Tight-Infinite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.6%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$28.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$137

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 09-04 15:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Politics

34% 33% -$1

Other

32% 18% -$3

Sports

28% 19% -$35

Crypto

6% 70% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$1.4K	711	711	+0	No	-$1	04-08 20:52
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$1.3K	654	654	+0	No	-$1	04-13 19:43
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$980	491	491	+0	No	$0	05-16 23:18
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$962	482	482	+0	open	—	05-22 22:37
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$942	474	474	+0	open	—	05-27 18:10
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$868	434	434	+0	No	$0	04-10 16:09
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	5	$787	394	394	+0	No	$0	04-06 12:53
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$632	318	318	+0	open	—	06-11 03:27
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$626	316	316	+0	open	—	07-04 19:18
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$568	284	284	+0	open	—	05-21 06:56
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$566	284	284	+0	No	$0	04-02 14:41
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$558	281	281	+0	open	—	05-13 04:48
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$546	273	273	+0	No	$0	02-27 23:47
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$542	271	271	+0	No	$0	03-26 00:14
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$537	269	269	+0	No	-$1	02-21 06:52
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$534	268	268	-0	No	$0	05-20 04:20
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$532	266	266	+0	No	$0	02-22 17:19
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$530	265	265	+0	No	+$0	05-10 23:00
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$528	264	264	+0	No	$0	04-17 20:01
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$519	261	261	+0	No	-$1	04-16 15:42
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$508	254	254	-0	No	$0	05-25 06:56
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	3	$506	254	254	+0	No	+$1	03-03 00:13
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$506	254	254	+0	No	$0	03-19 23:02
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$504	255	255	+0	open	—	05-10 09:06
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$502	251	251	+0	No	$0	03-14 02:51
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$502	252	252	+0	No	$0	05-19 13:52
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$498	249	249	+0	No	$0	03-29 17:19
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$496	248	248	+0	No	$0	04-16 06:15
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$494	247	247	-0	No	$0	05-13 11:23
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$486	244	244	+0	open	—	05-10 00:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 15:29:37	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x647cf0…
07-17 05:47:34	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb3d0bd…
07-17 05:47:12	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x798209…
07-17 04:36:51	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xdf433c…
07-17 04:36:31	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x33b4d1…
07-16 14:53:44	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5cb3ec…
07-15 16:48:01	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xd4f65a…
07-15 02:43:11	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xe3abc3…
07-15 02:42:53	Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x9c6926…
07-14 14:15:13	Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x4243ac…
07-14 14:14:46	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x40d6dc…
07-14 03:06:14	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xb2a383…
07-12 15:47:58	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x0ee88f…
07-12 04:19:41	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xcb43d6…
07-11 21:57:49	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xe63fe0…
07-11 16:01:23	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x69c05d…
07-11 16:00:58	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x6051d4…
07-11 07:55:38	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3efb3e…
07-10 19:34:05	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xc05281…
07-09 02:13:23	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xaab8a0…
07-08 19:27:26	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x9fbca1…
07-08 06:58:46	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x9f67c7…
07-07 06:16:29	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x1b6900…
07-06 03:39:22	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x91dab9…
07-04 19:18:35	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x90ac3d…
07-04 04:26:16	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x6cab90…
07-04 03:21:35	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xbbc094…
07-03 16:06:58	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x708e38…
07-03 16:06:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xbbfb56…
07-03 05:55:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb945cc…
07-03 05:55:01	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x7046db…
07-02 19:47:26	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd05aa4…
07-02 10:37:38	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x78e996…
07-02 04:21:49	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x589609…
07-02 02:30:53	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x83bc0b…
07-01 09:06:29	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x9e8807…
06-28 14:42:19	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x957999…
06-28 07:09:17	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xfede42…
06-27 19:34:47	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3ce6e6…
06-27 10:39:50	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2ed26d…
06-23 08:14:25	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4faa4d…
06-23 08:14:01	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x6760a6…
06-23 08:13:34	will xrp reach 2pt4 in june 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xaabda5…
06-23 08:13:14	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x220381…
06-21 20:47:26	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x747431…
06-21 17:21:50	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x2188a7…
06-21 06:41:17	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x050832…
06-21 06:40:58	Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xfad9ad…
06-21 04:22:05	Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x90792c…
06-20 19:22:23	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x714885…
06-20 12:20:01	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x354602…
06-20 12:19:41	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xeddb45…
06-20 05:20:01	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd3d3c6…
06-19 11:38:13	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xced320…
06-18 21:36:20	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xcdad9f…
06-14 17:26:28	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x211882…
06-14 11:35:45	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x7b4b46…
06-14 00:15:37	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xbe7970…
06-13 21:40:24	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5aa165…
06-12 09:39:18	Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x5610b6…
06-11 13:46:07	Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf205cd…
06-11 03:27:43	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xd4fd9c…
06-10 14:23:22	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x2cc334…
06-10 14:23:01	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xc3000f…
06-10 03:32:54	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x9024ae…
06-09 21:57:13	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x3ba811…
06-09 07:45:10	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xaa119e…
06-08 22:10:28	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xce1e43…
06-08 13:49:58	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x23f7dd…
06-08 05:07:52	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xd8099f…
06-08 00:37:19	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x0a8449…
06-07 19:15:18	Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xeea686…
06-07 01:57:25	Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa3ed81…
06-06 14:37:34	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xaf0735…
06-05 06:41:25	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x9bd410…
05-31 06:32:15	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x38e4da…
05-30 23:09:41	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xee0a51…
05-30 19:02:35	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xa69e4b…
05-30 13:31:25	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x4560e9…
05-28 08:22:10	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	221	99¢	$219	0xec054d…
05-27 18:11:07	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	221	99¢	$219	0x0bbf19…
05-27 18:10:46	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	231	99¢	$229	0xdf85ee…
05-25 06:56:58	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	231	99¢	$229	0xc12454…
05-25 06:56:39	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0x4bd81e…
05-24 17:29:55	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0xc45feb…
05-24 01:13:11	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	207	99¢	$206	0x86de9c…
05-23 20:33:41	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	207	99¢	$206	0x83bf68…
05-22 22:37:06	Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	255	100¢	$255	0xdadddd…
05-22 11:40:06	Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0xb1b64f…
05-22 11:39:45	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	244	99¢	$242	0xcb8c23…
05-21 23:38:45	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	244	99¢	$242	0xb0b2c4…
05-21 13:54:04	Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	228	100¢	$228	0x6a750a…
05-21 10:59:20	Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	228	100¢	$228	0x9d4243…
05-21 06:56:33	Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	284	100¢	$284	0xafd6df…
05-20 19:04:18	Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	284	100¢	$284	0x45228d…
05-20 04:20:21	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	268	100¢	$267	0x43fd9a…
05-19 13:52:22	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	268	100¢	$267	0xe9777b…
05-19 13:52:03	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$251	0x2308ad…
05-19 04:49:59	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x296271…
05-18 15:00:57	Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0xb98d4d…