Brief-Ear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.72K

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

262

Trades

62,434

lifetime

Volume

$494.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$94

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 06-30 18:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 49% +$2,722

Other

12% — —

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 3903 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+114	$68	65¢	$74	+$6	06-30 17:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+58	$17	29¢	$17	$-0	06-29 13:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$2	35¢	$2	$-0	06-29 12:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$2	16¢	$2	$-1	06-29 17:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1782087600	21	$7.2K	6,010	6,010	+0	open	—	06-22 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	107	$2.2K	1,240	1,370	-130	open	—	05-18 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	105	$1.8K	1,332	1,390	-58	open	—	05-15 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	173	$1.8K	1,160	1,391	-231	open	—	05-15 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	12	$1.5K	1,076	1,076	+0	open	—	04-30 02:25
cs2 fal2 g2 2026 06 11	17	$1.4K	1,046	969	+78	open	—	06-11 18:25
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	12	$1.4K	1,169	1,161	+8	open	—	06-28 02:33
btc updown 5m 1775316000	129	$1.3K	1,694	1,401	+292	open	—	04-04 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	70	$1.3K	758	914	-155	open	—	05-15 23:10
cs2 mouz lgc 2026 06 11	5	$1.3K	816	816	+0	open	—	06-11 14:02
cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13	16	$1.2K	721	721	+0	open	—	06-13 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	95	$1.2K	1,028	742	+286	open	—	05-15 22:19
cs2 adn alp 2026 06 24 game1	32	$1.1K	642	642	+0	open	—	06-24 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	9	$1.1K	950	950	+0	open	—	05-15 21:05
btc updown 5m 1775385000	101	$1.1K	1,022	655	+367	open	—	04-05 10:35
eth updown 5m 1782381300	91	$1.1K	706	706	+0	open	—	06-25 09:59
btc updown 5m 1775403000	117	$1.1K	1,200	828	+372	open	—	04-05 15:35
cs2 mana1 step 2026 06 08	81	$1.0K	536	536	+0	open	—	06-08 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	147	$1.0K	690	781	-91	open	—	05-15 22:49
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	30	$1.0K	1,982	1,482	+500	open	—	06-29 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	168	$993	1,600	922	+678	open	—	05-15 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	106	$981	664	1,209	-545	Up	$-17	05-10 12:52
btc updown 5m 1775289600	34	$974	1,783	456	+1,328	open	—	04-04 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	9	$969	677	677	+0	open	—	04-29 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	151	$966	1,308	1,711	-403	open	—	05-15 23:14
cs2 adn alp 2026 06 24	47	$963	1,683	571	+1,112	open	—	06-24 08:37
eth updown 5m 1782467100	13	$962	593	593	+0	open	—	06-26 09:48
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	12	$924	746	746	+0	open	—	06-29 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	45	$923	862	868	-6	Down	+$400	05-10 10:04
cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09	15	$919	1,202	504	+698	open	—	06-09 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 23:24:40	btc updown 5m 1782861600	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0xeb8b20…
06-30 23:24:40	btc updown 5m 1782861600	Up	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x6da7e8…
06-30 23:24:38	btc updown 5m 1782861600	Up	BUY	139	69¢	$96	0x6dcbe9…
06-30 23:24:37	btc updown 5m 1782861600	Up	BUY	86	64¢	$55	0xfc0535…
06-30 23:24:37	btc updown 5m 1782861600	Up	BUY	105	68¢	$71	0x77e02c…
06-30 23:14:43	btc updown 5m 1782861000	Down	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0x7a3aa6…
06-30 22:48:01	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	149	69¢	$103	0x14858b…
06-30 22:19:52	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x09299c…
06-30 22:10:52	xrp updown 15m 1782856800	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x144b39…
06-30 22:06:31	itf grenier berard 2026 06 30	Tristan Berard	SELL	303	54¢	$164	0x66837e…
06-30 22:05:50	itf grenier berard 2026 06 30	Tristan Berard	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0xa4d96d…
06-30 21:43:26	xrp updown 15m 1782855000	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x264eb6…
06-30 21:22:26	sol updown 15m 1782854100	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xef6cff…
06-30 21:20:07	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	130	51¢	$66	0xddfaef…
06-30 21:20:04	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xab1afb…
06-30 21:19:44	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	56	88¢	$50	0xcc8df7…
06-30 21:19:41	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 first half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4443ae…
06-30 20:57:46	xrp updown 15m 1782852300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe5ebc6…
06-30 20:51:22	sol updown 15m 1782852300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8f92e3…
06-30 20:44:01	wta willia joint 2026 06 29	Maya Joint	SELL	32	70¢	$23	0xbb6944…
06-30 20:43:35	wta willia joint 2026 06 29	Maya Joint	BUY	32	66¢	$21	0x48aa9a…
06-30 20:38:37	sol updown 15m 1782851400	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcbde7e…
06-30 20:33:17	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x72dc2f…
06-30 20:11:23	btc updown 15m 1782849600	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf47c34…
06-30 20:11:17	xrp updown 15m 1782849600	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe87f92…
06-30 20:11:16	xrp updown 15m 1782849600	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x061cef…
06-30 19:53:14	eth updown 15m 1782848700	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4570cb…
06-30 19:49:32	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xf64344…
06-30 19:49:32	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x6bccb6…
06-30 19:49:32	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x0bceee…
06-30 19:41:46	eth updown 15m 1782847800	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4e2531…
06-30 19:41:35	eth updown 15m 1782847800	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb433ee…
06-30 19:41:19	eth updown 15m 1782847800	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xc7e310…
06-30 18:38:14	sol updown 4h 1782835200	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x17c4e6…
06-30 18:25:14	sol updown 15m 1782843300	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9fc72c…
06-30 18:24:44	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 30	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x7e9844…
06-30 18:21:20	lol khk es1 2026 06 30	Eintracht Spandau	BUY	232	64¢	$148	0xdfcb31…
06-30 18:21:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xf24243…
06-30 18:21:17	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x34d0e2…
06-30 18:20:02	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 30	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$1	0xfa4013…
06-30 18:20:02	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 30	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xfa0530…
06-30 18:20:02	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 30	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe3ec83…
06-30 18:20:02	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 30	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x849515…
06-30 18:19:59	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 30	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcfa2aa…
06-30 18:19:50	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 30	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x496091…
06-30 18:17:53	lol khk es1 2026 06 30	Eintracht Spandau	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x24650b…
06-30 17:58:17	sol updown 15m 1782841500	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0c351a…
06-30 17:47:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x2e87b6…
06-30 17:38:07	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x46ed7f…
06-30 17:33:22	sol updown 15m 1782840600	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa5ce4d…
06-30 17:32:26	atp kopriva choinsk 2026 06 29	Jan Choinski	SELL	495	70¢	$346	0x14d1c6…
06-30 17:26:05	atp kopriva choinsk 2026 06 29	Jan Choinski	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6271a6…
06-30 17:26:04	atp kopriva choinsk 2026 06 29	Jan Choinski	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf47207…
06-30 17:25:55	atp kopriva choinsk 2026 06 29	Jan Choinski	BUY	77	60¢	$46	0xd2ed36…
06-30 17:25:55	atp kopriva choinsk 2026 06 29	Jan Choinski	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x973e8d…
06-30 17:25:55	atp kopriva choinsk 2026 06 29	Jan Choinski	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x58ef59…
06-30 17:25:55	atp kopriva choinsk 2026 06 29	Jan Choinski	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x35430f…
06-30 17:25:53	atp kopriva choinsk 2026 06 29	Jan Choinski	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb5e1c4…
06-30 17:25:53	atp kopriva choinsk 2026 06 29	Jan Choinski	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x44e85f…
06-30 17:25:52	atp kopriva choinsk 2026 06 29	Jan Choinski	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb70f36…
06-30 17:25:50	atp kopriva choinsk 2026 06 29	Jan Choinski	BUY	322	60¢	$193	0xc765bb…
06-30 17:22:47	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xb2ba6d…
06-30 17:15:44	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x71b3c3…
06-30 17:13:50	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x367272…
06-30 17:13:07	sol updown 15m 1782838800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x760527…
06-30 17:10:52	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 30	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x5333ba…
06-30 17:09:07	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x0652a7…
06-30 17:07:26	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd2e1a7…
06-30 17:01:25	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x661ed7…
06-30 16:59:50	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb3d1a8…
06-30 16:59:40	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6b4783…
06-30 16:59:17	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x85ab1b…
06-30 16:59:16	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9f1454…
06-30 16:59:11	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x54bea5…
06-30 16:58:44	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x98dcb4…
06-30 16:58:38	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 30	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xf8e668…
06-30 16:57:56	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3e626f…
06-30 16:57:40	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf7ea62…
06-30 16:57:07	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xbf62e6…
06-30 16:56:19	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x69d447…
06-30 16:56:02	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x48f500…
06-30 16:55:56	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x09db9b…
06-30 16:55:47	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf5f1f1…
06-30 16:55:31	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6b9cbc…
06-30 16:55:14	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xeafdb9…
06-30 16:54:59	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8756dd…
06-30 16:54:22	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbfcf04…
06-30 16:54:10	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x924401…
06-30 16:53:55	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x34f601…
06-30 16:53:22	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4c44ef…
06-30 16:53:07	btc updown 4h 1782835200	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5423e3…
06-30 16:43:35	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 30	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xf4fab3…
06-30 16:35:44	eth updown 15m 1782837000	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3c7bcb…
06-30 16:22:14	lol sge use1 2026 06 30	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x9c3b43…
06-30 16:22:13	lol sge use1 2026 06 30	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	115	28¢	$32	0x4ca153…
06-30 16:22:13	lol sge use1 2026 06 30	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	417	28¢	$117	0x0fc49c…
06-30 16:22:10	lol sge use1 2026 06 30	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xdb2e7b…
06-30 16:22:08	lol sge use1 2026 06 30	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7cb89d…
06-30 16:22:04	lol sge use1 2026 06 30	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xad57b8…
06-30 16:22:04	lol sge use1 2026 06 30	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0x577bd5…