Admirable-Sweatsuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$213

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-18 21:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Politics

43% 100% +$1

Crypto

3% 0% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	1	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	04-13 15:13
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	05-18 21:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	05-18 21:13
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-14 16:16
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$7	8	0	+8	No	$-7	03-14 16:19
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	03-30 04:46
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?	1	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$1	05-04 15:26
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-01 10:15
critical discord incident by march 31 2026	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	03-14 16:14
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-23 18:01
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-23 18:03
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by April 30, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-23 18:03
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	03-14 16:12
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-14 16:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-14 16:18
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-23 18:02
will netanyahu tweet again by saturday	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-14 16:12
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-14 16:15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 18:01
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 18:01
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-14 16:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-21 05:53
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-30 04:46
iran strike on israel by january 31	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-01 10:15
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-21 05:54
will russia capture lyman by january 31 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-21 05:54
will israel strike lebanon on january 20 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-21 05:53
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-21 05:53
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-21 05:54
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-21 05:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 21:14:40	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x84c20f…
05-18 21:13:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xe5bcd6…
05-04 15:26:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x5b1435…
04-23 18:03:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x60a9ff…
04-23 18:03:10	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xfc0dc7…
04-23 18:02:04	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1de178…
04-23 18:01:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2eecf8…
04-23 18:01:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbe826d…
04-23 18:01:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x233f61…
04-13 15:13:13	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x9c7cd5…
03-30 04:46:40	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc86d7e…
03-30 04:46:12	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x914f44…
03-14 16:19:11	Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xc6de6d…
03-14 16:18:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x13f533…
03-14 16:16:39	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x48c213…
03-14 16:16:09	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x51320d…
03-14 16:15:55	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x049fa7…
03-14 16:14:09	critical discord incident by march 31 2026	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xda843f…
03-14 16:12:59	will netanyahu tweet again by saturday	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6a56a8…
03-14 16:12:37	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xa9b5c1…
03-14 16:11:29	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x67760a…
02-01 10:15:40	iran strike on israel by january 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfa12f8…
02-01 10:15:34	will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x94f158…
01-21 05:55:10	iran strike on israel by january 31	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xcbea4a…
01-21 05:54:50	will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5b94be…
01-21 05:54:44	will russia capture lyman by january 31 2026	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xfb8170…
01-21 05:54:36	will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x8719d2…
01-21 05:54:30	will israel strike gaza on january 20 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x4dc134…
01-21 05:54:24	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x50b592…
01-21 05:54:16	will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xce4e77…
01-21 05:54:06	israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xb47d5c…
01-21 05:53:52	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf6a9e2…
01-21 05:53:46	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x23560a…
01-21 05:53:38	will israel strike lebanon on january 20 2026	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x8f4ff7…
01-21 05:53:32	will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xa93b9f…
01-21 05:53:22	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x116c4a…