Arid-Confusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

Trades

591

lifetime

Volume

$2.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-07 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	8	$34	47	47	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	6	$34	53	53	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	4	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	04-30 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$26	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$25	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$20	18	8	+10	open	—	05-04 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$19	19	7	+13	open	—	05-02 16:44
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	05-01 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$19	19	19	+0	Down	+$7	05-07 15:14
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$19	15	9	+6	open	—	05-02 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	04-30 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$17	18	12	+6	open	—	04-30 22:43
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$16	15	8	+7	open	—	04-30 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	04-30 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$15	78	11	+67	Down	$-1	05-06 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 22:27
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$14	13	6	+6	open	—	05-02 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$14	23	9	+14	Up	$-2	05-06 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 15:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x3fd3cc…
05-07 15:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x0e55c4…
05-07 15:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x8d3274…
05-07 15:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0x7b3a6e…
05-07 15:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0xf9810d…
05-07 15:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xf39dc5…
05-07 15:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xf4521b…
05-07 14:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x2949bb…
05-07 14:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0x12abd0…
05-07 14:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x39e9ce…
05-07 14:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xf847de…
05-07 14:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x977419…
05-07 14:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xa274a4…
05-07 14:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x80337c…
05-07 14:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x6a599c…
05-07 14:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0xee4db9…
05-07 14:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x6bfef9…
05-07 14:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xf514a5…
05-07 14:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xc220b5…
05-07 14:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xb63c0f…
05-07 14:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xe712c6…
05-07 14:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x8bd0f6…
05-07 14:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x4f980f…
05-07 14:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x491208…
05-07 14:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x8e3173…
05-07 14:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2e78e3…
05-07 14:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xea33c3…
05-07 14:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8ab0a7…
05-07 14:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x2fe3f7…
05-06 15:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xb224bc…
05-06 15:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa51711…
05-06 15:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x551e18…
05-06 15:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xde8434…
05-06 15:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x6ce11c…
05-06 15:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x0e9910…
05-06 15:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0xbcaca5…
05-06 15:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x2a707e…
05-06 15:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	70¢	$7	0xa2d01b…
05-06 15:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x5777ad…
05-06 15:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x2cf731…
05-06 15:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x149c31…
05-06 15:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xb036a7…
05-06 15:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xfded4d…
05-06 14:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0xf280e7…
05-06 14:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x569b21…
05-06 14:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0xe3bf0a…
05-06 14:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xbd28eb…
05-06 14:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xefa551…
05-06 14:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xc83f9d…
05-06 14:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x58bda2…
05-06 14:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xb3c36a…
05-06 14:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x40ba3e…
05-06 01:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0xda4593…
05-06 01:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xda726c…
05-06 01:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x9db41a…
05-05 22:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x151f4e…
05-05 22:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	93¢	$9	0x50ad77…
05-05 22:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x31de74…
05-05 22:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0x69fc3e…
05-05 22:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2a9e71…
05-05 22:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x6447ed…
05-05 22:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x6cec4f…
05-05 22:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0x61621f…
05-05 22:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x0076a0…
05-05 22:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x53e15a…
05-05 22:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x5fb593…
05-05 22:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0xc45792…
05-05 22:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xcdd134…
05-05 22:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x7f8914…
05-05 22:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x39f265…
05-05 22:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0xf8d0fe…
05-05 22:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xdb35ac…
05-05 21:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x94a02e…
05-05 21:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x7f8fac…
05-05 21:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xa51a37…
05-05 21:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xe2bb01…
05-05 21:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x85423a…
05-05 21:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0xff483c…
05-05 21:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xb15995…
05-05 21:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x460106…
05-05 21:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x3fc5ee…
05-05 21:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x81c1fe…
05-05 21:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x2d1926…
05-05 21:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x78ba9e…
05-05 21:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x32cc38…
05-05 21:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x5fc9c9…
05-05 21:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x63d6de…
05-05 21:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xb0d4ac…
05-05 21:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xbe7319…
05-05 21:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x746872…
05-05 21:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x747676…
05-05 14:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x9f9a03…
05-05 14:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x29dd8b…
05-05 14:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xac1644…
05-05 14:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xdb5945…
05-05 14:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x4f6848…
05-05 14:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x444ada…
05-05 14:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x82724f…
05-05 14:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x877dd4…
05-04 20:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xbaa182…