Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$228

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

180 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$3.75K lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$440

12 positions

First seen

2026-10-05

last 10-29 17:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

64% 87% +$8

Politics

18% 78% -$217

Sports

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No		+93	$75	86¢	$81	+$6	10-26 03:32
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No		+97	$78	78¢	$75	-$2	10-24 00:33
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No		+73	$69	95¢	$69	+$0	10-22 02:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No		+67	$66	99¢	$67	+$1	10-28 18:36
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No		+43	$42	99¢	$42	$0	10-26 16:00
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No		+34	$32	94¢	$32	$0	10-22 03:11
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+25	$21	92¢	$23	+$2	10-26 17:42
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No		+15	$15	98¢	$15	+$0	10-25 18:56
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No		+12	$12	98¢	$12	$0	10-14 04:22
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No		+9	$9	95¢	$9	$0	10-21 02:09
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	+$0	10-14 04:22
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	No	—	+9	$8	84¢	$8	$0	10-29 02:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	23	$482	519	+519	No	+$37	10-26 22:48
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	17	$394	522	+522	No	+$128	10-26 22:48
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	13	$349	350	+350	No	+$1	10-26 22:50
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$229	325	+325	Yes	-$229	10-27 19:35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	14	$199	270	+270	No	+$71	10-25 23:45
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	10	$161	510	+510	Yes	-$161	10-26 22:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$150	157	+157	No	+$7	10-28 17:55
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$140	140	+140	No	+$0	10-26 15:21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$83	505	+505	Yes	-$83	10-25 23:19
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$78	97	+97	open	—	10-24 00:33
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	4	$75	93	+93	open	—	10-26 03:32
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$69	73	+73	open	—	10-22 02:35
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$68	68	+68	No	+$0	10-26 18:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$66	67	+67	open	—	10-28 18:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$66	66	+66	No	+$0	10-28 17:51
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$64	64	+64	No	+$0	10-27 18:55
Will Xin Zhao be the most played champion at Worlds 2026?	2	$56	56	+56	No	+$0	10-29 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$52	60	+60	No	+$8	10-21 02:31
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$42	43	+43	open	—	10-26 16:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	10-25 22:07
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?	1	$38	38	+38	No	+$0	10-23 15:47
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	1	$38	38	+38	No	+$0	10-20 13:11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	2	$37	60	+60	No	+$23	10-20 18:13
will gilad kariv be the next speaker of the knesset 20261019103128390	1	$34	36	+36	open	—	10-19 23:42
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$32	34	+34	open	—	10-22 03:11
Will Dillon Brooks lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	2	$26	26	+26	open	—	10-28 11:20
Will Breathe have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	1	$25	26	+26	open	—	10-15 21:31
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	2	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	10-28 02:25
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	1	$21	25	+25	open	—	10-26 17:42
2026 vidantaworld mexico open third round leader william mouw	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	10-24 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:32:52	Will Monaco win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	No	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0xab892f…
10-29 13:35:13	Will Xin Zhao be the most played champion at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6bdc06…
10-29 13:35:10	Will Xin Zhao be the most played champion at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5acd46…
10-29 12:04:19	Will Dustin Wolf win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2efcca…
10-29 11:26:53	Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb57112…
10-29 07:05:59	Will Alperen Sengun lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfc3087…
10-29 06:42:47	Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2e3097…
10-29 05:49:31	Will Jaylen Brown lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xad3c01…
10-29 02:59:53	Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x701db4…
10-28 18:36:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0xfd65d4…
10-28 17:55:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x3ec055…
10-28 17:51:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x3dd5b2…
10-28 14:01:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$64	0x588543…
10-28 12:31:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$64	0x78e3f9…
10-28 11:20:23	Will Dillon Brooks lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa25e17…
10-28 02:47:06	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbcb10a…
10-28 02:25:53	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd0a3ce…
10-28 02:25:26	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x658d55…
10-28 02:23:23	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x05411a…
10-27 19:35:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	87	68¢	$59	0xb84f3e…
10-27 19:26:36	Will Dillon Brooks lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf63da8…
10-27 19:13:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	77	67¢	$52	0x2b4015…
10-27 19:00:23	Will Ranko Veselinović win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc5c2a0…
10-27 19:00:06	Will Marcelo Silva win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x0c6298…
10-27 18:55:33	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x38fd0f…
10-27 18:51:57	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe0af2e…
10-27 18:47:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	82	72¢	$59	0x73d35e…
10-27 17:08:05	Will Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets be the 2027 NBA Finals matchup?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa15943…
10-27 16:09:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	79	75¢	$59	0xff5e17…
10-27 12:52:08	Will Darryn Peterson lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fcd40…
10-27 11:31:03	Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa3c830…
10-27 04:15:47	Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xaa0e60…
10-27 04:15:36	Will Bennett Stirtz win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x27418e…
10-26 22:50:47	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x98cc51…
10-26 22:48:51	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x57de97…
10-26 22:48:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0xfee51b…
10-26 22:48:15	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x508221…
10-26 22:47:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xae9e05…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xb55250…
10-26 22:25:26	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x31431d…
10-26 22:20:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	77	70¢	$54	0xa75942…
10-26 21:52:15	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x09884b…
10-26 21:47:02	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0x21a15b…
10-26 21:45:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	66	83¢	$55	0x785468…
10-26 21:16:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	56	75¢	$42	0xbc1341…
10-26 21:10:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0xd6d70a…
10-26 21:00:38	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0xf97b3a…
10-26 20:42:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x96982d…
10-26 20:42:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	39	91¢	$35	0xa6f778…
10-26 18:53:50	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2278a4…
10-26 18:50:33	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb12e90…
10-26 18:44:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	154	27¢	$41	0xe98a11…
10-26 18:25:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0x2ba62c…
10-26 18:14:36	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x192822…
10-26 18:10:54	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x09e082…
10-26 18:05:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0xdfe6f2…
10-26 18:01:42	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xe62f76…
10-26 17:42:05	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xc6999a…
10-26 17:41:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0x15f784…
10-26 17:37:20	Will Trey McBride be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x78e565…
10-26 17:26:06	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0ea89f…
10-26 17:12:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x70ce5d…
10-26 17:08:35	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x7634bc…
10-26 17:08:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x46037b…
10-26 17:00:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	66	74¢	$49	0x92b157…
10-26 16:38:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xec7523…
10-26 16:37:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	29	37¢	$10	0xa62f79…
10-26 16:26:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x60fbf8…
10-26 16:24:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xeda5fb…
10-26 16:14:03	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x68c567…
10-26 16:13:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x8c251e…
10-26 16:08:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x931943…
10-26 16:06:08	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x05dc60…
10-26 16:03:33	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3d5f10…
10-26 16:00:41	Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xca9091…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	17	67¢	$12	0x46c16f…
10-26 15:54:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x217418…
10-26 15:52:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	59	38¢	$22	0x719969…
10-26 15:45:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x611db4…
10-26 15:40:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x60fc2b…
10-26 15:37:21	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbd5547…
10-26 15:32:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xea7c23…
10-26 15:28:45	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6bae74…
10-26 15:23:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xeb0645…
10-26 15:21:23	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x5f3e7b…
10-26 14:43:57	Will Evan Mobley lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x20bac7…
10-26 14:33:47	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe9730b…
10-26 14:32:03	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20bb7f…
10-26 14:24:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0x10ae93…
10-26 14:19:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	25	70¢	$17	0xe2fbd0…
10-26 14:16:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x59e2ab…
10-26 14:15:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe06c2d…
10-26 14:14:03	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x39b3d0…
10-26 14:08:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0x45df4d…
10-26 13:57:11	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x83fa70…
10-26 13:53:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x85fb57…
10-26 13:46:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x7d8bbd…
10-26 13:41:41	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x234fd0…
10-26 13:16:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0x0b8525…
10-26 13:09:27	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x2336a3…