Foolish-Productivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$23

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved (90d)

774

Trades (90d)

1,012

1,923 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$4.74K

$14.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 11-14 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 72% -$143

Other

39% 92% -$10

Tech

2% 67% -$22

Politics

1% 67% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 14?	Yes	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	11-14 11:40
US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	No	+5	$5	97¢	$5	$0	11-09 22:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 15?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	11-13 06:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	+5	$5	69¢	$4	-$1	11-14 03:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2300 on april 12	26	$304	162	161	+1	No	+$3	04-12 03:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 12	25	$272	154	153	+1	Yes	-$17	04-11 23:12
bitcoin above 70k on april 1	11	$250	156	111	+44	No	+$4	04-01 00:09
will bitcoin reach 74k march 30 april 5	15	$226	121	120	+0	No	+$0	04-02 04:05
will bitcoin reach 76k march 30 april 5	14	$198	103	102	+0	No	$0	04-02 04:05
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 8am et	4	$143	130	126	+4	Down	-$13	03-31 12:58
solana above 80 on march 31	4	$118	63	63	+0	Yes	+$2	03-31 15:24
bitcoin above 72k on april 3	6	$102	54	54	+0	No	+$2	04-02 04:05
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 31	6	$80	43	43	+0	No	+$0	03-31 15:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	5	$80	41	41	+0	No	+$0	04-19 07:02
xrp above 1pt3 on march 31	3	$80	62	21	+41	Yes	+$1	03-31 15:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	5	$78	44	44	+0	No	-$2	04-17 12:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 17	6	$74	43	43	+0	Yes	-$2	04-17 07:02
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	4	$72	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 14:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	5	$66	40	40	+0	No	-$6	06-03 05:12
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$61	41	21	+20	No	+$1	04-19 18:16
bitcoin above 60k on april 5	4	$59	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	04-02 04:05
ethereum above 1900 on april 5	4	$58	43	21	+22	Yes	+$1	04-02 04:22
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	3	$56	41	20	+21	No	+$0	04-19 07:16
gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	7	$56	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-11 17:00
will ethereum dip to 2000 on march 31	4	$56	33	33	+0	No	-$3	03-31 15:35
will jumanji welcome to the jungle be the top us netflix movie this week	7	$50	30	24	+6	No	$0	04-13 10:51
bitcoin above 76k on april 17	5	$48	28	28	+0	Yes	-$2	04-17 07:07
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	4	$47	32	21	+10	No	-$3	05-08 21:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	4	$47	30	27	+3	Yes	-$4	05-26 00:53
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	3	$46	35	15	+20	No	+$1	04-28 02:10
ethereum above 2400 on april 17	6	$44	27	27	+0	Yes	-$6	04-17 09:29
will bitcoin reach 70k on april 1	2	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$1	04-02 04:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2?	3	$42	31	21	+10	Yes	-$12	06-03 02:26
will bitcoin reach 71k on april 1	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	04-02 04:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 21:18:14	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 November 9-15?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x4bc4ca…
11-14 20:54:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on November 14?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xc64a40…
11-14 11:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x108039…
11-14 10:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x94f6d0…
11-14 10:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc78013…
11-14 09:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f626a…
11-14 08:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5df0e5…
11-14 08:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x895ab8…
11-14 06:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb6c43d…
11-14 06:13:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1ac5e3…
11-14 05:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x7ea8c7…
11-14 05:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9d9942…
11-14 05:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xef29a4…
11-14 05:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd2f4a2…
11-14 03:28:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x891f93…
11-14 02:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe7e2e4…
11-14 02:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3e1b17…
11-14 02:28:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x693c55…
11-13 23:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3fbc6c…
11-13 23:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5acff…
11-13 23:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x518d20…
11-13 23:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xda505b…
11-13 21:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x4f4b31…
11-13 20:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe76c6d…
11-13 20:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x69e65a…
11-13 18:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf19b00…
11-13 17:12:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa7386e…
11-13 16:30:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd0cd74…
11-13 15:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdef75b…
11-13 13:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc925a0…
11-13 12:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x37670e…
11-13 12:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9c2450…
11-13 12:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x44a55f…
11-13 12:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x50b2a0…
11-13 12:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfd6578…
11-13 11:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xff502f…
11-13 11:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4b9a03…
11-13 10:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc58e2f…
11-13 10:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x9a44fe…
11-13 07:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x779efb…
11-13 07:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9fa5f7…
11-13 07:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7c62ae…
11-13 06:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x23a551…
11-13 06:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9d564f…
11-13 06:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc70ff5…
11-13 06:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0f9eb…
11-13 06:00:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe2bdda…
11-13 06:00:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x44356b…
11-13 05:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x945c4b…
11-13 05:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x69800f…
11-13 05:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbd2fe2…
11-13 05:00:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 13?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x1ef642…
11-13 04:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x466d14…
11-13 04:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb33039…
11-13 03:39:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x248fa9…
11-13 01:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83bfd9…
11-12 22:30:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcc3eb0…
11-12 22:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a29e7…
11-12 21:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde083b…
11-12 21:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa896fd…
11-12 21:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcbcc20…
11-12 21:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x75fb5d…
11-12 20:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a42ec…
11-12 20:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e4a3b…
11-12 19:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xe180d1…
11-12 19:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfdcbda…
11-12 19:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac6e2e…
11-12 19:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb05999…
11-12 18:48:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea1ffb…
11-12 18:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x70b8d8…
11-12 17:13:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xce32fe…
11-12 17:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x02ae1c…
11-12 16:28:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc30fb6…
11-12 15:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38fac7…
11-12 15:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x69971b…
11-12 13:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2dcb01…
11-12 13:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdcd870…
11-12 13:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb58871…
11-12 13:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea4794…
11-12 12:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdf9670…
11-12 09:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc4263e…
11-12 09:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe04f7e…
11-12 07:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c94bb…
11-12 07:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf2dd5…
11-12 07:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf2b76e…
11-12 06:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90d804…
11-12 06:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc32edd…
11-12 06:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd3ad6b…
11-12 05:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x601be6…
11-12 05:13:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8fabd6…
11-12 05:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb78d63…
11-11 23:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07fde8…
11-11 17:17:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1bf44e…
11-11 15:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xbb5fbd…
11-11 15:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe48d2d…
11-11 14:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x15341b…
11-11 14:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9db7a7…
11-11 14:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6637fe…
11-11 13:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xafc476…
11-11 12:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5dfbd4…