Distinct-Fabric — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$216

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.8%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$23.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$206

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-09 05:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 91% -$3

Other

40% 81% -$1

Politics

18% 0% -$2

Tech

1% 67% -$10

Sports

1% 75% +$233

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$4.4K	2,214	2,214	+0	No	-$2	02-05 10:21
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$4.3K	2,174	2,170	+4	Yes	+$0	02-03 10:08
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	2	$4.3K	2,172	2,167	+6	No	-$2	02-03 10:24
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	3	$4.3K	2,169	2,169	-0	No	-$2	02-05 10:21
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	3	$4.3K	2,149	2,149	+0	No	-$2	02-05 10:21
Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	09-03 03:18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11?	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	10-09 05:53
will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	07-22 05:50
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	1	$101	101	0	+101	No	+$0	07-22 05:50
will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	1	$83	83	0	+83	No	+$0	07-22 05:50
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$61	288	0	+288	Yes	+$227	07-14 05:57
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$49	0	53	-53	No	-$4	03-07 03:38
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	2	$48	25	23	+2	No	$0	05-11 03:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	2	$39	20	19	+1	No	+$0	05-28 05:52
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	2	$37	20	17	+3	No	+$0	05-20 07:18
will blkpik release an album by february 28	2	$34	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	01-30 02:00
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$29	15	14	+1	No	+$0	05-28 05:52
si above 40 jan 2026	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	01-30 02:00
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	02-10 08:07
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	08-03 04:14
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$22	12	10	+2	No	+$0	03-31 01:48
will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	08-03 04:14
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	$0	02-10 08:07
will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	08-03 04:13
will solana dip to 10 in august 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	08-03 04:15
will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-10 08:07
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	08-25 03:40
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$19	10	9	+1	No	$0	03-20 07:23
will alibaba have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$19	10	9	+1	No	$0	03-20 07:23
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$17	9	8	+1	No	+$0	03-31 01:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 05:53:53	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xaece5f…
09-03 03:18:00	Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x83b85b…
08-25 03:40:03	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb3452c…
08-03 04:15:29	will solana dip to 10 in august 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9c900b…
08-03 04:14:42	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3e79d4…
08-03 04:14:20	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4aa915…
08-03 04:13:53	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x60d9ee…
07-22 05:50:57	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x20de23…
07-22 05:50:36	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x875008…
07-22 05:50:10	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x53dc46…
07-14 05:57:28	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	288	21¢	$61	0x29ab15…
06-20 06:52:07	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x3fef21…
06-20 06:51:46	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x82584e…
06-20 06:51:38	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4bd1c6…
06-20 06:51:26	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xa81902…
06-20 06:51:19	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x6f4251…
06-20 06:51:07	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xa10672…
06-20 06:50:58	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xcadac6…
06-20 06:50:50	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x73f332…
06-20 06:50:41	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x55358d…
06-20 06:50:32	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x142bc9…
06-11 07:13:52	Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x31ad64…
06-11 07:13:24	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xfaf82a…
06-11 07:13:01	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf6deb0…
06-04 07:31:28	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x86676b…
06-04 07:31:07	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9a951d…
06-04 07:30:45	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2820ae…
06-04 07:30:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x217b0a…
06-04 07:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x714642…
05-28 05:55:06	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x8fa137…
05-28 05:54:42	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x78f811…
05-28 05:54:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97f5dc…
05-28 05:52:59	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1cc953…
05-28 05:52:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x7c7366…
05-20 07:22:33	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xad9da0…
05-20 07:22:19	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x385bdc…
05-20 07:21:58	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x90ed36…
05-20 07:18:10	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd81492…
05-11 03:19:12	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7c130b…
05-11 03:19:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7f7861…
05-11 03:18:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc49c4f…
05-11 03:07:17	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x79074d…
05-05 10:02:18	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4bd8b1…
05-05 10:00:16	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5ef0e0…
05-05 09:59:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xce0ab4…
04-09 03:27:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 460 479	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x75c54b…
04-09 03:27:39	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 360 379	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb2e7b9…
04-03 01:16:39	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8ff0cc…
04-03 01:16:23	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x242735…
04-03 01:15:59	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x24639f…
03-31 01:54:29	bitcoin above 80k on april 1	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8ed92b…
03-31 01:54:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe5c99d…
03-31 01:48:25	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd2fdae…
03-31 01:48:17	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb3919b…
03-31 01:48:11	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9b740d…
03-30 07:19:56	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc4d9c2…
03-30 07:19:36	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 520 539	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x61c5a5…
03-20 07:24:13	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6eccd4…
03-20 07:24:07	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe8d64f…
03-20 07:23:47	will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1eab57…
03-20 07:23:37	will alibaba have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x905f4c…
03-20 07:23:29	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5f626f…
03-13 07:42:51	will alibaba have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15ad78…
03-13 07:42:43	will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xec983d…
03-13 07:42:33	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce7f85…
03-13 07:42:27	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c0da8…
03-07 03:40:17	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x06e429…
03-07 03:40:05	will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe76eff…
03-07 03:39:47	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaac58a…
03-07 03:39:29	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9e8ded…
03-07 03:39:15	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x418467…
03-07 03:39:07	ethereum above 1700 on march 7	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97467e…
03-07 03:38:47	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x36cf0c…
02-10 08:14:51	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 10	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x605ffa…
02-10 08:14:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 10	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8ded4d…
02-10 08:14:21	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2c0357…
02-10 08:14:07	will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4041d8…
02-10 08:07:55	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x98e36d…
02-10 08:07:51	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcacb4d…
02-10 08:07:45	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4a1de1…
02-05 10:24:57	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbfe397…
02-05 10:24:41	will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	No	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x02debc…
02-05 10:24:21	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb3124e…
02-05 10:24:01	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1eb83a…
02-05 10:21:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x238ca2…
02-05 10:21:27	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xfb018c…
02-05 10:21:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x7ec606…
02-03 11:05:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2,140	100¢	$2,134	0x4f95b5…
02-03 10:46:56	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2,149	100¢	$2,145	0x2117a6…
02-03 10:40:56	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	SELL	2,156	99¢	$2,145	0x46c7d2…
02-03 10:29:02	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	2,169	100¢	$2,160	0xbde0b8…
02-03 10:24:14	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	SELL	2,167	100¢	$2,160	0x6668c3…
02-03 10:14:20	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	2,172	100¢	$2,168	0xba1b1a…
02-03 10:08:48	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	2,170	100¢	$2,168	0x849841…
02-03 04:15:10	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	2,174	100¢	$2,172	0xc91170…
02-03 04:11:42	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	2,200	99¢	$2,172	0x4d4a4f…
02-03 03:56:36	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2,214	99¢	$2,187	0x0c0c1e…
01-30 02:14:42	elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 40 64	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbbb717…
01-30 02:14:26	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 100 119	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xda20e1…
01-30 02:14:06	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 480 499	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x48b840…