Posh-Cinder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,451

lifetime

Volume

$33.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 77% +$12

Other

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	2	$812	412	412	+0	open	—	03-06 13:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 5	4	$528	299	299	+0	open	—	01-05 17:53
btc updown 4h 1769763600	11	$451	258	258	+0	open	—	01-30 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	2	$431	221	221	+0	open	—	05-04 00:21
btc updown 4h 1771318800	5	$358	208	208	+0	open	—	02-17 12:58
bitcoin up or down january 31 2pm et	2	$346	186	186	+0	open	—	01-31 20:39
btc updown 4h 1771304400	2	$326	176	176	+0	open	—	02-17 09:01
bitcoin above 72k on march 23	3	$280	150	150	+1	open	—	03-23 16:49
btc updown 4h 1769187600	4	$262	161	161	+0	open	—	01-23 20:36
bitcoin up or down january 30 9am et	4	$232	122	122	+0	open	—	01-30 15:04
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$226	117	117	+0	open	—	05-16 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5PM ET	2	$220	121	121	+0	open	—	05-03 22:42
bitcoin up or down january 31 3pm et	1	$220	244	0	+244	open	—	01-31 20:40
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	2	$219	119	119	+0	open	—	05-17 15:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET	2	$211	111	111	+0	open	—	05-25 10:15
xrp updown 4h 1771419600	2	$211	111	111	+0	open	—	02-18 17:01
bitcoin up or down march 9 9am et	2	$204	105	104	+0	open	—	03-09 13:59
bitcoin up or down february 11 2pm et	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	02-11 19:59
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7pm et	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	03-26 00:37
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 11am et	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	04-13 17:19
bitcoin up or down january 8 5pm et	2	$195	115	115	+0	open	—	01-08 23:27
eth updown 4h 1772701200	2	$186	96	96	+0	open	—	03-05 13:02
btc updown 4h 1767805200	3	$180	215	0	+215	open	—	01-07 19:20
btc updown 4h 1769058000	4	$175	199	32	+167	open	—	01-22 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4PM ET	2	$166	86	86	+0	Down	+$6	05-06 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	1	$160	188	0	+188	Up	+$28	05-09 00:52
btc updown 4h 1767790800	3	$155	180	0	+180	open	—	01-07 15:47
btc updown 4h 1772956800	1	$150	159	0	+159	open	—	03-08 11:36
btc updown 4h 1772845200	1	$150	159	0	+159	open	—	03-07 04:14
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$148	78	78	+0	open	—	05-16 23:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 12:00:57	dogecoin up or down august 11 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xeed63e…
08-11 11:37:48	dogecoin up or down august 11 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xf95d90…
08-09 23:29:46	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Down	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0xba90d8…
08-09 23:29:36	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc21a4c…
08-09 22:36:18	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x5af65d…
08-09 22:35:48	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9645eb…
08-09 13:05:00	btc updown 4h 1786276800	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x522c85…
08-08 22:43:30	eth updown 4h 1786219200	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x892227…
08-08 22:43:06	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x4315e6…
08-08 01:47:52	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe4aef6…
08-07 19:25:51	btc updown 4h 1786118400	Down	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0xf08015…
08-07 19:25:46	eth updown 4h 1786118400	Down	SELL	14	59¢	$9	0x818816…
08-07 18:23:19	eth updown 4h 1786118400	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x3dacbe…
08-07 18:22:58	btc updown 4h 1786118400	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x7cbb20…
08-07 13:00:06	btc updown 4h 1786104000	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x6c6f58…
08-07 11:52:49	dogecoin up or down august 7 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xbd04c4…
08-07 11:52:15	eth updown 4h 1786089600	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb8a013…
08-07 09:16:04	eth updown 4h 1786089600	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x9ee2c0…
08-07 00:53:15	bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe884bf…
08-06 22:32:23	btc updown 4h 1786046400	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x036314…
08-06 19:27:54	eth updown 4h 1786032000	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x03b0ed…
08-06 19:27:15	doge updown 4h 1786032000	Down	SELL	30	94¢	$29	0x22cd67…
08-06 19:08:41	doge updown 4h 1786032000	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x6d7558…
08-06 17:46:08	hype up or down august 6 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xd63331…
08-06 13:55:59	bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x64676f…
08-06 11:47:45	bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9284bb…
08-06 11:47:42	bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5b09eb…
08-06 09:37:47	btc updown 4h 1786003200	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa0974b…
08-06 09:37:08	btc updown 15m 1786008600	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x22ab62…
08-06 03:09:09	btc updown 4h 1785974400	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x104f66…
08-05 22:25:51	btc updown 4h 1785960000	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xcdb6ba…
08-05 18:25:50	btc updown 4h 1785945600	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x914709…
08-05 13:00:12	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x144936…
08-05 13:00:08	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9d3506…
07-19 14:06:28	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x06af8f…
07-19 13:46:12	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9c1993…
07-18 21:54:27	solana up or down july 18 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x319d7e…
07-18 21:54:24	solana up or down july 18 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x68a2f3…
07-04 18:39:07	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x2b4f8f…
07-04 00:17:49	btc updown 5m 1783124100	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xcc8f0c…
07-02 00:38:43	btc updown 5m 1782952500	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbfe8fa…
07-02 00:37:47	btc updown 5m 1782952500	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x67f7ca…
07-02 00:37:35	btc updown 5m 1782952500	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3dbbf3…
06-29 15:42:44	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xc9d828…
06-28 21:33:13	btc updown 5m 1782682200	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbe86b8…
06-27 01:40:28	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xf17fae…
06-27 00:41:05	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x2eb6a3…
06-23 14:52:28	bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xaeb4bb…
06-22 17:55:25	bnb up or down june 22 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xb6c359…
06-22 17:54:46	xrp up or down june 22 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xe9afad…
06-22 17:52:58	solana up or down june 22 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xc14072…
06-21 13:49:49	btc updown 5m 1782049500	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xfb32f6…
06-21 13:49:13	btc updown 5m 1782049500	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x4c53d4…
06-21 12:33:20	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xaab698…
06-21 11:38:25	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc72c4c…
06-20 01:54:32	btc updown 5m 1781920200	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x4a15e7…
06-20 01:54:04	btc updown 5m 1781920200	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x080d78…
06-20 01:53:49	btc updown 5m 1781920200	Down	BUY	59	43¢	$25	0xc5e67d…
06-20 01:48:47	btc updown 5m 1781919900	Down	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0x3e4a32…
06-20 01:47:31	btc updown 5m 1781919900	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x7f44ac…
06-20 01:43:31	btc updown 5m 1781919600	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xbd704d…
06-20 00:59:11	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x997aa0…
06-19 22:18:28	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x602ce3…
06-17 11:57:08	solana up or down june 17 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xed04f5…
06-17 11:56:23	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x5e4559…
06-17 11:55:53	btc updown 5m 1781697000	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xab06f7…
06-17 11:53:22	btc updown 5m 1781697000	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x9b081f…
06-16 20:13:07	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x381742…
06-16 19:50:19	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x65bfe6…
06-16 12:45:04	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x752812…
06-15 13:43:27	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x1e4b20…
06-15 10:05:04	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xa301ab…
06-13 11:42:12	eth updown 4h 1781337600	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x7d5413…
06-13 11:10:13	eth updown 4h 1781337600	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x717aea…
06-13 09:54:58	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x5a3771…
06-10 10:39:28	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfb2dd4…
06-09 22:59:58	btc updown 4h 1781035200	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x85d2df…
06-09 21:10:34	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x72fc02…
06-09 21:10:12	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xef6bc8…
06-09 21:09:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	92	67¢	$61	0xdb0c88…
06-09 16:24:21	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xd71a14…
06-09 15:24:57	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x47ba2a…
06-09 12:48:57	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xde8029…
06-09 09:37:45	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x49dd9d…
06-09 07:03:45	bnb updown 4h 1780977600	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x0f50af…
06-09 07:03:25	btc updown 4h 1780977600	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xc8d68a…
06-07 09:22:55	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x38f39c…
06-06 23:21:01	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x4b4022…
06-06 21:28:09	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x44ca51…
06-03 13:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x7448cf…
06-03 11:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x02c8f0…
06-03 09:01:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x682313…
06-03 08:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xbbe946…
06-03 00:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x14b3a6…
06-02 06:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x211fb8…
05-31 15:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x97a04b…
05-31 15:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd2635e…
05-31 13:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xd66f5b…
05-31 13:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x2277c6…
05-31 00:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xcc2c74…