Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

57 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$88

$88 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

9 positions

First seen

2026-10-27

last 11-13 21:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 78% +$2

Other

42% 80% +$2

Tech

4% 0% -$2

Politics

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+14	$2	16¢	$2	+$0	10-29 06:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	10-27 21:44
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+6	$1	18¢	$1	+$0	10-27 22:03
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	+1	$1	68¢	$1	$0	11-13 21:57
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	+3	$1	32¢	$1	$0	11-13 21:57
Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+37	$1	2¢	$1	$0	11-11 07:21
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	+2	$1	32¢	$0	$0	11-10 22:27
Will Klaas Knot be the next President of the European Central Bank?	Yes	+3	$1	12¢	$0	-$1	10-30 09:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+4	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	10-31 06:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$14	38	38	+0	Up	+$4	10-28 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	10-29 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$7	10	10	+0	Down	-$3	10-29 21:26
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	4	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	10-30 22:04
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	4	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	10-28 21:39
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	3	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	11-03 17:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	4	$4	5	5	+0	No	-$2	10-30 15:56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	2	$3	4	4	+0	No	+$1	10-28 20:12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	11-03 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	10-30 17:31
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	11-11 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	10-29 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	10-29 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	10-30 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	10-29 22:38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	11-03 21:45
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$2	14	0	+14	open	—	10-29 06:55
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	11-13 21:57
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	10-30 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Up	-$1	10-29 21:36
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$1	4	4	+0	No	-$1	11-01 16:26
Will Klaas Knot be the next President of the European Central Bank?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	10-30 09:02
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	11-10 22:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	10-31 06:57
Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$1	37	0	+37	open	—	11-11 07:21
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	11-01 06:42
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	10-27 22:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	10-27 21:44
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	-$1	11-03 21:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 21:57:34	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb38d17…
11-13 21:57:03	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x03482f…
11-11 12:51:25	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x63dfbb…
11-11 07:21:52	Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x06d39a…
11-10 22:27:37	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x63bc5a…
11-03 21:45:06	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfb6af3…
11-03 21:14:22	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaf4a9c…
11-03 21:13:42	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb00f28…
11-03 20:47:10	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaaa06e…
11-03 19:24:54	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0d2402…
11-03 17:50:04	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xfa9ccb…
11-02 23:14:22	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc9d640…
11-01 16:26:28	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x13d8c0…
11-01 06:42:13	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc1045f…
10-31 10:49:51	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xae18ec…
10-31 06:57:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x14a991…
10-30 23:29:13	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa966e6…
10-30 23:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x59ccf3…
10-30 23:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe6a3a8…
10-30 22:04:45	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd3653f…
10-30 17:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x2cb7cc…
10-30 17:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5933a4…
10-30 15:56:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x39189b…
10-30 15:54:45	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xdd9e42…
10-30 10:43:40	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x87aa2c…
10-30 10:42:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6457c0…
10-30 09:02:55	Will Klaas Knot be the next President of the European Central Bank?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0eb937…
10-29 23:02:30	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xff042b…
10-29 22:49:18	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0a83b0…
10-29 22:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1513cc…
10-29 22:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9e71a5…
10-29 22:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x80bd2d…
10-29 22:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5a0aff…
10-29 21:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x2feb71…
10-29 21:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5af784…
10-29 21:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa7c90f…
10-29 21:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x76af88…
10-29 21:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x4a8bcb…
10-29 21:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaae7cb…
10-29 20:44:03	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x000ce1…
10-29 19:51:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd04152…
10-29 06:55:29	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x50ae87…
10-29 06:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x935664…
10-29 06:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa23b28…
10-28 23:11:05	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7789af…
10-28 23:09:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfd3791…
10-28 21:39:50	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8112e5…
10-28 21:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	38	24¢	$9	0x6530b2…
10-28 21:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xf37e30…
10-28 21:20:41	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x32a279…
10-28 21:17:47	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xfa8e88…
10-28 21:11:44	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7dce3e…
10-28 20:12:17	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x8eb0f0…
10-28 20:06:20	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x28aa13…
10-27 22:03:41	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe77af4…
10-27 21:44:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbc0ba7…
10-27 21:39:08	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7d620c…