Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.60K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.1%

Resolved

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$20.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-24 22:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

77% 33% -$6,541

Other

14% 22% -$595

Crypto

7% 26% -$453

Sports

3% 33% -$2

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$7.4K	105,867	105,867	+0	Yes	-$6,137	03-01 01:44
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	7	$1.4K	1,237	1,237	+0	Yes	+$384	03-08 21:33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$1.2K	688	688	+0	Yes	+$195	03-08 21:33
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$879	808	808	+0	Yes	+$79	01-27 21:07
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	7	$645	2,134	2,134	+0	No	-$155	03-14 08:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$562	1,329	1,329	+0	No	-$42	03-28 07:38
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	9	$499	4,875	4,875	+0	Yes	-$245	01-27 21:12
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	7	$487	907	907	+0	No	-$153	03-28 07:43
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	5	$460	905	247	+657	Yes	-$212	02-28 10:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?	4	$362	1,564	1,564	+0	No	+$6	10-02 13:28
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$331	561	561	+0	No	+$17	01-12 09:54
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	6	$315	2,156	2,156	+0	open	—	10-21 04:36
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	2	$314	191	191	+0	No	+$60	01-25 23:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$311	2,800	2,800	+0	Yes	-$289	03-01 01:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	4	$291	2,573	2,573	+0	open	—	10-20 12:12
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	4	$275	1,611	1,611	+0	open	—	10-24 22:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$238	438	438	+0	Yes	-$10	03-28 23:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$225	672	672	+0	open	—	10-16 23:43
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$211	154	154	+0	No	+$11	03-11 00:33
iran strike on israel by january 31	2	$206	128	128	+0	No	+$6	01-24 22:19
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$202	262	262	+0	No	+$2	07-13 14:22
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$199	476	476	+0	Yes	-$1	07-13 06:55
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$198	565	565	+0	No	-$2	07-13 14:22
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	3	$189	532	0	+532	Yes	-$189	01-26 06:20
will france strike iran by march 31	3	$180	891	891	+0	No	-$70	03-11 00:44
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$158	528	0	+528	Yes	-$158	02-28 15:54
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	2	$156	620	620	+0	No	-$44	03-11 00:42
will germany strike iran by march 31	3	$142	3,985	3,985	+0	No	-$18	03-10 21:36
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	2	$137	849	849	+0	open	—	10-20 12:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$135	221	215	+6	No	+$11	04-05 16:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 22:21:48	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,611	8¢	$125	0x9a4d62…
10-22 11:06:11	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x109c86…
10-21 19:55:26	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x86310f…
10-21 19:55:08	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x17aba9…
10-21 04:36:23	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	SELL	213	19¢	$40	0x374e3b…
10-21 04:36:17	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	SELL	948	8¢	$78	0x5cd373…
10-20 22:14:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	7,565	1¢	$60	0x4b7ef7…
10-20 22:10:30	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	BUY	210	10¢	$20	0x993135…
10-20 22:09:42	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	BUY	212	9¢	$20	0x06680a…
10-20 12:44:12	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	BUY	526	10¢	$50	0x887c99…
10-20 12:12:54	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	SELL	1,192	6¢	$74	0x9ccf59…
10-20 12:12:44	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,208	8¢	$97	0x6a6109…
10-20 12:12:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	SELL	2,573	6¢	$154	0x2a4561…
10-20 12:12:26	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	SELL	849	10¢	$87	0xb34722…
10-19 22:03:48	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	546	8¢	$43	0x83dbb1…
10-19 21:56:09	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	546	9¢	$50	0xbc2a46…
10-18 09:29:33	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	BUY	1,192	4¢	$50	0x2bc1c5…
10-18 09:25:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	833	6¢	$50	0x9e8677…
10-18 09:24:29	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	213	23¢	$49	0x57dcf0…
10-18 09:07:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	814	2¢	$17	0x265864…
10-18 09:07:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	231	3¢	$8	0x1d6aae…
10-17 06:22:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	BUY	849	6¢	$50	0x630363…
10-17 06:22:25	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,208	4¢	$50	0x36e087…
10-17 06:18:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	SELL	1,190	1¢	$17	0xfa218d…
10-16 23:44:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7,565	1¢	$57	0xa7d0f2…
10-16 23:43:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	377	15¢	$57	0x64d2af…
10-16 23:42:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,080	5¢	$54	0xda9b23…
10-16 23:41:36	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	SELL	326	17¢	$54	0x053b82…
10-16 23:41:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	660	5¢	$33	0x8b8e81…
10-16 23:40:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	484	6¢	$30	0xb7b388…
10-16 23:38:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	1,190	4¢	$50	0x5f0d9a…
10-14 22:21:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x2e6d5d…
10-14 22:20:58	will iran sabotage undersea internet cables by december 31	Yes	BUY	226	22¢	$50	0x82ca61…
10-13 21:11:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x6a7f15…
10-13 21:09:55	will iran sabotage undersea internet cables by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x2e0ec3…
10-02 13:29:23	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	258	19¢	$48	0x5466c2…
10-02 13:28:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$17	0xec0ff5…
10-02 05:44:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x347d1d…
10-02 05:38:09	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	SELL	95	39¢	$37	0xde39df…
10-02 05:38:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	SELL	1,364	12¢	$167	0xd2d5b8…
09-29 23:19:59	will bitcoin reach 88k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xa31abc…
09-29 08:30:06	will bitcoin reach 90k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1,364	11¢	$150	0xec62c3…
08-28 08:59:16	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0x5cd2d5…
08-28 08:58:54	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	223	22¢	$50	0x443fbe…
07-13 14:22:23	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	565	17¢	$98	0x0ab03d…
07-13 14:22:17	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	262	39¢	$102	0xeb47f9…
07-13 14:22:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	294	18¢	$53	0xe2d5f9…
07-13 06:55:44	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	476	21¢	$99	0xbe930f…
07-12 14:24:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x668b34…
07-11 16:20:13	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0xe37e58…
07-11 16:20:05	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	565	18¢	$100	0xa338c6…
07-11 16:19:31	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xb5dc45…
04-10 19:25:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2ed8c4…
04-10 19:21:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x2b9891…
04-10 19:20:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xa5a43b…
04-10 19:19:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	73	2¢	$1	0xf8282a…
04-10 19:18:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8c86f5…
04-10 19:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xcfd10c…
04-10 19:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaa2b84…
04-05 16:35:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	215	34¢	$73	0xf98ae0…
04-03 21:33:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	221	28¢	$62	0xba639d…
04-03 21:32:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	77	81¢	$62	0x2dcf2f…
03-29 10:14:50	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	77	64¢	$49	0x7b1534…
03-28 23:32:04	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	243	20¢	$49	0xded02e…
03-28 16:53:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	243	23¢	$56	0x0b1723…
03-28 07:57:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	28	88¢	$25	0xfad7dc…
03-28 07:56:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xf25e95…
03-28 07:56:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:55 UTC	Down	SELL	39	38¢	$15	0xcffc32…
03-28 07:55:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xfb477e…
03-28 07:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	113	13¢	$15	0xd71ee0…
03-28 07:50:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0xbb5999…
03-28 07:43:31	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	456	27¢	$122	0xd4a66c…
03-28 07:39:03	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	456	35¢	$158	0xb378c3…
03-28 07:38:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1,128	14¢	$158	0xaaf195…
03-25 20:19:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	628	18¢	$113	0x1bbbd8…
03-25 20:12:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x55edcc…
03-25 20:12:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	194	34¢	$65	0xac5f3c…
03-24 02:59:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	194	35¢	$68	0x58f0f6…
03-24 02:58:07	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	91	5¢	$5	0x9c3e4c…
03-24 02:57:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	159	1¢	$2	0xa9539a…
03-24 02:57:37	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	SELL	182	4¢	$7	0x56e631…
03-24 02:57:31	Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	433	2¢	$10	0x040dcf…
03-24 02:57:27	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	451	10¢	$45	0xe44444…
03-18 18:22:35	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0x968401…
03-17 20:24:59	Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	334	11¢	$38	0xe54b82…
03-17 20:24:05	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	211	18¢	$38	0x5ac160…
03-17 20:23:17	Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf58b8d…
03-17 20:12:31	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xf717bc…
03-17 20:12:29	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xe455af…
03-17 20:10:29	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x4ff151…
03-17 11:40:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	159	4¢	$7	0x601bde…
03-15 19:32:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xe61c96…
03-14 23:32:09	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	54	26¢	$14	0x1fce78…
03-14 08:22:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	Yes	SELL	666	2¢	$14	0xb5658c…
03-13 20:20:15	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	58	36¢	$21	0x4a93e4…
03-13 20:19:15	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 140 164	Yes	SELL	233	9¢	$21	0xdfadf3…
03-12 23:21:57	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 320 339	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xdfc7e8…
03-12 23:17:51	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 190 214	Yes	BUY	678	3¢	$20	0xc127d5…
03-12 23:17:33	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 140 164	Yes	BUY	233	9¢	$20	0x98523b…
03-12 23:15:55	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 240plus	Yes	BUY	1,918	1¢	$25	0x6bdef8…