Posh-Cinder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,408

lifetime

Volume

$32.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-29 15:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 77% +$12

Other

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	2	$812	412	412	+0	open	—	03-06 13:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 5	4	$528	299	299	+0	open	—	01-05 17:53
btc updown 4h 1769763600	11	$451	258	258	+0	open	—	01-30 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	2	$431	221	221	+0	open	—	05-04 00:21
btc updown 4h 1771318800	5	$358	208	208	+0	open	—	02-17 12:58
bitcoin up or down january 31 2pm et	2	$346	186	186	+0	open	—	01-31 20:39
btc updown 4h 1771304400	2	$326	176	176	+0	open	—	02-17 09:01
bitcoin above 72k on march 23	3	$280	150	150	+1	open	—	03-23 16:49
btc updown 4h 1769187600	4	$262	161	161	+0	open	—	01-23 20:36
bitcoin up or down january 30 9am et	4	$232	122	122	+0	open	—	01-30 15:04
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$226	117	117	+0	open	—	05-16 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5PM ET	2	$220	121	121	+0	open	—	05-03 22:42
bitcoin up or down january 31 3pm et	1	$220	244	0	+244	open	—	01-31 20:40
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	2	$219	119	119	+0	open	—	05-17 15:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET	2	$211	111	111	+0	open	—	05-25 10:15
xrp updown 4h 1771419600	2	$211	111	111	+0	open	—	02-18 17:01
bitcoin up or down march 9 9am et	2	$204	105	104	+0	open	—	03-09 13:59
bitcoin up or down february 11 2pm et	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	02-11 19:59
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7pm et	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	03-26 00:37
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 11am et	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	04-13 17:19
bitcoin up or down january 8 5pm et	2	$195	115	115	+0	open	—	01-08 23:27
eth updown 4h 1772701200	2	$186	96	96	+0	open	—	03-05 13:02
btc updown 4h 1767805200	3	$180	215	0	+215	open	—	01-07 19:20
btc updown 4h 1769058000	4	$175	199	32	+167	open	—	01-22 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4PM ET	2	$166	86	86	+0	Down	+$6	05-06 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	1	$160	188	0	+188	Up	+$28	05-09 00:52
btc updown 4h 1767790800	3	$155	180	0	+180	open	—	01-07 15:47
btc updown 4h 1772956800	1	$150	159	0	+159	open	—	03-08 11:36
btc updown 4h 1772845200	1	$150	159	0	+159	open	—	03-07 04:14
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$148	78	78	+0	open	—	05-16 23:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 15:42:44	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xc9d828…
06-28 21:33:13	btc updown 5m 1782682200	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbe86b8…
06-27 01:40:28	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xf17fae…
06-27 00:41:05	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x2eb6a3…
06-23 14:52:28	bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xaeb4bb…
06-22 17:55:25	bnb up or down june 22 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xb6c359…
06-22 17:54:46	xrp up or down june 22 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xe9afad…
06-22 17:52:58	solana up or down june 22 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xc14072…
06-21 13:49:49	btc updown 5m 1782049500	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xfb32f6…
06-21 13:49:13	btc updown 5m 1782049500	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x4c53d4…
06-21 12:33:20	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xaab698…
06-21 11:38:25	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc72c4c…
06-20 01:54:32	btc updown 5m 1781920200	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x4a15e7…
06-20 01:54:04	btc updown 5m 1781920200	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x080d78…
06-20 01:53:49	btc updown 5m 1781920200	Down	BUY	59	43¢	$25	0xc5e67d…
06-20 01:48:47	btc updown 5m 1781919900	Down	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0x3e4a32…
06-20 01:47:31	btc updown 5m 1781919900	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x7f44ac…
06-20 01:43:31	btc updown 5m 1781919600	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xbd704d…
06-20 00:59:11	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x997aa0…
06-19 22:18:28	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x602ce3…
06-17 11:57:08	solana up or down june 17 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xed04f5…
06-17 11:56:23	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x5e4559…
06-17 11:55:53	btc updown 5m 1781697000	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xab06f7…
06-17 11:53:22	btc updown 5m 1781697000	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x9b081f…
06-16 20:13:07	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x381742…
06-16 19:50:19	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x65bfe6…
06-16 12:45:04	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x752812…
06-15 13:43:27	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x1e4b20…
06-15 10:05:04	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xa301ab…
06-13 11:42:12	eth updown 4h 1781337600	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x7d5413…
06-13 11:10:13	eth updown 4h 1781337600	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x717aea…
06-13 09:54:58	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x5a3771…
06-10 10:39:28	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfb2dd4…
06-09 22:59:58	btc updown 4h 1781035200	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x85d2df…
06-09 21:10:34	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x72fc02…
06-09 21:10:12	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xef6bc8…
06-09 21:09:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	92	67¢	$61	0xdb0c88…
06-09 16:24:21	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xd71a14…
06-09 15:24:57	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x47ba2a…
06-09 12:48:57	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xde8029…
06-09 09:37:45	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x49dd9d…
06-09 07:03:45	bnb updown 4h 1780977600	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x0f50af…
06-09 07:03:25	btc updown 4h 1780977600	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xc8d68a…
06-07 09:22:55	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x38f39c…
06-06 23:21:01	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x4b4022…
06-06 21:28:09	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x44ca51…
06-03 13:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x7448cf…
06-03 11:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x02c8f0…
06-03 09:01:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x682313…
06-03 08:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xbbe946…
06-03 00:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x14b3a6…
06-02 06:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x211fb8…
05-31 15:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x97a04b…
05-31 15:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd2635e…
05-31 13:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xd66f5b…
05-31 13:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x2277c6…
05-31 00:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xcc2c74…
05-25 23:46:55	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xeee12e…
05-25 14:41:42	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xd3747e…
05-25 11:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x50317b…
05-25 10:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x667131…
05-25 10:15:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x67c029…
05-25 09:52:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xd6cd74…
05-24 19:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x2c8088…
05-24 18:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xc87e22…
05-24 13:11:23	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x8bd17d…
05-24 12:35:47	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe7a57f…
05-23 10:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x1493f9…
05-23 08:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x29172f…
05-23 08:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaace4b…
05-22 22:35:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x5af43e…
05-22 18:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x8a7bf8…
05-22 10:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x1ea745…
05-22 09:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x2ddd10…
05-21 18:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x51bac2…
05-21 18:45:44	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2458ec…
05-21 16:55:05	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x4b8f5d…
05-21 11:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xbb9de4…
05-20 22:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xdd92b9…
05-20 19:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xde4c2c…
05-20 18:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe4be7b…
05-20 18:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x9fcc9e…
05-20 18:10:31	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xdab646…
05-20 17:52:07	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x947574…
05-20 16:06:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0xa96a4a…
05-20 16:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x43cbf7…
05-20 16:02:39	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x7eb2d7…
05-20 15:53:40	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x6cb624…
05-20 15:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x492ee2…
05-20 12:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x2b5f1e…
05-20 12:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x850797…
05-20 09:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x26d3ce…
05-20 07:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x6d5e90…
05-20 05:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0xf4ad84…
05-19 20:55:58	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x888775…
05-19 15:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x825f9e…
05-17 15:08:16	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x872375…
05-17 14:52:34	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xac93f2…
05-16 23:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x23b93b…
05-16 23:08:32	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0x81f34b…