Tepid-Equality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$628

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-11 13:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

76% 25% $-35

Crypto

20% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	4	$141	79	79	+0	open	—	04-28 00:21
76ers vs. Celtics	5	$74	55	54	+0	open	—	05-03 02:08
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$57	37	37	+0	open	—	06-11 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-02 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$24	22	9	+13	open	—	04-30 17:06
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	3	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-04 02:35
Thunder vs. Suns	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-28 04:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	04-26 05:48
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5	2	$19	19	19	+0	Yes	$-1	05-08 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	05-03 09:24
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	05-06 03:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 17:15
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$12	7	7	+0	Spurs	+$2	05-09 04:41
LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5	1	$10	19	0	+19	No	$-10	05-09 04:05
Celtics vs. 76ers	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-29 01:44
Rockets vs. Lakers	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-28 03:19
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	06-11 13:43
Hawks vs. Knicks	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	04-28 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-26 10:58
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$10	12	0	+12	Timberwolves	$-10	05-05 01:57
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$6	33	33	+0	Thunder	$-2	05-06 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	05-03 06:35
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	2	$5	9	9	+0	No	$-5	05-08 04:15
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	04-30 16:29
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	04-28 03:19
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-01 07:20
Magic vs. Pistons	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-03 09:24
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$5	21	0	+21	Thunder	$-5	05-09 04:04
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$5	38	0	+38	Thunder	$-5	05-06 03:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 13:43:51	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x9e4a02…
06-11 03:46:30	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xa2a30f…
06-10 12:10:16	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xd76e22…
05-09 04:41:13	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe6461d…
05-09 04:05:07	LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0a4b5d…
05-09 04:04:37	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x235998…
05-09 04:04:21	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd69d73…
05-08 04:15:45	LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5	Yes	SELL	19	51¢	$9	0xbec9db…
05-08 04:15:12	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x1a137d…
05-07 13:02:48	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1a9085…
05-07 13:02:36	LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x9402df…
05-06 14:48:07	OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x862fe3…
05-06 14:47:11	Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x7fe9d8…
05-06 14:47:02	Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x284c5a…
05-06 03:12:16	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xf64188…
05-06 03:11:20	LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x13260b…
05-06 02:22:06	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0x675de5…
05-05 01:57:08	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x64fbf6…
05-04 07:38:42	LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xab0d43…
05-04 02:35:52	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x993773…
05-03 10:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7cd6cb…
05-03 09:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x2d4f80…
05-03 09:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa5499d…
05-03 09:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xb848fa…
05-03 09:24:24	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xfad8d0…
05-03 06:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xd3c2bc…
05-03 02:20:32	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7a270e…
05-03 02:08:20	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x20c0a3…
05-03 01:03:54	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x073901…
05-02 12:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc3fcba…
05-02 12:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa5c4cb…
05-02 12:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe9cbb5…
05-02 12:34:12	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x858b4b…
05-02 12:33:50	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x318e0e…
05-02 12:21:20	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbe989c…
05-02 12:21:02	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xc5cd58…
05-02 12:20:34	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xef855b…
05-01 07:20:28	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7bce47…
04-30 17:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe843ff…
04-30 17:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x51847f…
04-30 17:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6e7def…
04-30 17:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x468a33…
04-30 17:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf08da9…
04-30 16:29:48	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3b7190…
04-30 16:29:42	Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8e29b4…
04-29 01:44:20	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9a1358…
04-28 04:31:46	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xef6d49…
04-28 03:19:38	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x96f7b4…
04-28 03:19:18	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x1bcdd3…
04-28 00:24:32	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb75d86…
04-28 00:24:20	Hawks vs. Knicks	Hawks	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x0d8254…
04-28 00:21:58	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xb65240…
04-26 11:04:38	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x818973…
04-26 11:04:14	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x4fb627…
04-26 10:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x94c6ad…
04-26 05:48:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x102130…
04-26 05:45:16	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xe24686…