Filthy-Dawn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$199

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 11-07 16:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Sports

51% 100% +$110

Politics

33% 100% +$0

Other

15% 93% +$0

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-2,850	-$23	0¢	$-4	+$19	05-18 23:30
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?	No		+1	$1	99¢	$1	$0	11-07 16:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 16:08:18	Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc263c…
10-20 17:36:12	Will "expectations - Olivia Rodrigo, Chappell Roan" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59bd1d…
09-06 12:56:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x68ec52…
08-07 14:02:19	atp tien paul 2026 08 07	Tommy Paul	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x5b5ab8…
07-21 14:18:39	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3,121	0¢	$16	0xd35c95…
07-09 08:33:02	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x917c9c…
07-04 11:36:22	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8a26d8…
07-03 18:33:08	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xeff5a9…
07-02 19:34:43	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x589a94…
06-19 16:04:08	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	3,121	1¢	$22	0xc266af…
05-19 17:08:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0ef89c…
05-19 17:07:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x597a00…
05-19 17:07:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xafd5b0…
05-19 17:07:04	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x38081e…
05-19 17:06:50	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6dc90…
05-19 17:06:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x40764d…
05-19 17:05:40	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4bcd41…
05-19 17:05:24	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x02b55a…
05-19 17:05:10	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfb457d…
05-19 17:04:44	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68aceb…
05-19 17:04:31	Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4b20f5…
05-19 17:04:14	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x953e7b…
05-19 17:03:04	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d4fbd…
05-18 23:30:02	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xb56619…
05-18 23:28:57	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0x8a1a5c…
05-18 23:28:54	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	102	1¢	$1	0x12ff99…
05-18 23:04:45	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x36d4fb…
05-18 22:56:38	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xcf547a…
05-18 22:53:08	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x2377b0…
05-18 22:52:52	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x02f705…
05-18 22:43:52	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xf50674…
05-18 22:43:08	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	78	1¢	$1	0x031534…
05-18 22:12:30	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	187	1¢	$1	0x7f0ff4…
05-18 22:04:50	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xb02e14…
05-18 22:04:33	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x675f90…
05-18 22:04:24	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	142	1¢	$1	0x80e02d…
05-18 21:53:22	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x2d6b37…
05-18 21:51:30	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xefb73b…
05-18 21:32:22	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xf8f7d3…
05-18 21:05:45	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x59975b…
05-18 21:00:26	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xae01d3…
05-18 20:47:05	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	245	1¢	$2	0x5700b4…
05-18 20:34:27	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x73bed7…
05-18 20:29:42	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xc28998…
05-18 20:25:52	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0x4f0ef5…
05-18 19:34:27	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xd59994…
05-18 19:29:07	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x942de6…
05-18 18:52:22	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	46	1¢	$0	0xd670e7…
05-18 18:51:49	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xa6d972…
05-18 18:51:33	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xc08465…
05-18 18:39:02	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc061ae…
05-18 18:31:39	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,015	1¢	$8	0x9c9af8…
05-18 18:26:37	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xac5e3b…
05-18 18:14:27	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xd3ea94…
05-18 18:04:02	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x528d11…
05-18 18:03:59	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x096ad3…
05-18 17:38:27	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa3541f…
05-18 17:04:22	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x03f7e2…
05-18 16:57:27	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	219	1¢	$2	0xecafae…
05-18 16:48:14	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xfcb9be…
05-18 16:43:27	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4d131b…
05-18 16:36:09	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa10817…
05-18 16:29:13	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xfa9971…
05-18 16:21:31	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x718d10…
05-18 16:05:46	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x949785…
05-18 15:49:43	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x487f0e…
05-18 15:45:30	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xc6487f…
05-18 15:43:32	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xc3cb9e…
05-18 15:38:10	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x2c584b…
05-18 15:34:14	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	96	1¢	$1	0x035a41…
05-18 15:21:24	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x2a1850…
05-18 15:20:21	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	52	1¢	$0	0x8b2f0a…
05-18 15:12:58	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x0f61d2…
05-18 15:11:26	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xb525b9…
05-18 15:05:36	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9abe27…
05-18 15:03:00	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xc3b157…
05-18 14:56:09	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	94	1¢	$1	0x54a8bb…
05-18 14:51:25	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xa1ff99…
05-18 14:51:20	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	226	1¢	$2	0x819275…
05-18 14:51:11	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x34b196…
05-18 14:51:09	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x91b3e1…
03-01 14:03:31	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 420 439	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa13084…
03-01 14:03:01	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 20 39	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x789492…
03-01 13:56:45	nba mem ind 2026 03 01	Grizzlies	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x86bba5…
03-01 13:56:37	nba mem ind 2026 03 01	Grizzlies	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0xaeb5f8…
03-01 13:52:33	nba mem ind 2026 03 01	Grizzlies	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x2aadd0…
03-01 13:52:27	nba mem ind 2026 03 01	Grizzlies	BUY	82	48¢	$39	0x84f707…
03-01 13:23:57	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04fe49…
03-01 13:23:43	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 560 579	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3212cb…
03-01 13:23:11	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x89fb57…
03-01 13:23:01	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 80 99	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x32c92c…
03-01 13:22:37	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 560 579	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9da6f9…
03-01 13:22:23	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x39b36f…
03-01 13:22:07	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 100 119	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe3517e…
03-01 13:21:53	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 80 99	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6af67b…
03-01 13:21:41	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 60 79	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe9e5bc…
03-01 13:21:23	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 40 59	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x471d62…
01-25 09:49:12	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf09e55…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba mem ind 2026 03 01	4	$102	212	0	+212	Grizzlies	+$110	03-01 13:56
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$37	3,121	3,121	+0	open	—	07-21 14:18
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	58	$23	0	2,850	-2,850	open	—	05-18 23:30
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	1	$2	3	0	+3	Cabo Verde	+$1	07-03 18:33
atp tien paul 2026 08 07	1	$2	3	0	+3	Learner Tien	-$2	08-07 14:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-19 17:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-06 12:56
Will "expectations - Olivia Rodrigo, Chappell Roan" be the #1 US song this week?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	10-20 17:36
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	07-09 08:33
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-19 17:07
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-19 17:05
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	07-02 19:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-19 17:06
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	11-07 16:08
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-19 17:07
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-19 17:05
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	07-04 11:36
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-19 17:07
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-19 17:04
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-19 17:04
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-19 17:05
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-19 17:04
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-19 17:03
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-19 17:06
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 420 439	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-01 14:03
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 40 59	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-01 13:21
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 80 99	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-01 13:23
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-01 13:23
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 20 39	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-01 14:03
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 60 79	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-01 13:21