Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

Trades

916

lifetime

Volume

$22.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$59

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-12 00:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-8

Politics

38% 100% +$13

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	+50	$44	86¢	$43	$-1	06-01 13:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	-20	$-10	44¢	$-9	+$2	06-02 13:53
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	+50	$6	14¢	$7	+$1	05-31 04:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	10	$490	400	200	+200	open	—	02-16 05:12
will mike kafka be fired by february 28	5	$465	200	300	-100	open	—	01-10 15:41
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	7	$426	300	300	+0	open	—	02-07 08:53
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	16	$408	250	250	+0	open	—	03-18 13:43
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	13	$403	470	370	+100	open	—	03-18 13:45
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	4	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 14:51
will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on january 9 2026	2	$388	200	200	+0	open	—	01-03 13:47
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	7	$375	200	200	+0	open	—	01-12 05:00
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	18	$373	400	362	+38	open	—	02-07 08:47
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	5	$357	300	300	+0	open	—	06-10 13:31
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	4	$356	200	250	-50	open	—	03-11 14:09
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 80 99	7	$333	194	193	+1	open	—	02-23 12:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	10	$326	261	250	+11	open	—	04-25 04:01
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$324	200	200	+0	open	—	02-07 07:11
will trumps approval rating be between 42pt5 and 42pt9 on january 9 2026	3	$323	180	180	+0	open	—	01-03 13:47
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	4	$317	250	250	+0	open	—	04-01 03:35
will gas hit high 4pt50 by march 31	3	$315	150	220	-70	open	—	03-18 13:54
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$314	250	250	+0	open	—	03-16 10:54
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	17	$304	350	350	+0	open	—	04-13 14:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$297	200	250	-50	open	—	05-19 18:30
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	2	$291	100	200	-100	open	—	02-01 08:58
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	3	$290	100	200	-100	open	—	03-04 10:13
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	4	$283	147	150	-3	open	—	04-04 16:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	11	$282	400	400	+0	open	—	06-08 15:17
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	5	$278	230	230	+0	open	—	06-11 11:06
highest temperature in seoul on april 9 2026 13c	12	$267	218	300	-82	open	—	04-09 10:39
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	9	$250	232	150	+82	Yes	+$13	03-10 08:41
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 30corhigher	6	$246	150	200	-50	open	—	04-09 08:15
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	8	$239	588	0	+588	open	—	02-22 06:56
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?	10	$230	120	138	-18	open	—	03-01 18:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 00:40:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xaf53b7…
06-12 00:40:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0xd95ce0…
06-11 12:43:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xd31e35…
06-11 11:06:16	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	SELL	150	86¢	$129	0x7ceb5a…
06-11 09:37:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x9b2a78…
06-11 08:54:49	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0xcb2ccb…
06-11 08:26:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0xdb114c…
06-11 07:40:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xf9fd07…
06-11 07:22:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x888565…
06-11 06:34:21	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd4dcb2…
06-11 06:18:19	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x75d786…
06-11 06:15:01	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xd7b4b1…
06-11 05:55:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x39a784…
06-10 13:31:13	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	300	61¢	$183	0x824cb6…
06-10 08:48:31	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0x202fb2…
06-10 06:10:13	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0xea3321…
06-08 15:17:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	345	34¢	$117	0xe4d11e…
06-08 14:43:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x00f930…
06-08 14:43:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x00faff…
06-08 11:32:42	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x3f6a08…
06-08 11:20:33	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0xee7a1c…
06-08 11:12:28	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	61	59¢	$36	0x3fe3ed…
06-08 10:50:25	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x0443a6…
06-08 10:47:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x2f2b04…
06-08 10:40:34	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xaa21e9…
06-08 10:39:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xd13fa7…
06-08 10:39:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xaab954…
06-08 10:38:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x830cc0…
06-08 10:38:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x6e1c1e…
06-08 10:38:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0xc16dc2…
06-08 10:36:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x279b2f…
06-08 10:36:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x3277cd…
06-02 13:53:05	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x415809…
06-01 13:56:41	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x4c2912…
06-01 13:46:23	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x377820…
06-01 13:41:43	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xf910fd…
06-01 13:03:15	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xf5eb03…
05-31 13:16:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	166	28¢	$46	0x225415…
05-31 07:56:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0x9989b2…
05-31 07:46:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x5e29f4…
05-31 07:28:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x21e10a…
05-31 07:26:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xe149c7…
05-31 07:26:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x1d0f9e…
05-31 07:00:05	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x78a880…
05-31 06:57:45	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x03a8d6…
05-31 04:31:01	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x579ad9…
05-29 15:06:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0xd6b191…
05-29 14:38:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	93	62¢	$58	0x5ded68…
05-29 14:38:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xe67f2f…
05-29 14:24:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa73607…
05-29 13:42:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x4228d7…
05-29 08:02:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xb8da15…
05-29 08:02:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x27ac50…
05-29 08:02:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x969153…
05-29 07:53:27	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x6340a9…
05-29 07:53:27	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x493a8a…
05-29 07:53:24	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x1ef074…
05-29 07:53:22	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xcb3ae7…
05-29 07:35:33	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x332179…
05-23 06:35:23	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	SELL	80	70¢	$56	0x808530…
05-23 03:53:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	150	38¢	$57	0x9302d6…
05-23 03:11:04	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb0a315…
05-23 03:10:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x672624…
05-23 03:01:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x698fb8…
05-23 02:59:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf44cb7…
05-23 02:59:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xda12ea…
05-23 02:59:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6ac321…
05-23 02:59:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc163e9…
05-23 02:59:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x9ca066…
05-21 16:36:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x857f9d…
05-21 11:00:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xf3a4db…
05-21 07:52:07	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x2df33c…
05-20 16:01:57	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	80	79¢	$63	0xc723be…
05-20 15:56:14	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x6c310f…
05-20 15:56:12	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xc1c9b6…
05-20 15:56:12	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x675517…
05-20 15:56:12	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x532d1c…
05-20 15:11:26	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x153cdf…
05-20 14:46:58	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xe1179b…
05-20 14:35:18	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x680085…
05-20 14:35:07	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xbfc4c9…
05-19 18:30:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0xaf6423…
05-19 14:11:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	SELL	300	55¢	$165	0x24342a…
05-19 13:25:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xf0cd7c…
05-19 13:25:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	44	51¢	$22	0x4cea78…
05-19 13:24:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x98a059…
05-19 13:23:25	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xbaf955…
05-19 13:23:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	46	51¢	$23	0x61be93…
05-19 11:47:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x71106a…
05-19 10:00:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x988d75…
05-19 08:37:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x2408cc…
05-19 07:29:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xc3bc72…
05-18 12:56:37	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x6a121c…
05-18 12:49:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xb0c828…
05-18 12:37:54	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x1152c5…
05-18 12:35:46	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x0844b3…
05-12 21:43:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	No	SELL	86	45¢	$39	0x307663…
05-12 21:27:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0xb24e74…
05-12 21:07:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	No	SELL	39	45¢	$18	0x0f55ea…
05-12 21:07:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	No	SELL	40	45¢	$18	0x8154f0…