Realized P&L
-$71
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved
297
Trades
620
lifetime
Volume
$18.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$295
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 04:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
39% 43% -$220
Crypto
39% 62% -$4
Politics
18% 70% +$123
Sports
3% 57% +$44
Tech
1% 33% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$66 80¢ $-80 -$14 10-05 10:00
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$42 66¢ $-66 -$24 10-02 13:48
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No -71 -$27 68¢ $-49 -$22 10-02 14:11
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$57 34¢ $-34 +$23 10-02 13:48
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes -71 -$41 32¢ $-23 +$18 10-02 14:11
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$33 20¢ $-20 +$12 10-05 10:01
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -13 -$12 93¢ $-12 -$1 09-27 20:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12 -$12 97¢ $-12 $0 09-27 20:18