Posh-Cinder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,375

lifetime

Volume

$32.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 22:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 77% +$12

Other

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	2	$812	412	412	+0	open	—	03-06 13:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 5	4	$528	299	299	+0	open	—	01-05 17:53
btc updown 4h 1769763600	11	$451	258	258	+0	open	—	01-30 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	2	$431	221	221	+0	open	—	05-04 00:21
btc updown 4h 1771318800	5	$358	208	208	+0	open	—	02-17 12:58
bitcoin up or down january 31 2pm et	2	$346	186	186	+0	open	—	01-31 20:39
btc updown 4h 1771304400	2	$326	176	176	+0	open	—	02-17 09:01
bitcoin above 72k on march 23	3	$280	150	150	+1	open	—	03-23 16:49
btc updown 4h 1769187600	4	$262	161	161	+0	open	—	01-23 20:36
bitcoin up or down january 30 9am et	4	$232	122	122	+0	open	—	01-30 15:04
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$226	117	117	+0	open	—	05-16 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5PM ET	2	$220	121	121	+0	open	—	05-03 22:42
bitcoin up or down january 31 3pm et	1	$220	244	0	+244	open	—	01-31 20:40
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	2	$219	119	119	+0	open	—	05-17 15:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET	2	$211	111	111	+0	open	—	05-25 10:15
xrp updown 4h 1771419600	2	$211	111	111	+0	open	—	02-18 17:01
bitcoin up or down march 9 9am et	2	$204	105	104	+0	open	—	03-09 13:59
bitcoin up or down february 11 2pm et	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	02-11 19:59
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7pm et	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	03-26 00:37
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 11am et	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	04-13 17:19
bitcoin up or down january 8 5pm et	2	$195	115	115	+0	open	—	01-08 23:27
eth updown 4h 1772701200	2	$186	96	96	+0	open	—	03-05 13:02
btc updown 4h 1767805200	3	$180	215	0	+215	open	—	01-07 19:20
btc updown 4h 1769058000	4	$175	199	32	+167	open	—	01-22 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4PM ET	2	$166	86	86	+0	Down	+$6	05-06 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	1	$160	188	0	+188	Up	+$28	05-09 00:52
btc updown 4h 1767790800	3	$155	180	0	+180	open	—	01-07 15:47
btc updown 4h 1772956800	1	$150	159	0	+159	open	—	03-08 11:36
btc updown 4h 1772845200	1	$150	159	0	+159	open	—	03-07 04:14
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$148	78	78	+0	open	—	05-16 23:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:59:58	btc updown 4h 1781035200	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x85d2df…
06-09 21:10:34	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x72fc02…
06-09 21:10:12	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xef6bc8…
06-09 21:09:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	92	67¢	$61	0xdb0c88…
06-09 16:24:21	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xd71a14…
06-09 15:24:57	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x47ba2a…
06-09 12:48:57	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xde8029…
06-09 09:37:45	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x49dd9d…
06-09 07:03:45	bnb updown 4h 1780977600	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x0f50af…
06-09 07:03:25	btc updown 4h 1780977600	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xc8d68a…
06-07 09:22:55	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x38f39c…
06-06 23:21:01	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x4b4022…
06-06 21:28:09	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x44ca51…
06-03 13:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x7448cf…
06-03 11:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x02c8f0…
06-03 09:01:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x682313…
06-03 08:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xbbe946…
06-03 00:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x14b3a6…
06-02 06:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x211fb8…
05-31 15:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x97a04b…
05-31 15:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd2635e…
05-31 13:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xd66f5b…
05-31 13:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x2277c6…
05-31 00:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xcc2c74…
05-25 23:46:55	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xeee12e…
05-25 14:41:42	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xd3747e…
05-25 11:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x50317b…
05-25 10:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x667131…
05-25 10:15:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x67c029…
05-25 09:52:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xd6cd74…
05-24 19:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x2c8088…
05-24 18:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xc87e22…
05-24 13:11:23	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x8bd17d…
05-24 12:35:47	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe7a57f…
05-23 10:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x1493f9…
05-23 08:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x29172f…
05-23 08:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaace4b…
05-22 22:35:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x5af43e…
05-22 18:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x8a7bf8…
05-22 10:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x1ea745…
05-22 09:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x2ddd10…
05-21 18:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x51bac2…
05-21 18:45:44	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2458ec…
05-21 16:55:05	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x4b8f5d…
05-21 11:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xbb9de4…
05-20 22:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xdd92b9…
05-20 19:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xde4c2c…
05-20 18:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe4be7b…
05-20 18:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x9fcc9e…
05-20 18:10:31	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xdab646…
05-20 17:52:07	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x947574…
05-20 16:06:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0xa96a4a…
05-20 16:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x43cbf7…
05-20 16:02:39	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x7eb2d7…
05-20 15:53:40	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x6cb624…
05-20 15:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x492ee2…
05-20 12:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x2b5f1e…
05-20 12:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x850797…
05-20 09:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x26d3ce…
05-20 07:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x6d5e90…
05-20 05:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0xf4ad84…
05-19 20:55:58	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x888775…
05-19 15:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x825f9e…
05-17 15:08:16	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x872375…
05-17 14:52:34	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xac93f2…
05-16 23:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x23b93b…
05-16 23:08:32	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0x81f34b…
05-16 23:07:36	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0xaa3bf8…
05-16 23:07:29	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x86f243…
05-16 23:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x9179e4…
05-16 22:38:50	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	92	76¢	$70	0x5f414e…
05-16 22:33:28	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x491062…
05-16 22:30:05	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xb86045…
05-16 22:29:30	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	90¢	$70	0xc15a36…
05-16 22:28:54	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xcfebfc…
05-16 22:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xe54eb4…
05-15 23:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6d52b2…
05-14 18:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x00a2cc…
05-13 19:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x6db89f…
05-13 18:38:27	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xa2b19b…
05-13 08:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x6fdfb1…
05-13 07:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xbd99a1…
05-13 06:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd3ae70…
05-13 06:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xd48656…
05-13 05:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xb9d1b4…
05-13 04:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xdcb757…
05-12 20:44:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x15fb85…
05-12 20:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x8d6241…
05-12 19:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x3fee02…
05-12 19:04:10	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x7dcd00…
05-12 18:53:01	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x4c0816…
05-12 18:52:58	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xad4fb5…
05-12 15:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x3b081f…
05-12 15:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x0588c7…
05-12 09:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xe4736f…
05-12 09:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x57410d…
05-11 20:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x96d481…
05-11 18:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x3d98e7…
05-11 18:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x165643…
05-11 17:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xeeae1f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xfb1c…963e	365	$131.5K	6,372	05-31 00:53
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	361	$1.31M	201,839	06-09 21:51
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	347	$2.29K	2,300	06-09 21:21
(anonymous) 0x4924…fac2	334	$226.8K	51,476	06-09 21:44
Wee-Playroom 0xf247…5216	333	$834.6K	77,192	06-09 12:34
Funny-Credential 0x0dfa…c0e3	328	$55.6K	1,147	04-24 01:40
Indolent-Classroom 0x0d19…38d1	314	$1.55K	322	04-27 10:53
(anonymous) 0x4acf…49ec	309	$998	1,694	04-06 03:59