Thorny-Consistency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

+$56

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$136

Open exposure

$58

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down		+154	$2	38¢	$58	+$56	05-05 21:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$206	0	208	-208	Up	$-2	05-05 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$201	203	0	+203	Down	+$2	05-05 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$192	211	0	+211	Up	+$19	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$153	157	0	+157	open	—	05-05 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$152	154	0	+154	open	—	05-05 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$151	153	0	+153	open	—	05-05 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$150	152	0	+152	open	—	05-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$150	154	0	+154	open	—	05-05 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$3	154	0	+154	open	—	05-05 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$2	154	0	+154	open	—	05-05 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x5db32b…
05-05 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	157	98¢	$153	0xd5aca2…
05-05 18:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0x594742…
05-05 17:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	153	99¢	$151	0xc3078c…
05-05 16:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x7b2088…
05-05 16:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	154	2¢	$3	0x20bbcd…
05-05 13:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	154	98¢	$150	0xa433c2…
05-05 04:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	208	99¢	$206	0x70143c…
05-05 00:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	203	99¢	$201	0x4b4e37…
05-04 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	211	91¢	$192	0xe66f73…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Even-Mutton 0xe8fb…a72f	9	$1.80K	9	05-05 21:04
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	9	$1.65K	32	05-05 20:01
Sore-Newspaper 0xc8e3…b4b0	9	$1.37K	9	05-05 21:04
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	8	$5.82K	25	05-05 21:00
Impressionable-Captor 0x0066…5bb9	8	$1.53K	8	05-05 20:03
Warped-Trip 0x1970…ae4b	8	$1.49K	8	05-05 21:04
Embellished-Reaction 0x7e5c…9554	8	$994	8	05-05 21:04
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	5	$960	11	05-05 21:04