Cultivated-Management — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-21 06:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

64% 100% +$4

Politics

19% 100% +$3

Crypto

10% 100% +$1

Tech

7% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$159	159	+159	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:39
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$138	138	+138	No	+$0	02-22 04:08
will tsla reach 473 in march	1	$116	116	+116	No	+$0	03-28 08:41
nflx above 20 on march 31 2026	1	$115	115	+115	Yes	+$0	03-16 01:45
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-08 02:54
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?	1	$96	96	+96	No	+$0	07-17 06:21
will nflx dip to 0 in february	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	02-24 03:18
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	01-23 02:13
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	04-15 07:35
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$81	82	+82	No	+$1	02-03 02:25
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 7	1	$73	73	+73	No	+$0	04-06 09:38
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$69	69	+69	No	+$0	07-01 11:55
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?	1	$68	68	+68	No	+$0	06-20 14:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	1	$67	67	+67	No	+$0	04-28 07:39
Over $250M committed to the Printr public sale?	1	$63	63	+63	No	+$0	05-13 08:23
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$61	61	+61	No	+$0	05-03 12:59
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	1	$59	59	+59	No	+$0	03-04 06:39
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	1	$59	59	+59	No	+$0	03-24 02:20
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	1	$58	58	+58	No	+$0	04-02 01:38
will grok 4pt20 be released on february 12 2026	1	$58	58	+58	No	+$0	02-13 01:09
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	1	$56	56	+56	Yes	+$0	04-19 01:07
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	1	$56	56	+56	No	+$0	05-25 09:55
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$55	57	+57	No	+$2	01-15 01:56
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$54	54	+54	Yes	+$0	02-05 08:54
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	1	$53	53	+53	No	+$0	05-22 02:33
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	1	$51	51	+51	Yes	+$0	09-21 06:42
will aapl dip to 284 by july 6 2026	1	$46	46	+46	No	+$0	07-10 01:44
will xauusd reach 5000 in august 2026	1	$42	42	+42	No	+$0	08-29 03:42
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$41	41	+41	No	+$0	09-01 14:01
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	01-01 19:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 06:42:05	Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xe72b31…
09-01 14:01:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x00869b…
08-29 03:42:25	will xauusd reach 5000 in august 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xb116cd…
08-05 09:46:29	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x0aaad9…
08-03 04:04:53	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x0de72c…
08-03 01:48:45	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27d8d4…
07-17 06:21:31	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x0fb668…
07-10 01:44:16	will aapl dip to 284 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x84065a…
07-01 11:55:26	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x2645a3…
06-22 02:24:44	starmer out by june 21 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x4a895e…
06-20 14:27:55	Sam Altman in jail by June 30?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x8b8557…
06-05 02:11:04	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x24dd03…
05-25 09:55:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x5938be…
05-22 02:33:25	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x8c22a5…
05-13 08:23:43	Over $250M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xa2a959…
05-08 02:54:23	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8a25c2…
05-03 12:59:48	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xf2829c…
04-28 07:39:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x18822e…
04-19 01:07:36	Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x5291b5…
04-15 07:35:18	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x5c3ba0…
04-06 09:39:03	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0xda0460…
04-06 09:38:31	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 7	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xe61dff…
04-02 01:38:45	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x8354b3…
03-28 08:41:05	will tsla reach 473 in march	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x41468a…
03-24 02:20:43	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xcf7de0…
03-16 01:45:21	nflx above 20 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x9679db…
03-11 12:39:19	will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xef3568…
03-04 06:39:27	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x1be058…
02-24 03:18:58	will nflx dip to 0 in february	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x1e29ca…
02-22 04:08:02	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x60db69…
02-13 01:09:35	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 12 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x489bcb…
02-05 08:54:23	Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x0914f1…
02-03 02:25:48	Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x3f1486…
01-23 02:13:12	will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x3b7175…
01-15 01:56:10	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x8903e4…
01-14 02:35:02	will the us next strike iran on january 13 2026 et 111	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x80e800…
01-07 10:29:29	new stranger things episode released by wednesday	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x820841…
01-01 19:58:23	grok 4pt20 released by april 20 988 375 998 452	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x96c0d4…
01-01 19:57:25	us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xecc2e3…
01-01 14:14:35	us anti cartel operation on foreign soil by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7c53d5…