Posh-Cinder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

899

Trades

1,582

lifetime

Volume

$35.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 02:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 186 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 76% +$271

Other

4% 65% -$198

Sports

1% 40% -$117

Politics

1% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?	Yes		+9	$5	26¢	$2	-$3	11-01 21:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	2	$812	412	412	+0	Down	+$12	03-06 13:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 5	4	$528	299	299	+0	Yes	+$68	01-05 17:53
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 09:00 UTC	11	$451	258	258	+0	Up	+$41	01-30 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	2	$431	221	221	+0	Up	+$11	05-04 00:21
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-17 09:00 UTC	5	$358	208	208	+0	Down	+$18	02-17 12:58
bitcoin up or down january 31 2pm et	2	$346	186	186	+0	Down	+$26	01-31 20:39
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-17 05:00 UTC	2	$326	176	176	+0	Down	+$26	02-17 09:01
bitcoin above 72k on march 23	3	$280	150	150	+1	No	+$20	03-23 16:49
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-23 17:00 UTC	4	$262	161	161	+0	Down	+$32	01-23 20:36
bitcoin up or down january 30 9am et	4	$232	122	122	+0	Up	+$12	01-30 15:04
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$226	117	117	+0	Yes	+$6	05-16 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5PM ET	2	$220	121	121	+0	Down	+$20	05-03 22:42
bitcoin up or down january 31 3pm et	1	$220	244	0	+244	Up	-$220	01-31 20:40
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	2	$219	119	119	+0	Down	+$19	05-17 15:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET	2	$211	111	111	+0	Up	+$11	05-25 10:15
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-18 13:00 UTC	2	$211	111	111	+0	Down	+$11	02-18 17:01
bitcoin up or down march 9 9am et	2	$204	105	104	+0	Up	+$4	03-09 13:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	2	$204	104	104	+0	Down	+$4	05-23 00:01
bitcoin up or down february 11 2pm et	2	$204	104	104	+0	Up	+$4	02-11 19:59
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7pm et	2	$204	104	104	+0	Down	+$4	03-26 00:37
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 11am et	2	$201	101	101	+0	Down	+$1	04-13 17:19
bitcoin up or down january 8 5pm et	2	$195	115	115	+0	Down	+$35	01-08 23:27
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-05 09:00 UTC	2	$186	96	96	+0	Up	+$6	03-05 13:02
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-07 17:00 UTC	3	$180	215	0	+215	Down	+$35	01-07 19:20
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-22 05:00 UTC	4	$175	199	32	+167	Down	$0	01-22 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4PM ET	2	$166	86	86	+0	Down	+$6	05-06 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	1	$160	188	0	+188	Up	+$28	05-09 00:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-07 13:00 UTC	3	$155	180	0	+180	Down	+$25	01-07 15:47
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 08:00 UTC	1	$150	159	0	+159	Up	+$9	03-08 11:36
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-07 01:00 UTC	1	$150	159	0	+159	Down	+$9	03-07 04:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 02:53:45	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5a1933…
11-03 23:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfea609…
11-03 22:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd75e2c…
11-03 20:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc93cfd…
11-03 11:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf42535…
11-02 23:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb3103a…
11-02 22:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x9f97d6…
11-02 22:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2443ce…
11-02 21:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x07f297…
11-02 19:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdc8038…
11-02 16:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x67a7be…
11-02 15:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xffb1cc…
11-02 15:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x278d96…
11-02 15:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xccf2a5…
11-02 14:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xda99ee…
11-02 13:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe61945…
11-02 12:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x679bc9…
11-01 21:20:40	Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa452e2…
11-01 18:50:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xd6f249…
11-01 18:50:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8dd837…
11-01 18:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xdd1576…
11-01 17:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8ce65e…
11-01 16:59:15	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6f3e53…
11-01 14:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe46579…
11-01 13:48:45	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x071337…
11-01 13:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe16106…
11-01 11:13:22	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xde4559…
11-01 02:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5b97ba…
11-01 01:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xcbfca1…
10-31 21:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x300122…
10-31 14:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc932a9…
09-16 22:55:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8824fd…
09-16 15:03:17	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5b0e01…
09-10 11:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xadec44…
09-09 21:19:51	Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x56de87…
09-09 20:51:00	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x10a19a…
09-09 20:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x79de92…
09-09 17:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2cb20a…
09-02 22:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x15f378…
09-02 22:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xd98213…
08-28 23:47:34	bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xde99e7…
08-28 22:56:46	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x0a99e4…
08-25 19:58:49	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x4e6058…
08-25 19:58:45	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x64fdd7…
08-22 09:51:13	solana up or down august 22 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xd388bf…
08-22 09:50:52	bitcoin up or down august 22 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xd0c4bb…
08-20 17:17:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xed6c83…
08-19 23:09:31	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x972bc9…
08-19 23:09:15	bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc272ed…
08-19 23:09:07	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb86147…
08-19 22:14:48	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xf2e073…
08-19 22:13:43	bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xaa9a78…
08-16 21:21:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9b5310…
08-16 19:21:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x2494b8…
08-16 18:42:10	bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6df5a0…
08-14 08:57:09	bitcoin up or down august 14 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xec4a22…
08-13 23:30:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xfa2db4…
08-13 19:09:49	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x8865d6…
08-13 19:09:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x062022…
08-13 14:12:48	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x154ae1…
08-13 14:12:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x8f0561…
08-13 08:41:01	xrp up or down august 13 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x34cea7…
08-12 19:26:39	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0xe2e863…
08-12 19:26:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x23c83f…
08-12 14:39:06	xrp up or down august 12 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xba1513…
08-12 00:35:58	ethereum up or down august 11 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x691a69…
08-12 00:35:34	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x399b3e…
08-11 22:43:40	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x8ea27f…
08-11 22:43:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x490aa1…
08-11 19:13:42	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x18879d…
08-11 12:00:57	dogecoin up or down august 11 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xeed63e…
08-11 11:37:48	dogecoin up or down august 11 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xf95d90…
08-09 23:29:46	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0xba90d8…
08-09 23:29:36	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc21a4c…
08-09 22:36:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x5af65d…
08-09 22:35:48	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9645eb…
08-09 13:05:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x522c85…
08-08 22:43:30	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x892227…
08-08 22:43:06	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x4315e6…
08-08 01:47:52	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe4aef6…
08-07 19:25:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0xf08015…
08-07 19:25:46	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	14	59¢	$9	0x818816…
08-07 18:23:19	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x3dacbe…
08-07 18:22:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x7cbb20…
08-07 13:00:06	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x6c6f58…
08-07 11:52:49	dogecoin up or down august 7 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xbd04c4…
08-07 11:52:15	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb8a013…
08-07 09:16:04	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x9ee2c0…
08-07 00:53:15	bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe884bf…
08-06 22:32:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x036314…
08-06 19:27:54	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x03b0ed…
08-06 19:27:15	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	30	94¢	$29	0x22cd67…
08-06 19:08:41	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x6d7558…
08-06 17:46:08	hype up or down august 6 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xd63331…
08-06 13:55:59	bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x64676f…
08-06 11:47:45	bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9284bb…
08-06 11:47:42	bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5b09eb…
08-06 09:37:47	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa0974b…
08-06 09:37:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x22ab62…
08-06 03:09:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x104f66…