Realized P&L
-$209
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
82.7%
Resolved
36
Trades
180
lifetime
Volume
$3.75K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$478
14 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 17:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
64% 87% +$8
Politics
18% 67% -$217
Sports
18% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +93 $75 88¢ $82 +$7 10-26 03:32
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +97 $78 78¢ $75 -$2 10-24 00:33
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +73 $69 94¢ $69 $0 10-22 02:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +67 $66 99¢ $67 +$1 10-28 18:36
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +43 $42 99¢ $42 $0 10-26 16:00
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $32 92¢ $31 -$1 10-22 03:11
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 +$0 10-28 02:25
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +25 $21 90¢ $22 +$1 10-26 17:42
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 +$0 10-28 02:47
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 10-25 18:56
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +12 $12 98¢ $12 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +9 $9 95¢ $9 $0 10-21 02:09
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 10-28 02:23