Peaceful-Outlaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

203

Trades

344

lifetime

Volume

$1.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 11-01 11:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:15 UTC	3	$60	71	40	+31	Down	+$3	04-18 03:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 02:30 UTC	5	$52	49	47	+2	Down	+$14	04-18 02:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:45 UTC	5	$41	49	41	+8	Up	+$12	04-18 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:00 UTC	2	$37	45	43	+2	Up	+$9	04-18 01:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:30 UTC	2	$34	22	22	+1	Down	+$5	04-18 03:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 00:15 UTC	2	$28	29	27	+1	Down	+$10	04-16 00:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 01:45 UTC	5	$28	39	27	+13	Down	+$14	04-15 02:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 02:15 UTC	2	$23	20	19	+1	Up	+$3	04-16 02:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 19:45 UTC	2	$23	31	29	+2	Up	+$7	04-17 19:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 01:30 UTC	2	$22	24	23	+1	Up	+$2	04-16 01:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 01:45 UTC	2	$22	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	04-16 01:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:45 UTC	2	$20	16	15	+1	Down	+$5	04-18 03:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 05:15 UTC	1	$19	35	0	+35	Down	-$19	04-18 05:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 00:45 UTC	2	$18	18	17	+1	Up	+$3	04-16 00:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 17:15 UTC	2	$17	18	17	+1	Down	+$0	04-17 05:27
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	2	$16	65	60	+5	No	+$12	04-17 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 15:30 UTC	2	$16	16	15	+1	Down	$0	04-17 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:15 UTC	3	$15	21	16	+5	Down	-$1	04-18 01:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 02:00 UTC	4	$15	32	24	+8	Up	+$2	04-18 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$11	05-18 11:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 00:30 UTC	2	$12	100	93	+7	Down	+$2	04-18 00:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 13:15 UTC	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	04-15 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	05-18 13:14
bitcoin above 74k on april 15	7	$11	16	13	+3	No	+$1	04-14 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$10	17	17	+0	Down	+$4	05-18 13:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:30 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	04-18 01:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 04:00 UTC	2	$9	9	8	+1	Up	+$8	04-14 04:15
bitcoin above 72k on april 8	2	$9	55	51	+4	No	+$1	04-07 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$9	18	13	+5	Up	+$1	05-18 13:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 02:15 UTC	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	04-15 02:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 11:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf33212…
11-01 11:09:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x9c0964…
05-18 14:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xfa89aa…
05-18 14:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xa37042…
05-18 14:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xa2c71d…
05-18 14:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x76aaf7…
05-18 14:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0xa0663e…
05-18 14:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x5213fc…
05-18 13:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x0a5430…
05-18 13:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xaf1df5…
05-18 13:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x8479da…
05-18 13:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc4dec0…
05-18 13:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0xfbcdfb…
05-18 13:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xa4b36a…
05-18 13:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x15e73e…
05-18 13:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xf39db5…
05-18 13:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x28b32b…
05-18 13:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x578ce2…
05-18 13:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa24ced…
05-18 13:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdae6be…
05-18 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf1e6e6…
05-18 13:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x46a97f…
05-18 13:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xab7b4d…
05-18 13:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x6c73de…
05-18 13:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x8a24c7…
05-18 13:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9abc91…
05-18 13:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xe8fdef…
05-18 13:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x1daaab…
05-18 13:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8e3d6b…
05-18 13:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc63661…
05-18 13:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa8794b…
05-18 12:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa9473b…
05-18 12:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3750b4…
05-18 12:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x292ed1…
05-18 12:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x043010…
05-18 12:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x47ccac…
05-18 12:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xbb2755…
05-18 12:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc93bc0…
05-18 12:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3c4ff4…
05-18 12:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf4cb09…
05-18 12:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x304a3c…
05-18 12:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6b34c0…
05-18 12:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xae3224…
05-18 12:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8d505f…
05-18 12:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$1	0x7aa021…
05-18 12:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x022d31…
05-18 12:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x29270b…
05-18 12:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa09253…
05-18 12:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0x9473d5…
05-18 12:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x64c05c…
05-18 11:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xae90a4…
05-18 11:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xb4dfca…
05-18 11:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb6b841…
05-18 11:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7f75bc…
05-18 11:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe176fc…
05-18 11:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	93¢	$12	0x10e99a…
05-18 11:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa382ba…
05-18 02:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x47284d…
04-18 05:18:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0xb2e451…
04-18 05:01:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x5ffdc1…
04-18 04:02:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xc35782…
04-18 03:53:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x27766e…
04-18 03:47:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xb791f1…
04-18 03:44:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:30 UTC	Down	SELL	22	87¢	$19	0x005b28…
04-18 03:32:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x3ae3c8…
04-18 03:22:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xad1db2…
04-18 03:21:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0x1c75b8…
04-18 03:17:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x9ad4ad…
04-18 03:12:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x8a3e0d…
04-18 02:39:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x7c8c04…
04-18 02:37:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x5e1e36…
04-18 02:37:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	32	65¢	$21	0x4c6103…
04-18 02:34:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xeb633c…
04-18 02:34:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x95ddb5…
04-18 02:12:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcc9d1b…
04-18 02:10:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4b6b30…
04-18 02:07:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0x67483f…
04-18 02:02:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x089e77…
04-18 01:59:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x26d885…
04-18 01:59:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	13	80¢	$11	0x121e73…
04-18 01:55:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf05882…
04-18 01:53:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:45 UTC	Down	SELL	28	55¢	$15	0xa8f8d7…
04-18 01:49:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0xd8b235…
04-18 01:32:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc9d884…
04-18 01:27:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7a8fa1…
04-18 01:25:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:15 UTC	Up	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0x4892c0…
04-18 01:17:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x4467a1…
04-18 01:03:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	43	50¢	$22	0xfea556…
04-18 01:02:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x23dcba…
04-18 00:51:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x608253…
04-18 00:39:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	93	8¢	$7	0x385ffb…
04-18 00:36:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xeec1dd…
04-17 20:49:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xd8ccf9…
04-17 19:53:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	29	49¢	$14	0x2003c7…
04-17 19:48:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0xf825b9…
04-17 15:13:36	bitcoin above 76k on april 17	No	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x561e96…
04-17 14:04:12	bitcoin above 76k on april 17	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xaa029f…
04-17 14:03:40	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	Yes	SELL	169	1¢	$2	0x4d27a5…
04-17 13:57:42	bitcoin above 78k on april 17	Yes	SELL	60	24¢	$14	0xa1f627…
04-17 12:13:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x622a06…