Athletic-Illusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$235

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

466

Trades

2,605

lifetime

Volume

$64.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-17 11:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 60% -$244

Tech

1% 100% +$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	17	$1.0K	2,571	0	+2,571	Up	+$16	05-12 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	16	$885	2,049	0	+2,049	Down	+$48	05-12 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	14	$875	992	0	+992	Up	+$117	05-11 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	16	$755	1,310	0	+1,310	Up	+$55	05-12 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	14	$725	807	0	+807	Down	+$82	05-12 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	18	$686	840	0	+840	Up	+$153	05-12 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	18	$675	691	0	+691	Up	+$16	05-12 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	21	$655	705	0	+705	Up	+$50	05-12 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	13	$624	328	328	+0	Up	+$24	05-12 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	12	$587	315	315	+0	Down	+$37	05-12 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	10	$550	1,043	0	+1,043	Down	-$550	05-13 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	16	$510	573	0	+573	Up	+$62	05-10 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	12	$485	1,040	0	+1,040	Down	+$55	05-12 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	18	$480	526	0	+526	Up	+$46	05-10 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	13	$455	508	0	+508	Down	+$53	05-11 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	18	$450	469	0	+469	Down	+$19	05-10 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	12	$445	528	0	+528	Down	+$83	05-11 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	10	$437	234	234	+0	Up	+$27	05-12 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	12	$430	467	0	+467	Down	+$37	05-10 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	18	$430	1,006	0	+1,006	Down	+$76	05-11 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	11	$425	956	0	+956	Up	-$68	05-13 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	8	$425	464	0	+464	Up	+$39	05-10 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	11	$425	548	0	+548	Up	+$123	05-12 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	12	$410	972	0	+972	Up	+$62	05-12 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	18	$410	432	0	+432	Down	+$1	05-11 20:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	4	$409	249	249	+0	Yes	+$9	05-14 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	10	$400	443	0	+443	Down	+$43	05-12 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	18	$397	739	0	+739	Down	+$91	05-11 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	9	$396	218	218	+0	Down	+$36	05-12 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	13	$375	421	0	+421	Down	-$10	05-10 12:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 11:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4ffec2…
05-17 10:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2a27e2…
05-17 10:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa5b35a…
05-17 10:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x737a06…
05-17 10:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x6e143c…
05-17 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	119	3¢	$3	0xd60445…
05-17 10:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x30174f…
05-16 10:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x750cd8…
05-16 10:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x873e51…
05-16 10:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbdea42…
05-16 09:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x50ca5c…
05-16 09:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x94c81b…
05-16 09:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x113e0a…
05-16 09:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x4cd35d…
05-16 09:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x0e4bed…
05-16 09:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	108	3¢	$3	0x28ab7a…
05-16 09:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x810954…
05-16 08:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x7137ab…
05-15 23:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xeaacc9…
05-15 23:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x070a68…
05-15 23:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x31153f…
05-15 23:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1989bd…
05-15 23:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x0840d3…
05-15 23:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd00623…
05-15 23:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x085ad1…
05-15 17:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x2bb18c…
05-15 15:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x7d006c…
05-15 15:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	59	5¢	$3	0x99e560…
05-15 15:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3ee857…
05-15 14:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x39d2f1…
05-15 14:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x37862f…
05-15 14:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xca8504…
05-15 14:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x406cd2…
05-15 12:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xb5ad37…
05-15 12:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xef6dad…
05-15 11:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x1f0f7a…
05-15 11:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x1c5db1…
05-15 11:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x348630…
05-15 11:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x02c96c…
05-15 11:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfd076d…
05-15 11:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x547459…
05-15 11:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8065ea…
05-15 11:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdf25a9…
05-15 11:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc1184e…
05-15 10:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x08eeb1…
05-15 09:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3ec23b…
05-14 23:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xb88e7c…
05-14 23:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x889e23…
05-14 23:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xb4c2fe…
05-14 23:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x08b127…
05-14 23:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd29e8f…
05-14 23:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x43cb1c…
05-14 23:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5fe33b…
05-14 23:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb6ec4e…
05-14 22:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xde9272…
05-14 22:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9d77ec…
05-14 22:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xbc6eb4…
05-14 22:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xebc33d…
05-14 22:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x98ee18…
05-14 22:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x222de3…
05-14 21:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfb4a87…
05-14 20:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1d3587…
05-14 20:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x05b65d…
05-14 20:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf43804…
05-14 16:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8893a5…
05-14 16:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x465a43…
05-14 16:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdb51a5…
05-14 15:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x611951…
05-14 15:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x70a337…
05-14 15:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe04509…
05-14 15:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1b694e…
05-14 15:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x1f2649…
05-14 15:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa1b780…
05-14 15:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb3fc57…
05-14 15:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc8ec1d…
05-14 15:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x213d68…
05-14 15:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xa35e0d…
05-14 15:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xc24a46…
05-14 15:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x5cfabb…
05-14 15:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xc7f871…
05-14 15:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xacca28…
05-14 15:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0x48b047…
05-14 15:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xd5c1dc…
05-14 15:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xe9e7a2…
05-14 15:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x2824ae…
05-14 15:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xdc1e3c…
05-14 15:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x07c3dd…
05-14 15:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x3bca8d…
05-14 14:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xfe9200…
05-14 14:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xedfa9e…
05-14 14:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x37a357…
05-14 14:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xe1ad45…
05-14 14:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x63449f…
05-14 13:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdbe529…
05-14 13:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	19¢	$10	0x051fde…
05-14 12:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x23b456…
05-14 12:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x3557a3…
05-14 12:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	139	99¢	$138	0xd8c88a…
05-14 11:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xa5fb7f…
05-14 11:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x913a97…