Orange-Disposer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

114

Trades

238

lifetime

Volume

$1.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 07-28 06:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

96% 64% +$9

Politics

4% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-20 01:39
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-31 22:34
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	05-26 15:58
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 3?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-19 09:34
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 15:53
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	05-27 05:19
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	06-29 02:39
Will Josh Williams be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-06 02:43
Will VOX (VOX) win fewer than 13 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-18 07:20
Will Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-03 12:03
Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-05 02:02
will mrbeasts video get 85 million or more views on day 6	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	04-24 12:23
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-25 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 4?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-03 16:43
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 28?	3	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	$0	06-28 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 2?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-01 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on April 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-25 22:51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on May 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-28 18:44
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-09 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 5?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-04 22:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-15 15:40
highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 24c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 21:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-15 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-03 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-03 00:57
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 21:31
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	$0	06-18 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-26 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-23 21:37
highest temperature in taipei on april 21 2026 26c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 12:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 06:14:16	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x185279…
06-29 02:39:31	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa139a2…
06-29 01:24:08	Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xedc45f…
06-28 07:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 28?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x6d13e3…
06-28 06:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 28?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb94349…
06-28 06:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2d2446…
06-27 13:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x45abc4…
06-27 13:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf2b252…
06-26 15:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x4730b4…
06-26 15:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xd65c28…
06-26 14:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 27?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1b74cd…
06-25 14:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x849736…
06-25 13:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfe1f18…
06-25 12:48:08	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x21ff44…
06-24 20:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xcdc348…
06-24 15:41:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xacc3b1…
06-24 15:21:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x32a48c…
06-24 15:08:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5830f1…
06-24 12:27:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd4e021…
06-23 21:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 24?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xae351e…
06-23 21:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xff1fab…
06-23 05:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4595ac…
06-23 01:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa73b20…
06-21 06:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x4fe303…
06-21 06:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 21?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xecab71…
06-20 05:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9c9fad…
06-20 04:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x14cf67…
06-20 04:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x1b1aea…
06-20 03:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 20?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x53dc98…
06-20 01:39:49	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xff1d9b…
06-18 04:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe8c1e5…
06-18 04:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfd945d…
06-17 00:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on June 17?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb3d0cd…
06-16 15:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on June 17?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbe81ad…
06-15 05:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x847e9f…
06-15 05:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x144860…
06-14 05:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x08e417…
06-14 05:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7072fa…
06-14 04:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 14?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8b4f25…
06-13 06:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x2309f0…
06-13 06:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xce9d8a…
06-12 12:55:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x2ec965…
06-12 08:34:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xb3f3ef…
06-11 16:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x53a560…
06-11 14:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5a9ded…
06-11 04:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf513e4…
06-11 01:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 11?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x414b7c…
06-09 04:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x2d13d4…
06-09 00:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 9?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdf1db6…
06-08 17:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xdeaf92…
06-08 10:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x87b1c2…
06-08 02:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 8?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x9c7297…
06-07 12:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x42a8ef…
06-07 00:51:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xdd58fa…
06-07 00:30:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x2a8315…
06-07 00:23:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x8101b7…
06-06 07:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xbbc219…
06-06 07:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6dd20e…
06-05 13:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x54df38…
06-05 12:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xe9b3f8…
06-05 12:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 6?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x33a024…
06-04 12:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 5?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x3302fa…
06-03 12:03:05	Will Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1abc02…
06-03 05:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x73af4a…
06-03 05:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfb5f34…
06-02 18:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xda5d8a…
06-02 12:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 3?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdb7879…
06-02 01:33:22	Will Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5637b9…
06-01 14:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2a7456…
06-01 14:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x98e157…
06-01 12:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 2?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xddade1…
06-01 01:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x09281c…
06-01 01:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2a31c2…
06-01 01:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x6ac88e…
05-31 22:34:51	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa7158e…
05-31 19:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 1?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5868f6…
05-31 14:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x41a445…
05-31 08:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x95dcfd…
05-30 15:46:26	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xe9105f…
05-30 05:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xe25c96…
05-30 03:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x426099…
05-29 19:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xea3055…
05-29 16:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xc26d85…
05-29 06:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 29?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x6fc06f…
05-29 06:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x86153c…
05-28 18:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xf6f7d7…
05-28 12:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on May 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe8e42f…
05-28 06:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x82d9ef…
05-28 06:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x14ee54…
05-27 12:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xedc6e0…
05-27 12:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x64befd…
05-27 12:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xced811…
05-27 07:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x715d32…
05-27 05:19:02	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9b0ed3…
05-27 01:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 27?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xe1ab66…
05-26 15:58:22	Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x24743b…
05-26 14:42:29	Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xb97f62…
05-25 00:03:23	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xe9d6d3…
05-19 09:34:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xae55d2…
05-18 18:02:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x89d7fc…