Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

555

lifetime

Volume

$9.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-11 16:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-0

Politics

19% — —

Sports

17% 0% $-1

Crypto

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+20	$19	94¢	$19	+$0	06-03 08:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+20	$1	6¢	$1	$-0	06-03 08:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	46	$1.0K	2,040	0	+2,040	open	—	04-06 00:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	40	$784	1,610	50	+1,560	open	—	04-09 11:39
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	48	$767	1,742	262	+1,480	No	$-1	04-18 19:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	22	$528	910	90	+820	open	—	03-19 06:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	39	$342	620	52	+568	open	—	04-06 09:16
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	14	$303	640	40	+600	open	—	04-01 01:28
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	12	$270	540	0	+540	open	—	03-31 09:50
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$258	280	160	+120	open	—	03-17 16:29
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	12	$245	540	60	+480	open	—	03-19 03:25
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$237	180	180	+0	open	—	03-16 08:42
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	12	$220	310	90	+220	open	—	03-23 07:19
Netanyahu out by April 30?	10	$182	410	50	+360	open	—	04-01 11:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$170	340	0	+340	open	—	04-05 22:24
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	14	$165	260	80	+180	open	—	03-17 02:09
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	6	$141	200	80	+120	open	—	03-18 23:48
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$130	260	0	+260	open	—	03-31 13:08
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	8	$130	260	0	+260	open	—	04-09 14:47
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$122	290	50	+240	open	—	03-13 16:48
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	4	$120	240	0	+240	open	—	03-16 21:42
will trump visit china by march 31	4	$120	120	120	+0	open	—	03-18 12:41
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	4	$118	100	100	+0	open	—	03-18 02:55
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	03-14 22:52
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	03-12 19:58
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$117	60	60	+0	No	$-0	03-16 15:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	03-28 00:29
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	4	$90	180	0	+180	open	—	03-27 04:20
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	8	$89	180	40	+140	open	—	03-25 21:59
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$87	90	30	+60	open	—	03-13 19:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	9	$85	241	81	+160	open	—	04-27 18:04
bitcoin above 76k on march 17	4	$80	160	0	+160	open	—	03-17 13:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 16:02:03	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	No	SELL	41	7¢	$3	0x5850a5…
06-11 16:01:52	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	No	BUY	41	20¢	$8	0x77a4df…
06-05 04:10:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x5cc497…
06-03 13:04:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$29	0xfc1231…
06-03 13:04:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xebd351…
06-03 08:03:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x5d33f6…
06-03 08:03:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x572018…
06-02 04:03:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xf0d04e…
06-02 04:03:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	31	18¢	$6	0x9d2060…
06-02 04:03:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x50dcc7…
05-31 22:29:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x17c0be…
05-31 22:29:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x9c5066…
05-31 22:29:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0xb281fb…
05-31 17:20:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x3b84eb…
05-31 17:20:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x85bb1c…
05-31 17:20:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x9c86d1…
05-11 03:16:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x733d6d…
05-11 03:16:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x721fb2…
05-11 03:16:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x3265ff…
05-09 14:11:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf1961a…
05-09 14:11:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb7a0f3…
05-09 14:10:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfc78e5…
04-27 18:04:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xcf4aad…
04-27 18:04:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$1	0x34ec47…
04-27 18:04:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x194fc6…
04-27 13:11:30	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x277e2a…
04-27 13:11:22	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x938d77…
04-27 13:11:22	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x1781ee…
04-26 22:25:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xcf69c5…
04-26 22:25:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x98c8ea…
04-26 22:25:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x8b0118…
04-26 12:58:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x4a40b2…
04-26 12:58:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xe6db19…
04-25 08:07:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$1	0xddaad2…
04-25 08:07:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x0dc2c5…
04-25 05:22:30	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x79dfb0…
04-25 05:22:22	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x8a3ba2…
04-25 02:55:02	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xf50d7c…
04-25 02:54:48	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x5b76c9…
04-24 11:31:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xa8ba4f…
04-24 11:31:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x6dd120…
04-24 00:57:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x81685f…
04-24 00:57:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x0767bd…
04-23 22:43:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xe55c83…
04-23 22:43:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x475c69…
04-23 18:29:22	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x04ce3f…
04-23 18:29:08	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf24e17…
04-23 16:04:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x98dc44…
04-23 16:04:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x23beba…
04-23 11:25:38	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x1b0236…
04-23 11:25:30	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xec5a97…
04-22 23:49:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x114947…
04-22 23:49:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0xe1a8aa…
04-22 23:49:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc73aa5…
04-22 20:08:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x4bb583…
04-22 20:08:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x3bb7be…
04-22 04:54:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xd91895…
04-22 04:54:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x69872a…
04-21 22:57:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xcaed95…
04-21 22:57:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xc53aa5…
04-21 18:08:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x5ad18e…
04-21 18:08:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x7727a3…
04-21 16:13:34	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xb0a12e…
04-21 16:13:20	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8caaa5…
04-21 16:13:20	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x3e9f58…
04-21 16:13:16	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xd7f288…
04-21 12:26:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x316b8b…
04-21 12:26:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xcf6092…
04-21 12:24:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3a4248…
04-21 10:17:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xee3d63…
04-21 10:17:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xb1faef…
04-21 07:28:00	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x8b9ec9…
04-21 07:27:48	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfeae32…
04-19 20:42:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x98e9d5…
04-19 20:42:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xa6b6cd…
04-19 20:24:34	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xbf5101…
04-19 20:24:26	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x264bd3…
04-19 05:26:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x06e541…
04-19 05:26:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0xc01f5a…
04-19 05:25:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x09ef6e…
04-18 19:54:56	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xae229b…
04-18 19:54:48	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xe197aa…
04-18 09:46:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x4512c2…
04-18 09:46:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x7c7ed9…
04-17 19:01:54	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x518fc0…
04-17 17:16:42	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x157354…
04-17 17:16:12	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x68be03…
04-17 17:15:50	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xeef2f3…
04-17 17:15:48	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	38	97¢	$36	0xc3ef6c…
04-17 17:15:48	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9db5a2…
04-16 21:45:28	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xf1a33e…
04-16 21:45:20	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x7eb240…
04-16 19:28:54	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x7eed36…
04-16 19:28:44	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xbe3727…
04-16 05:52:54	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x726de1…
04-16 05:52:46	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0x22be16…
04-16 05:52:38	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x78ba96…
04-15 19:49:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xa38262…
04-15 19:49:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x61c698…
04-13 19:27:59	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1bc973…