Realized P&L
-$157
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
58.5%
Resolved
746
Trades
1,334
lifetime
Volume
$12.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$94
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 10-28 15:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Crypto
65% 69% -$140
Other
30% 85% -$1
Tech
3% 64% -$17
Politics
2% 67% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 10-06 17:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 10-07 05:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 10-07 03:52
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 10-17 03:04
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 10-08 05:49
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 10-10 12:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-08 12:35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-09 05:43
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-23 16:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-07 13:07
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-09 04:02
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-27 09:32
us imports russian diesel by october 31 No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-16 18:16
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-27 15:25
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 10-09 09:07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 93¢ $5 $0 10-09 12:47
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 86¢ $4 -$1 10-28 06:12
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 $0 10-09 05:00