 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-8

Politics

39% 100% +$13

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes		-20	$-10	36¢	$-7	+$3	06-02 13:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	10	$490	400	200	+200	open	—	02-16 05:12
will mike kafka be fired by february 28	5	$465	200	300	-100	open	—	01-10 15:41
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	13	$462	325	325	+0	open	—	06-19 06:11
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	7	$426	300	300	+0	open	—	02-07 08:53
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	16	$408	250	250	+0	open	—	03-18 13:43
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	13	$403	470	370	+100	open	—	03-18 13:45
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	9	$399	400	400	+0	open	—	06-19 06:24
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	4	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 14:51
will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on january 9 2026	2	$388	200	200	+0	open	—	01-03 13:47
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	7	$375	200	200	+0	open	—	01-12 05:00
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	18	$373	400	362	+38	open	—	02-07 08:47
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	5	$357	300	300	+0	open	—	06-10 13:31
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	4	$356	200	250	-50	open	—	03-11 14:09
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 80 99	7	$333	194	193	+1	open	—	02-23 12:38
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	6	$327	300	300	+0	open	—	06-21 14:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	10	$326	261	250	+11	open	—	04-25 04:01
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$324	200	200	+0	open	—	02-07 07:11
will trumps approval rating be between 42pt5 and 42pt9 on january 9 2026	3	$323	180	180	+0	open	—	01-03 13:47
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	4	$317	250	250	+0	open	—	04-01 03:35
will gas hit high 4pt50 by march 31	3	$315	150	220	-70	open	—	03-18 13:54
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$314	250	250	+0	open	—	03-16 10:54
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	17	$304	350	350	+0	open	—	04-13 14:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$297	200	250	-50	open	—	05-19 18:30
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	7	$294	350	350	+0	open	—	06-19 06:26
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	2	$291	100	200	-100	open	—	02-01 08:58
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	3	$290	100	200	-100	open	—	03-04 10:13
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	4	$283	147	150	-3	open	—	04-04 16:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	11	$282	400	400	+0	open	—	06-08 15:17
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	5	$278	230	230	+0	open	—	06-11 11:06
highest temperature in seoul on april 9 2026 13c	12	$267	218	300	-82	open	—	04-09 10:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 14:14:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	300	54¢	$162	0x260536…
06-21 11:14:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xaccdb9…
06-21 11:14:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	59	55¢	$32	0x244ade…
06-21 11:06:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	41	55¢	$23	0x98d84a…
06-21 10:53:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x89c7ab…
06-19 06:26:52	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	250	43¢	$107	0x9d4d9c…
06-19 06:24:47	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	143	89¢	$127	0x2e0e3a…
06-19 06:23:20	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	57	89¢	$50	0x476264…
06-19 06:11:31	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x4f7c35…
06-19 06:05:55	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	185	12¢	$22	0xff319d…
06-19 05:57:47	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xa26e79…
06-19 05:23:10	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x364e18…
06-19 04:44:32	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x820dc4…
06-19 04:42:23	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x229c30…
06-19 03:36:41	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xc97ec5…
06-19 03:35:49	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x8c46af…
06-19 03:35:38	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x74b3ab…
06-19 03:24:58	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x325859…
06-19 03:24:32	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x63c7fb…
06-19 03:24:31	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	54	11¢	$6	0xa2e399…
06-19 03:20:43	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x350e31…
06-18 06:41:31	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x97db17…
06-18 06:16:10	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xaf1339…
06-18 05:06:08	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	250	90¢	$225	0xa8ae48…
06-18 03:29:28	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	39	89¢	$35	0x0a51d2…
06-18 03:25:17	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	46	89¢	$41	0xbbdd37…
06-18 03:24:53	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x5b03b7…
06-18 03:23:32	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0x89c499…
06-18 03:22:59	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x8d46ca…
06-18 02:49:49	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xdcb933…
06-12 00:40:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xaf53b7…
06-12 00:40:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0xd95ce0…
06-11 12:43:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xd31e35…
06-11 11:06:16	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	SELL	150	86¢	$129	0x7ceb5a…
06-11 09:37:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x9b2a78…
06-11 08:54:49	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0xcb2ccb…
06-11 08:26:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0xdb114c…
06-11 07:40:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xf9fd07…
06-11 07:22:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x888565…
06-11 06:34:21	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd4dcb2…
06-11 06:18:19	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x75d786…
06-11 06:15:01	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xd7b4b1…
06-11 05:55:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x39a784…
06-10 13:31:13	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	300	61¢	$183	0x824cb6…
06-10 08:48:31	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0x202fb2…
06-10 06:10:13	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0xea3321…
06-08 15:17:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	345	34¢	$117	0xe4d11e…
06-08 14:43:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x00f930…
06-08 14:43:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x00faff…
06-08 11:32:42	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x3f6a08…
06-08 11:20:33	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0xee7a1c…
06-08 11:12:28	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	61	59¢	$36	0x3fe3ed…
06-08 10:50:25	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x0443a6…
06-08 10:47:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x2f2b04…
06-08 10:40:34	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xaa21e9…
06-08 10:39:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xd13fa7…
06-08 10:39:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xaab954…
06-08 10:38:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x830cc0…
06-08 10:38:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x6e1c1e…
06-08 10:38:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0xc16dc2…
06-08 10:36:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x279b2f…
06-08 10:36:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x3277cd…
06-02 13:53:05	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x415809…
06-01 13:56:41	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x4c2912…
06-01 13:46:23	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x377820…
06-01 13:41:43	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xf910fd…
06-01 13:03:15	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xf5eb03…
05-31 13:16:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	166	28¢	$46	0x225415…
05-31 07:56:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0x9989b2…
05-31 07:46:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x5e29f4…
05-31 07:28:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x21e10a…
05-31 07:26:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xe149c7…
05-31 07:26:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x1d0f9e…
05-31 07:00:05	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x78a880…
05-31 06:57:45	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x03a8d6…
05-31 04:31:01	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x579ad9…
05-29 15:06:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0xd6b191…
05-29 14:38:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	93	62¢	$58	0x5ded68…
05-29 14:38:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xe67f2f…
05-29 14:24:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa73607…
05-29 13:42:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x4228d7…
05-29 08:02:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xb8da15…
05-29 08:02:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x27ac50…
05-29 08:02:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x969153…
05-29 07:53:27	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x6340a9…
05-29 07:53:27	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x493a8a…
05-29 07:53:24	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x1ef074…
05-29 07:53:22	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xcb3ae7…
05-29 07:35:33	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x332179…
05-23 06:35:23	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	SELL	80	70¢	$56	0x808530…
05-23 03:53:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	150	38¢	$57	0x9302d6…
05-23 03:11:04	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb0a315…
05-23 03:10:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x672624…
05-23 03:01:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x698fb8…
05-23 02:59:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf44cb7…
05-23 02:59:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xda12ea…
05-23 02:59:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6ac321…
05-23 02:59:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc163e9…
05-23 02:59:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x9ca066…
05-21 16:36:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x857f9d…