Infantile-Burning-Spell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

745

Trades

3,320

lifetime

Volume

$351.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

$533

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 10-27 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

81% 74% -$11,842

Politics

15% 87% +$180

Sports

2% 77% +$155

Crypto

2% 91% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No		+662	$582	80¢	$533	-$49	10-22 14:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	42	$14.7K	8,879	8,879	+0	No	+$52	05-09 05:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	26	$11.8K	6,087	6,097	-10	No	+$26	05-09 11:55
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	66	$11.7K	8,788	8,788	+0	Yes	+$85	06-22 07:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	37	$10.8K	7,060	3,946	+3,114	No	+$84	05-08 16:58
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	53	$9.9K	6,899	6,899	+0	No	+$211	05-13 21:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	52	$9.3K	10,827	10,827	+0	open	—	05-29 17:08
lol gen dk 2026 07 18	9	$8.0K	8,000	8,000	+0	Dplus KIA	+$20	07-18 15:31
Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?	87	$7.0K	7,847	3,937	+3,911	Yes	-$2,759	07-19 04:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	32	$6.4K	3,325	3,325	+0	No	+$9	07-17 07:13
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	83	$5.2K	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	06-18 19:11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	8	$4.6K	2,000	3,000	-1,000	Up	-$50	05-11 14:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	6	$4.5K	2,446	2,446	+0	No	+$24	05-10 20:13
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	14	$4.2K	1,290	3,290	-2,000	No	-$284	05-15 11:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	8	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$3	05-10 09:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	4	$3.9K	3,000	1,000	+2,000	No	+$16	05-11 15:07
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	56	$3.5K	6,340	6,340	+0	Yes	+$53	05-26 08:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	28	$3.1K	1,572	1,572	+0	No	+$9	06-21 20:58
Nothing Ever Happens: May	47	$3.0K	1,733	1,378	+356	Nothing	+$22	06-01 05:19
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	65	$2.8K	57,000	57,000	+0	No	+$161	06-30 01:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	15	$2.6K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$6	07-19 12:49
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	7	$2.5K	2,600	0	+2,600	Yes	+$74	08-10 06:44
lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	19	$2.2K	1,508	1,008	+500	G2 Esports	-$427	07-03 07:29
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-09?	13	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$21	05-09 06:11
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	3	$2.0K	4,000	2,000	+2,000	Yes	+$14	08-14 12:48
LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 3 Winner	6	$2.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	Bubliki	+$28	05-29 20:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	7	$2.0K	1,250	1,250	-0	Yes	+$7	05-23 09:44
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	15	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$1	06-14 17:25
us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$1	08-21 07:34
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-10?	15	$1.9K	1,000	999	+0	Yes	+$20	05-10 06:51
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	36	$1.9K	2,600	1,446	+1,154	DRX	-$284	05-23 10:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:05:54	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x7bad80…
10-25 18:25:50	Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x298b91…
10-25 13:09:32	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x04216e…
10-25 12:45:33	Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: Fortuna Sittard O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x7761f8…
10-25 12:43:02	FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina: ACF Fiorentina O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xf39b8b…
10-25 07:49:33	Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)	Fagiano Okayama	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x4e4f4c…
10-25 07:24:11	Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xbd0b67…
10-25 07:24:05	Urawa Red Diamonds vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: V-Varen Nagasaki O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	107	75¢	$80	0xcce081…
10-25 07:24:05	Urawa Red Diamonds vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: V-Varen Nagasaki O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	93	75¢	$70	0xc39fbb…
10-24 20:11:51	Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	84	87¢	$73	0x565f8f…
10-24 20:03:27	Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0x3431f7…
10-24 19:58:12	SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0xe51f85…
10-24 14:43:17	FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	1	79¢	$0	0xbf6bde…
10-24 14:43:14	FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	299	79¢	$237	0xd5ec84…
10-24 14:39:14	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xe75778…
10-24 14:38:57	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x4f3da1…
10-24 14:38:56	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x827a0b…
10-24 13:21:09	Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xe112bb…
10-24 11:31:21	Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xb9274c…
10-24 11:28:53	Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x8d3712…
10-24 11:28:53	Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x81b740…
10-24 11:28:53	Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	86	75¢	$64	0x5b5b13…
10-24 11:27:50	Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x84c122…
10-24 06:56:39	Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x968591…
10-23 19:50:56	Will Granada CF win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	115	73¢	$84	0x05efa8…
10-23 19:43:03	Will Grenoble Foot 38 win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x9c251d…
10-23 19:43:03	Will Grenoble Foot 38 win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x8ebefa…
10-23 19:43:03	Will Grenoble Foot 38 win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	127	92¢	$117	0x49ec5d…
10-23 19:43:03	Will Grenoble Foot 38 win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x211097…
10-23 19:43:02	Will Grenoble Foot 38 win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x25713f…
10-23 19:43:00	Will Grenoble Foot 38 win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xd8e6f6…
10-23 19:42:33	Will Grenoble Foot 38 win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x33fc06…
10-23 19:39:56	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x07408b…
10-23 19:39:06	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xf7bd99…
10-22 19:43:39	Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	82	83¢	$68	0xedd1e6…
10-22 19:43:39	Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	118	83¢	$98	0xe8f744…
10-22 19:42:08	Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xc839fc…
10-22 18:09:45	Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x356da3…
10-22 18:09:35	Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0x236c24…
10-22 18:09:17	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf5c25c…
10-22 18:08:29	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x1f3f1c…
10-22 14:32:39	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	84	85¢	$71	0xb484e1…
10-21 23:24:15	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x56a22c…
10-21 23:24:14	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x66fb6b…
10-21 23:24:12	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xb8b642…
10-21 23:24:12	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x6ade34…
10-21 23:24:12	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x10bc9b…
10-21 19:45:11	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0xd67533…
10-21 19:45:11	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x74bcba…
10-21 19:45:08	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xab27d5…
10-21 19:40:11	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x431c3f…
10-21 19:39:36	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xf2d0d3…
10-21 19:39:05	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xf5fbd0…
10-20 20:29:44	Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xbcdab1…
10-20 19:43:54	AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x4d816b…
10-20 19:43:53	AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	80	70¢	$56	0x15a9db…
10-20 19:42:05	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x2cfdaf…
10-20 19:39:06	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0xb3cf45…
10-20 19:39:06	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x560782…
10-19 20:43:48	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x30dcfc…
10-19 19:48:50	Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-08-16?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xbb7083…
10-19 19:46:20	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$43	0xcd03ce…
10-19 19:45:36	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	43	85¢	$36	0x102cab…
10-19 19:45:29	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x86b65e…
10-19 19:43:54	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x65f7ee…
10-19 09:03:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	98	23¢	$23	0xe00e2f…
10-19 09:03:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xa8e7a3…
10-19 09:03:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x48b40a…
10-19 09:03:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xabb4d0…
10-19 09:03:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xa3b15a…
10-19 09:03:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xb1cbd3…
10-19 09:00:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x57f944…
10-19 09:00:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x49cb2e…
10-19 09:00:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x036925…
10-19 09:00:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	300	23¢	$69	0xd7335d…
10-19 09:00:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x07ba6b…
10-19 09:00:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x9006cb…
10-19 09:00:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x669577…
10-19 09:00:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x4118d4…
10-19 09:00:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x1b785a…
10-19 09:00:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x78f38d…
10-19 09:00:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	500	23¢	$115	0x907caa…
10-19 09:00:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	500	23¢	$115	0x5c1bb8…
10-19 08:58:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	90	23¢	$21	0x1173dc…
10-19 05:54:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xc5b897…
10-19 05:54:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	256	22¢	$56	0x2c91e2…
10-19 05:54:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	120	21¢	$25	0xdeb822…
10-19 05:54:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	2,442	22¢	$537	0xaec573…
10-19 05:54:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	160	22¢	$35	0x1abfc9…
10-18 20:22:56	Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x463310…
10-18 19:00:18	Tromsø IL vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xebad8d…
10-18 18:59:42	Tromsø IL vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x1e15b9…
10-18 18:57:44	AE Kifisia FC vs. Aris Thessaloniki: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x60dc03…
10-18 18:57:32	AE Kifisia FC vs. Aris Thessaloniki: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x6e60bf…
10-18 18:55:26	Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xa7f68d…
10-18 18:52:42	AE Kifisia FC vs. Aris Thessaloniki: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x440b51…
10-18 18:17:47	Will CD Eldense win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x8ff401…
10-18 18:11:48	Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xd282f7…
10-18 17:17:41	Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gaziantep FK: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xc7c7b6…
10-18 16:35:36	Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)	AS Monaco FC	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xa38c41…