Handmade-Measurement — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved (30d)

135

Trades (30d)

146

6,917 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$551

$20.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$45

10 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 11-05 21:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 180 days

Categories

Other

100% 29% +$920

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 6?	No	+10	$6	71¢	$7	+$1	11-05 21:01
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 6?	No	+10	$7	68¢	$7	+$0	11-05 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on November 6?	No	+10	$6	64¢	$6	+$1	11-05 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on November 6?	No	+10	$6	59¢	$6	+$0	11-05 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 6?	No	+10	$5	52¢	$5	+$1	11-05 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on November 6?	No	+10	$5	45¢	$5	-$1	11-05 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 6?	No	+10	$4	44¢	$5	+$1	11-05 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on November 6?	No	+10	$4	39¢	$4	-$1	11-05 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 6?	No	+10	$6	3¢	$0	-$5	11-04 21:01
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on November 5?	No	+5	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	11-04 12:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 6 2026 18c	30	$124	293	0	+293	Yes	+$169	04-06 19:50
highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 12c	18	$93	111	111	+0	Yes	+$14	04-03 10:21
highest temperature in paris on april 7 2026 23c	6	$78	55	53	+1	Yes	+$21	04-07 16:00
highest temperature in nyc on april 7 2026 54 55f	26	$69	739	251	+489	No	-$40	04-07 19:36
highest temperature in milan on april 9 2026 22c	7	$68	70	68	+2	Yes	+$16	04-09 15:24
highest temperature in warsaw on april 10 2026 8c	15	$64	259	247	+12	No	+$17	04-10 13:23
highest temperature in munich on april 2 2026 9c	20	$57	315	177	+139	Yes	+$111	04-02 11:07
highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 24c	5	$54	47	47	+0	Yes	+$24	04-05 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 9?	7	$52	117	0	+117	Yes	+$66	05-08 22:27
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 16corhigher	5	$50	37	37	+0	No	-$3	03-23 05:11
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	9	$48	44	44	+0	Yes	+$24	04-04 11:30
highest temperature in singapore on march 22 2026 33c	2	$48	31	31	+0	No	+$13	03-22 09:30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?	7	$48	112	0	+112	Yes	+$65	05-08 11:47
highest temperature in madrid on april 6 2026 25c	5	$44	82	0	+82	Yes	+$39	04-06 15:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	4	$43	128	0	+128	No	-$43	06-11 15:41
highest temperature in madrid on march 28 2026 16c	7	$42	47	47	+0	Yes	+$39	03-28 14:44
highest temperature in paris on april 2 2026 13c	5	$42	35	35	+0	Yes	+$16	04-02 14:16
highest temperature in nyc on april 6 2026 52 53f	16	$41	96	95	+1	No	+$2	04-06 19:48
highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 17corhigher	5	$41	65	65	+0	Yes	+$11	04-03 19:31
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 15c	14	$40	143	143	+0	No	-$20	04-03 14:22
highest temperature in paris on april 1 2026 13c	9	$40	44	44	+0	No	+$10	04-01 07:41
highest temperature in paris on april 7 2026 22c	11	$40	93	90	+2	No	-$19	04-07 13:24
highest temperature in tokyo on april 10 2026 19c	8	$39	67	33	+35	No	-$21	04-10 07:29
highest temperature in seoul on april 7 2026 11c	3	$39	39	38	+2	Yes	+$28	04-07 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 10?	10	$39	117	0	+117	Yes	+$79	05-10 07:24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 12?	5	$38	98	0	+98	No	-$38	05-11 22:25
highest temperature in seoul on april 8 2026 12c	8	$38	114	0	+114	No	-$38	04-08 06:14
highest temperature in beijing on april 4 2026 18c	9	$38	40	40	+0	Yes	+$27	04-04 07:12
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 17c	8	$38	114	47	+67	Yes	+$45	04-03 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on May 27?	5	$38	113	0	+113	No	-$38	05-26 21:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 21:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 6?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x7ba195…
11-05 18:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on November 6?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xd289ce…
11-05 15:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x9e2eac…
11-05 12:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 6?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf396de…
11-05 12:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on November 6?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9f7bb2…
11-05 12:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on November 6?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x5fe08b…
11-05 12:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 6?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xb0b663…
11-05 00:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 6?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xf3e2cd…
11-04 21:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 6?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xcc9506…
11-04 18:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 5?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x844498…
11-04 18:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 5?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x6401f2…
11-04 12:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on November 5?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf6e35b…
11-04 09:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on November 5?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x2e8e5e…
11-04 06:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 5?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x6e9492…
11-04 06:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on November 5?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x451171…
11-04 03:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on November 4?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc00276…
11-04 00:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 5?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x25ffbe…
11-03 21:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x67b298…
11-03 12:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7b637e…
11-03 12:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x718112…
11-03 09:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x8650e8…
11-03 09:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x3f230e…
11-02 21:01:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 3?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xfee8de…
11-02 12:01:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 3?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xc4fd77…
10-28 12:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd3c5ed…
10-28 09:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xf338f1…
10-28 00:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xa31ba8…
10-27 21:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xd5d548…
10-27 18:01:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 28?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x082357…
10-27 12:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x43b52f…
10-27 12:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x18179a…
10-26 21:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x6442a1…
10-26 15:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4e749b…
10-26 12:01:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xba7893…
10-26 06:01:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x3e0d3b…
10-26 06:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x1d0a6f…
10-26 03:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x589cc9…
10-26 03:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x0988da…
10-26 00:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb66909…
10-25 03:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 25?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x9ed645…
10-25 00:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x45ccb8…
10-24 12:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6cb61b…
10-24 12:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 25?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x3198cf…
10-24 09:01:47	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xb2900b…
10-23 12:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xbcaf49…
10-23 09:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 24?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x8a995f…
10-23 06:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 24?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6037dc…
10-23 03:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5f15f3…
10-23 00:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 24?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7df1c2…
10-22 21:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x9fb8f8…
10-22 15:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x5bd642…
10-22 09:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x23048b…
10-22 03:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x1ed701…
10-22 03:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x178374…
10-22 00:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xaba6ed…
10-21 21:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x044b45…
10-21 15:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x8bfa84…
10-21 15:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x3fe49c…
10-21 15:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x1849f7…
10-21 12:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 22?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xaa5062…
10-21 06:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xbe7a16…
10-21 06:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x65e046…
10-21 03:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x110e9f…
10-20 21:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 21?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf285d4…
10-20 12:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdeceeb…
10-20 00:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe42e9c…
10-19 12:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe26dd1…
10-19 12:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x36841a…
10-19 12:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 20?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1547f2…
10-19 09:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 20?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9d9a47…
10-19 09:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4e6ea4…
10-19 03:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xab5ecb…
10-19 03:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x330513…
10-18 12:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4cbc24…
10-17 18:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe28296…
10-17 18:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb69a99…
10-17 18:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7e4e6d…
10-17 15:01:18	highest temperature in munich on october 18 2026 15c	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4763d4…
10-17 00:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa4fb84…
10-16 21:01:20	highest temperature in san francisco on october 17 2026 82 83f	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1018c4…
10-16 09:01:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x40b685…
10-15 18:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 16?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe3eab9…
10-15 12:01:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc16fef…
10-15 12:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0fba1e…
10-15 06:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xf30fcb…
10-15 06:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5887d6…
10-15 03:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xf58bf8…
10-14 12:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf81c58…
10-14 00:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xe6840a…
10-13 21:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaf0d63…
10-13 18:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 14?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb8ee85…
10-13 18:01:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 14?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x072189…
10-13 07:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 14?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1745aa…
10-13 07:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xae4c3e…
10-13 06:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbc5d2d…
10-13 06:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x93eecd…
10-13 06:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb0b856…
10-13 06:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa9e262…
10-13 05:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7e6e7a…
10-13 05:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x8460c8…