Demanding-Step — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

7,287

Trades

10,140

lifetime

Volume

$48.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 07:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 86% -$133

Other

4% 75% -$11

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 12?	6	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$2	06-12 07:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 00:10 UTC	3	$141	144	65	+79	Up	-$37	06-24 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:25 UTC	11	$113	79	79	+0	Up	+$3	08-20 05:28
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 18?	3	$107	54	54	+0	No	+$1	06-17 20:06
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 20?	2	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$2	06-20 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-18 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 12?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-12 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 12?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-12 00:36
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 22?	6	$92	46	46	+0	No	+$0	06-22 10:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:50 UTC	3	$91	81	81	+0	Down	+$31	06-23 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:45 UTC	5	$83	62	62	+0	Up	-$7	08-20 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$77	58	55	+3	Down	+$14	09-05 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:40 UTC	3	$72	51	46	+5	Up	+$8	08-20 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 9?	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$1	06-09 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:10 UTC	9	$66	51	51	+0	Up	+$6	08-20 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$1	06-14 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$57	38	38	+0	Up	-$3	09-05 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:20 UTC	3	$56	45	40	+5	Down	+$12	08-19 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:20 UTC	4	$55	49	49	+0	Up	+$15	06-23 23:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 02:25 UTC	3	$55	30	30	+0	Up	+$4	08-23 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:25 UTC	3	$55	40	32	+7	Up	+$12	08-19 08:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:10 UTC	2	$52	34	34	+0	Down	+$12	06-28 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 16:00 UTC	2	$51	39	39	+0	Down	+$11	06-23 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 17?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-17 16:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:30 UTC	5	$49	42	42	+0	Down	+$9	06-23 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 16:50 UTC	2	$49	31	31	+0	Down	+$9	06-23 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 09:00 UTC	2	$49	34	34	+0	Up	+$9	08-19 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?	2	$48	29	19	+10	No	+$0	06-28 14:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 16:20 UTC	2	$47	39	39	+0	Up	+$7	07-19 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:55 UTC	2	$47	36	36	+0	Down	+$7	08-18 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa678cf…
10-27 18:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6cf4b5…
10-27 09:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd91dd0…
10-27 04:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0102f5…
10-25 05:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb4485c…
10-25 04:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd02e49…
10-25 01:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x83b74e…
10-25 00:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x06ca81…
10-24 19:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc8d950…
10-24 11:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaaee8d…
10-24 06:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x0dedd9…
10-22 23:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x15bac8…
10-22 22:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5e5be8…
10-22 20:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x400628…
10-22 06:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2a3233…
10-22 06:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb9bad…
10-21 21:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc00c91…
10-21 17:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x82410c…
10-21 17:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x641d08…
10-20 11:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x97f647…
10-19 22:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1345fa…
10-19 19:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4695af…
10-18 07:54:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1dc378…
10-18 05:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4734dd…
10-17 21:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0b9f1a…
10-17 20:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe08106…
10-17 20:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1648c5…
10-17 17:59:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd311c9…
10-17 14:14:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5051e2…
10-17 13:49:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xccc412…
10-17 12:54:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x182769…
10-17 11:29:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc23f74…
10-17 09:39:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1bacb1…
10-17 03:59:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x11194d…
10-17 03:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x62876a…
10-17 02:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x47dc59…
10-17 00:39:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe6ef1a…
10-16 23:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0c13d0…
10-16 22:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x329218…
10-14 04:59:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfa1507…
10-13 22:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7ac47c…
10-13 21:29:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x326f84…
10-12 15:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x44805f…
10-11 21:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x01d2a4…
10-11 15:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb004af…
10-11 12:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3bd6ca…
10-11 05:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x25ff9e…
10-11 02:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x38f097…
10-10 23:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x69be2c…
10-10 23:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x83bc77…
10-10 22:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7c4fa2…
10-10 22:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc34353…
10-10 19:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x43495a…
10-10 17:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x767feb…
10-10 13:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x75fd99…
10-10 12:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1e115f…
10-10 09:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa52c62…
10-10 08:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf8ca6e…
10-10 06:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1561b5…
10-10 05:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x916be4…
10-10 04:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x99e395…
10-10 03:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8c8906…
10-10 03:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6f11d6…
10-09 21:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x310130…
10-07 22:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf92189…
10-07 21:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x17c3e5…
10-07 20:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x3a1154…
10-07 18:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x13922a…
10-07 17:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x72822f…
10-07 16:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x915c80…
10-07 14:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x4ec1ef…
10-07 13:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x989697…
10-07 13:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x7df2ec…
10-07 10:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x2ee4b9…
10-07 06:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xbd4836…
10-06 05:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xa071fa…
10-06 05:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x78b6fa…
10-06 05:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x1ef0df…
10-06 04:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x4db23f…
10-06 04:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x39f2b5…
10-06 04:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x68047f…
10-06 03:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa44309…
10-06 02:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf4c41b…
10-06 02:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x071dc1…
10-06 01:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x766850…
10-06 01:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x13d509…
10-06 01:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xa3769b…
10-06 01:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd47bae…
10-06 01:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xa7b3ef…
10-06 00:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x3d9994…
10-06 00:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x16e229…
10-05 23:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc91509…
10-05 23:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xee9aab…
10-05 22:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb3d39f…
10-05 22:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x22e4ae…
10-05 21:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x941b7b…
10-05 21:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x972acc…
10-05 21:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5044c7…
10-05 21:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x2e4fa2…
10-05 20:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x50219d…