Insidious-Proliferation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$168

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$2.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-19 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 52% $-70

Other

11% 8% $-177

Sports

1% 50% +$79

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$169	109	101	+7	Up	+$37	05-06 06:04
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz	2	$128	215	0	+215	Lotte Giants	$-128	05-06 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$101	155	139	+17	Down	$-49	05-06 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	4	$99	71	71	+0	Down	+$19	05-06 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$84	67	67	+0	Down	+$7	05-06 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	4	$78	96	96	+0	Down	+$24	05-06 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$70	121	0	+121	Up	+$51	05-06 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$70	121	0	+121	Down	$-70	05-06 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$70	84	0	+84	Up	+$14	05-06 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$60	77	0	+77	Up	+$17	05-06 05:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$59	77	77	+0	Up	$-21	05-06 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$55	43	43	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 15:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$45	40	40	+0	open	—	05-17 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$42	39	39	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$42	34	34	+0	Up	+$8	05-10 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$40	27	27	+0	Up	+$10	05-12 15:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$34	27	27	+0	open	—	05-19 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$31	34	19	+15	Down	+$11	05-08 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	7	$31	34	28	+6	Down	$-1	05-11 06:39
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	05-17 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	4	$30	24	24	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$30	56	0	+56	Down	$-30	05-06 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$30	61	0	+61	Up	$-30	05-12 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	3	$29	28	20	+8	Down	+$5	05-07 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$28	20	20	+0	Down	+$8	05-08 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$27	20	20	+0	Up	+$7	05-08 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$27	26	26	+0	Down	+$7	05-07 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$6	05-08 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	Down	+$6	05-11 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 10:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 13:30:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	27	88¢	$24	0x21ae1a…
05-19 11:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x6d69f8…
05-19 11:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb162ac…
05-19 10:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x7ab587…
05-19 10:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2b55fe…
05-19 06:47:11	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6a4407…
05-19 06:46:52	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x394257…
05-19 06:46:36	Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x64991c…
05-18 13:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x81e01d…
05-18 13:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x828641…
05-17 15:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x0fecb4…
05-17 15:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x87060a…
05-17 15:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xa5656b…
05-17 15:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xe6dc8f…
05-17 15:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x5578e9…
05-17 15:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xe86aa5…
05-17 15:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa83da0…
05-17 12:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xd9ef68…
05-17 12:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x6ce14a…
05-17 12:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0ae628…
05-17 12:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xcf32fa…
05-17 12:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5c961c…
05-17 11:47:08	AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x541834…
05-17 10:23:11	AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc0a664…
05-17 10:21:19	Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)	SSC Napoli	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xc46a03…
05-17 10:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x41211e…
05-17 10:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x066792…
05-17 10:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x71e913…
05-17 10:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x5b2e8e…
05-17 10:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf2e1a6…
05-17 09:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xf1bf0f…
05-17 09:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xa6164a…
05-17 09:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x92b305…
05-17 09:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x35542c…
05-17 09:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x32427a…
05-17 09:46:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	40	64¢	$25	0x5cc83b…
05-17 09:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$19	0xc5d3d8…
05-17 09:39:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	25	82¢	$20	0x09ae61…
05-13 05:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x3d588b…
05-12 17:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x0ba3d8…
05-12 17:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x15265b…
05-12 16:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x9f4f47…
05-12 16:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc41eb5…
05-12 16:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0x925208…
05-12 16:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa17a8b…
05-12 16:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	19	62¢	$11	0x930a57…
05-12 16:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8fc08b…
05-12 16:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	29¢	$5	0xdd2ae9…
05-12 16:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xce9505…
05-12 16:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x733c11…
05-12 15:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	21	55¢	$11	0xf5eb2a…
05-12 15:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8ea414…
05-12 15:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	27	95¢	$25	0x0fadb0…
05-12 15:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xcc5068…
05-12 15:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xca71f4…
05-12 15:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x002433…
05-12 15:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	84¢	$13	0x944669…
05-12 15:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x183cd7…
05-12 15:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xa418e9…
05-12 15:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x8d5b7f…
05-12 15:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xf3302b…
05-12 15:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x555250…
05-12 09:23:55	KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wiz	KT Wiz	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xce96d2…
05-12 09:23:52	KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants	Lotte Giants	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xefd92b…
05-12 09:19:50	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x43f540…
05-12 09:19:12	KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twins	LG Twins	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x748602…
05-12 09:17:58	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes	Kiwoom Heroes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x91ef50…
05-12 09:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0x57d555…
05-12 09:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcdf5f0…
05-12 09:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x4d88cf…
05-12 09:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc47a2d…
05-12 09:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	14	11¢	$1	0x340053…
05-12 09:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x176733…
05-11 18:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0xf0370d…
05-11 18:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1cdfa7…
05-11 16:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	39	57¢	$22	0x594ba1…
05-11 16:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x0d33cd…
05-11 06:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc4d0e7…
05-11 06:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x2a4bc7…
05-11 06:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfdffd4…
05-11 06:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	75¢	$6	0xa2b2f5…
05-11 06:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7d9d42…
05-11 06:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x14060c…
05-11 06:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe18d20…
05-11 06:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x3491c6…
05-11 06:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf1a3c0…
05-11 05:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x69e8ac…
05-11 05:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x61bd03…
05-10 09:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	19	72¢	$13	0xfcd0e0…
05-10 09:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x733b17…
05-10 09:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	34	74¢	$25	0xc5875b…
05-10 08:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0xe615d7…
05-10 08:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x871a2f…
05-10 08:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x5a9a8d…
05-10 08:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x59ec22…
05-10 08:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xea4407…
05-10 07:08:37	FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x45d085…
05-10 05:57:51	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Lotte Giants	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xfc11a2…
05-09 03:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x9bae64…
05-09 02:21:45	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Lotte Giants	Lotte Giants	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xfde61d…