Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$204

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-21

last 09-07 09:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

88% 59% +$26

Politics

11% 67% +$8

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$2	08-08 10:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$4	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-07 09:13
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	2	$4	7	7	+0	No	+$0	09-07 09:13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	2	$4	10	0	+10	Yes	+$2	09-03 20:55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	$0	09-07 09:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	09-07 09:14
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August?	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	-$1	09-07 09:14
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	08-08 10:41
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	07-22 05:56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-15 01:07
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	+$4	08-08 17:06
will spy reach 780 by august 31 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-31 11:04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	08-30 01:25
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	08-30 17:31
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	08-19 03:27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-26 16:13
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	08-09 09:11
spx up or down on august 14 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	08-14 06:45
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	08-05 19:12
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	08-12 22:35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	08-13 14:41
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	08-01 16:33
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	08-08 09:05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	08-21 18:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	08-14 16:14
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	Yes	+$8	08-13 22:42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	08-12 06:22
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	08-22 11:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	-$2	08-30 09:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	08-09 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 09:14:31	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x29270c…
09-07 09:14:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0xc72a13…
09-07 09:14:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xddaf93…
09-07 09:13:58	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xcf8ccf…
09-07 09:13:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0x5cb819…
09-03 20:55:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4503ef…
09-03 10:58:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8d416b…
09-03 02:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb0f046…
09-02 17:22:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa586d7…
09-02 08:31:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xceabdb…
09-01 23:58:54	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x0513d0…
09-01 20:05:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5e039b…
09-01 11:13:07	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x96cd25…
09-01 03:05:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x91616d…
09-01 03:05:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3e827a…
08-31 19:04:40	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x5848d3…
08-31 11:04:05	will spy reach 780 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1ddbc2…
08-31 01:32:21	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 13 2026	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc2d50a…
08-30 17:31:10	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x34e016…
08-30 09:26:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb80d48…
08-30 01:25:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4d4831…
08-29 16:54:39	will milo yiannopoulos be deported august 31 2026 632	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x904f61…
08-29 08:53:07	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6fff3e…
08-29 00:25:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf13d6c…
08-28 16:24:37	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5b2782…
08-27 16:20:12	will trump say communication during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbbc4b1…
08-27 08:17:24	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x5a6cd0…
08-27 00:16:39	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf2e674…
08-26 16:13:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xbffd54…
08-26 08:08:28	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x247e06…
08-23 13:04:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe96e80…
08-23 04:19:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xdd1927…
08-22 19:47:52	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x462ea7…
08-22 11:00:31	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x74e131…
08-22 02:21:19	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xaa8708…
08-21 18:14:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x55b899…
08-21 10:05:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x34d7dc…
08-21 01:53:58	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xde9dbd…
08-20 17:53:34	will warsh say capex or capital expenditure during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xcb0e5b…
08-20 06:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x93f18e…
08-19 22:40:22	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x04add4…
08-19 14:35:18	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x8b1767…
08-19 14:33:30	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x47ad27…
08-19 03:27:13	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0eb0d1…
08-18 19:26:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x702421…
08-18 11:25:54	Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb8318f…
08-18 03:25:33	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf977af…
08-17 06:37:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x69bfca…
08-16 22:37:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xa2b0fb…
08-16 13:06:40	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xcd1252…
08-16 01:30:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x09891f…
08-15 14:27:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb7590f…
08-15 01:07:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x94b9eb…
08-14 16:14:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb2c248…
08-14 06:45:06	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xcb02b6…
08-13 22:42:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x499f4d…
08-13 14:41:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb53e2e…
08-13 06:38:09	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe2d660…
08-12 22:35:43	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7e743b…
08-12 14:23:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x79d579…
08-12 06:22:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb7b4aa…
08-11 10:18:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9b748f…
08-10 01:19:43	will meta reach 630 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xcf4032…
08-09 17:19:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x87ec64…
08-09 09:11:43	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd0ec4f…
08-09 01:10:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbd1a43…
08-08 17:06:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1ff481…
08-08 10:41:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x9ea9e9…
08-08 10:41:04	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xb8b797…
08-08 09:05:06	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x91de2d…
08-08 01:04:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x8413c2…
08-07 03:18:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x9df1e8…
08-06 19:15:44	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb179fa…
08-06 11:15:20	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x335840…
08-06 03:14:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa41d80…
08-05 19:12:51	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xeae4d4…
08-04 23:11:38	will trump say no no no during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421454	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xff89e8…
08-04 03:11:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xdc21e8…
08-03 19:10:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x42b917…
08-03 10:24:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x566358…
08-03 02:23:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x094287…
08-02 18:22:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x16dcd0…
08-02 09:47:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xedbf35…
08-02 00:47:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa1a4cf…
08-02 00:40:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8e0e42…
08-01 16:33:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd12e54…
08-01 01:13:47	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x657ab2…
07-31 17:13:29	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x59b8ae…
07-31 08:54:32	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x45717d…
07-30 13:10:45	tday quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 neg0pt02	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x406816…
07-29 18:59:09	will trump say data center during cabinet meeting 20260727172357448	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x371a6d…
07-28 17:58:23	will apple say apple pay during earnings call 20260727155548222	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x002365…
07-28 04:24:03	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf9a7cf…
07-27 19:12:10	sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x993ba5…
07-27 06:16:00	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xaa4a2f…
07-26 18:15:01	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x87a4b7…
07-26 06:14:01	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9a0914…
07-25 18:13:34	yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt56	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xae80cd…
07-25 06:12:54	will spy dip to 730 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x25969f…
07-24 18:12:13	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2ca17b…