Absolute-Gingerbread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.50K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

1,890

Trades

2,691

lifetime

Volume

$802.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$298

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-22 06:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 219 days

Categories

Sports

53% 50% -$1,541

Other

42% 49% +$8,892

Crypto

3% 50% +$580

Politics

2% 12% -$1,708

Tech

0% 0% -$721

Pop-Culture

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta ruzic sierra 2026 01 13	2	$7.6K	4,603	4,603	+0	Ruzic	+$1,598	01-14 08:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	45	$7.0K	6,320	6,320	+0	Yes	-$160	05-26 12:27
nba gsw lac 2026 01 05	5	$6.0K	3,522	3,522	+0	Clippers	+$310	01-06 05:35
epl wol ast 2026 02 27 total 2pt5	1	$5.0K	10,009	0	+10,009	Under	+$5,009	02-27 14:10
epl wol ast 2026 02 27 ast	1	$5.0K	9,259	0	+9,259	No	-$5,000	02-27 14:10
epl wol ast 2026 02 27 btts	1	$5.0K	10,616	0	+10,616	No	+$5,616	02-27 14:10
atp medjedo mensik 2026 01 14	2	$4.7K	3,246	3,246	+0	Mensik	+$864	01-14 08:51
atp lehecka tabilo 2026 04 08	3	$4.4K	4,643	3,532	+1,112	Jiri Lehecka	-$568	04-08 08:00
atp fokina vachero 2026 01 15	2	$4.2K	2,546	2,546	+0	Fokina	+$903	01-15 12:05
lol fox1 ns 2026 01 15	3	$4.0K	2,526	2,526	+0	BNK FEARX	+$1,084	01-15 12:06
spl kha qad 2026 02 03 qad	2	$3.8K	2,335	2,335	+0	Yes	+$833	02-03 20:58
atp cerund majchrz 2026 03 30	2	$3.5K	2,285	2,255	+30	Kamil Majchrzak	+$1,003	03-31 13:24
atp cina muller 2026 03 30	2	$3.3K	2,107	2,080	+27	Alexandre Muller	+$904	03-31 13:24
atp safiull skatov 2026 03 02	2	$3.0K	2,013	2,013	+0	Roman Safiullin	+$1,011	03-02 17:25
nhl las ana 2026 02 01	2	$2.9K	1,923	1,923	+0	Ducks	+$921	02-02 07:13
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	3	$2.9K	1,923	1,923	+0	Thiago Agustin Tirante	+$945	05-27 12:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	4	$2.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	05-24 11:32
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?	5	$2.8K	2,800	2,800	+0	No	-$539	05-19 07:33
cricipl mum kol 2026 03 29	2	$2.7K	3,217	1,608	+1,608	Mumbai Indians	+$1,338	03-29 16:37
mlb min tex 2026 06 18	3	$2.6K	1,718	1,718	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$782	06-18 21:18
nhl sj van 2026 01 27	3	$2.6K	1,660	1,660	+0	Sharks	+$745	01-28 05:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:20 UTC	2	$2.6K	1,672	1,619	+53	Up	+$733	04-16 10:26
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	10	$2.5K	3,040	3,040	+0	Yes	-$42	05-14 14:37
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 spread home 2pt5	1	$2.5K	4,010	0	+4,010	FK Bodø/Glimt	+$1,510	02-24 15:56
ucl atm1 bru 2026 02 24 atm1	1	$2.5K	3,571	0	+3,571	Yes	+$1,071	02-24 15:51
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	39	$2.4K	3,083	3,083	+0	No	-$560	03-29 12:34
atp lehecka tabilo 2026 04 08 match total 22pt5	2	$2.4K	1,544	1,523	+21	Over	+$697	04-08 11:53
Fed rate hike in 2026?	8	$2.3K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	-$67	06-14 17:48
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	15	$2.3K	2,805	3,213	-408	Yes	-$330	03-25 05:33
atp vachero minaur 2026 04 10	2	$2.2K	1,419	1,399	+19	Valentin Vacherot	+$637	04-10 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 06:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	341	52¢	$178	0x407494…
10-22 06:24:17	Wild vs. Flames	Wild	SELL	146	64¢	$94	0xb1c5f0…
10-22 06:24:13	Spread: Liberty (-10.5)	Kennesaw State	SELL	180	52¢	$93	0x8a4603…
10-22 05:59:35	Spread: Liberty (-10.5)	Kennesaw State	BUY	180	53¢	$95	0xe21510…
10-22 05:58:59	Wild vs. Flames	Wild	BUY	146	65¢	$95	0x5062bc…
10-21 04:26:12	Panthers vs. Senators	Senators	BUY	193	50¢	$96	0xa13519…
10-21 04:25:50	New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0x9612d8…
10-21 04:25:21	Spread: Clippers (-5.5)	Kings	BUY	294	51¢	$150	0x8f19c2…
10-21 04:24:59	Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xd29ce2…
10-21 04:24:33	Spread: Raptors (-9.5)	Bulls	BUY	312	48¢	$150	0xf2100d…
10-21 04:21:14	Spread: Spurs (-1.5)	Thunder	SELL	206	99¢	$204	0x02b26d…
10-21 04:10:05	Red Wings vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	202	43¢	$86	0x23e755…
10-20 17:32:35	Bruins vs. Stars	Bruins	BUY	112	41¢	$46	0x998acd…
10-20 17:32:09	Ducks vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xcbb6cd…
10-20 17:30:32	Avalanche vs. Devils	Avalanche	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x3c3bdc…
10-20 17:29:38	Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets	Maple Leafs	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xf69404…
10-20 17:28:44	Sharks vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x3d2aaa…
10-20 14:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	177	48¢	$85	0x3543ef…
10-20 14:55:36	Red Wings vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xbdc005…
10-20 10:13:26	Red Wings vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	184	49¢	$90	0x5f3b76…
10-20 10:09:15	South Alabama vs. Marshall: O/U 65.5	Over	BUY	206	51¢	$105	0xe48a95…
10-20 10:08:50	Kings vs. Capitals	Capitals	BUY	202	59¢	$119	0x689dfb…
10-20 10:08:30	Spread: Spurs (-1.5)	Thunder	BUY	206	51¢	$105	0xe2a064…
10-20 10:08:12	Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Knicks	BUY	206	51¢	$105	0x239b4a…
10-20 10:07:57	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x8830e8…
10-19 19:59:03	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x624327…
10-19 14:41:14	Spread: 49ers (-7.5)	Commanders	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xcffc6e…
10-19 14:40:39	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x56e667…
10-19 07:01:12	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	96	57¢	$55	0xc0c267…
10-19 07:00:54	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 152.5	Under	BUY	108	51¢	$55	0x90d57d…
10-19 06:59:54	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x9d1653…
10-19 06:59:27	Sharks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	104	54¢	$56	0x18d830…
10-19 06:59:05	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x1623e6…
10-19 06:58:26	Spread: 49ers (-7.5)	Commanders	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x1107ab…
10-18 06:36:59	Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)	Jaguars	BUY	147	51¢	$75	0x8e8e33…
10-18 06:36:24	Spread: Patriots (-7.5)	Jets	BUY	223	53¢	$118	0x784e3a…
10-18 06:35:59	Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	191	55¢	$105	0x386dbc…
10-18 06:35:36	Blue Jackets vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	222	63¢	$140	0x19abbc…
10-18 06:35:03	Titans vs. Colts: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	214	51¢	$109	0xfe4783…
10-18 06:34:26	Panthers vs. Eagles: O/U 39.5	Under	BUY	210	52¢	$109	0x07274f…
10-18 06:33:39	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	211	57¢	$120	0x1f4582…
10-17 06:28:44	Oklahoma State vs. Houston: O/U 61.5	Over	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0x5be0bd…
10-17 06:28:05	Spread: Baylor (-5.5)	Baylor	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x0880e2…
10-17 06:27:50	Cincinnati vs. West Virginia	West Virginia	BUY	104	53¢	$55	0xbcb941…
10-17 06:27:35	Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5)	Oklahoma	BUY	106	52¢	$55	0x4a256f…
10-17 06:27:17	Spread: James Madison (-8.5)	James Madison	BUY	108	51¢	$55	0x231687…
10-17 06:26:38	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Tennessee	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x665355…
10-17 06:26:17	Spread: Miami (FL) (-21.5)	Florida State	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0x095dc8…
10-17 06:24:25	mlb tb cle 2026 10 16 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0xd94151…
10-17 06:24:19	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	98	51¢	$50	0x5d37f6…
10-16 07:39:18	Spread: Purdue (-3.5)	Washington	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x88fed3…
10-16 07:38:43	Spread: Memphis (-6.5)	Memphis	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0x123375…
10-16 07:38:09	Bruins vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x710bf4…
10-16 07:37:51	mlb tb cle 2026 10 16 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x9aa178…
10-16 07:37:45	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x4cdf9c…
10-16 07:37:28	Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina	Appalachian State	BUY	104	53¢	$55	0x18d5ba…
10-15 07:47:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x3edbd1…
10-15 07:41:41	nfl sea den 2026 10 16 total 42pt5	Under	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x2f51c6…
10-15 07:41:22	Seahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5	Under	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x693f93…
10-15 07:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0xeada35…
10-15 07:40:28	nfl sea den 2026 10 16 spread away 2pt5	Broncos	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x334557…
10-15 07:40:20	Seahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x030a79…
10-15 07:39:56	mlb mil lad 2026 10 15 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x7491df…
10-15 07:39:44	cfb colst txst 2026 10 15 total 69pt5	Over	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xf003d5…
10-15 07:39:31	nhl nyr nj 2026 10 15	Devils	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x27cc0a…
10-15 07:38:31	mlb tb cle 2026 10 15	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0x815bb9…
10-15 07:37:53	nfl sea den 2026 10 16 spread away 2pt5	Broncos	BUY	110	50¢	$55	0xfb8222…
10-15 07:37:29	mlb mil lad 2026 10 15 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xb7c2c3…
10-15 07:36:40	mlb mil lad 2026 10 15	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x9f4056…
10-15 07:35:44	nfl sea den 2026 10 16 total 42pt5	Under	BUY	102	56¢	$57	0x68b7eb…
10-15 07:35:23	nhl nyr nj 2026 10 15	Devils	BUY	96	57¢	$55	0x7e3c0f…
10-15 07:35:14	nhl sj nsh 2026 10 15	Sharks	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x47a387…
10-15 07:33:16	cfb colst txst 2026 10 15 total 69pt5	Over	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xe869ef…
10-14 07:12:08	Canadiens vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	94	51¢	$48	0x4dfbca…
10-14 07:10:38	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14 spread home 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	112	43¢	$48	0xbdb6b2…
10-14 07:09:49	Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston	Western Kentucky	BUY	132	53¢	$70	0x61e827…
10-14 07:09:29	Spread: Kennesaw State (-2.5)	Missouri State	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x1bfd45…
10-14 07:09:05	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x917a94…
10-13 13:19:32	Tampa Bay Rays winning after 5 innings?	Yes	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0x267c10…
10-13 13:18:55	Canucks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x26c983…
10-13 13:18:40	Spread: Delaware (-1.5)	Delaware	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x68bf51…
10-13 13:18:10	Florida International vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 43.5	Under	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x0d4ec6…
10-13 13:17:44	Avalanche vs. Stars: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xed17e1…
10-13 13:17:31	Lightning vs. Rangers	Rangers	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xdf3d93…
10-13 13:16:53	Oilers vs. Kings	Oilers	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x010f30…
10-08 05:11:44	Sam Houston vs. Liberty: O/U 51.5	Over	BUY	207	54¢	$112	0x7081ef…
10-08 05:10:47	CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5	Over	BUY	198	55¢	$109	0x7944b1…
10-08 05:09:50	Chris Godwin Jr.: Receptions O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	204	52¢	$107	0x70c9a9…
10-08 05:07:10	Flyers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xd728a5…
10-08 05:03:55	Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)	Cowboys	BUY	183	52¢	$95	0xb69b21…
10-08 04:59:22	Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x69a585…
10-07 10:06:18	New Mexico State vs. Florida International	Florida International	BUY	69	69¢	$48	0x93632b…
10-07 10:05:35	Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	111	54¢	$60	0xabd010…
10-07 10:05:18	Penguins vs. Capitals	Capitals	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x35a17c…
10-07 10:05:08	Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	104	53¢	$55	0xe763c2…
10-07 10:04:56	Spread: Florida International (-6.5)	Florida International	BUY	106	52¢	$55	0x938121…
10-07 09:54:08	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x2f960c…
10-07 09:53:47	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	106	52¢	$55	0xa96898…
10-07 09:03:11	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak	Kamil Majchrzak	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0xb7a2bb…
10-06 13:47:25	Fernando Tatis Jr.: Total Bases O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	132	49¢	$65	0x65c9bb…