Pleased-Drop — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$71

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved (90d)

956

Trades (90d)

1,071

3,032 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$5.97K

$26.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-03-01

last 11-04 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Other

98% 51% -$271

Sports

2% 44% -$99

Politics

0% 31% +$5

Crypto

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No		+16	$3	97¢	$16	+$13	11-04 00:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Germany leading at halftime?	2	$184	94	94	+0	Yes	+$4	06-14 17:52
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$123	67	67	+0	Yes	+$11	06-16 21:08
sea cre mil 2026 03 01 mil	2	$121	71	71	+0	Yes	+$21	03-01 13:33
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 shots johan manzambi gte2	3	$121	71	71	+0	No	+$21	07-07 19:29
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	4	$121	93	92	+1	Yes	+$22	04-08 20:16
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	4	$116	90	90	+0	No	-$4	07-11 22:36
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 shots kevin de bruyne gte1	2	$113	64	64	+0	Yes	+$13	06-21 20:51
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	2	$109	60	60	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$9	05-06 20:55
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$106	65	65	+0	Yes	+$6	05-06 19:28
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$105	72	71	+1	Yes	+$21	04-25 15:45
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 cfc1	3	$102	67	67	+0	No	+$22	03-17 20:29
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-26?	2	$99	67	66	+1	Yes	-$1	04-26 15:28
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	4	$99	72	72	+0	Yes	+$19	03-01 15:31
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	4	$98	113	90	+23	England	-$22	07-11 23:02
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$95	60	60	+0	No	+$23	05-03 19:28
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)	6	$92	64	64	+0	SC Freiburg	+$7	05-07 20:00
atp martin villanu 2026 07 22	2	$92	51	51	+0	Matteo Martineau	+$10	07-23 11:21
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 spread home 1pt5	2	$89	61	61	+0	Arsenal FC	-$4	04-19 16:58
mlb stl nyy 2026 08 03	2	$89	59	59	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	+$7	08-04 00:24
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	2	$89	54	54	+0	Yes	+$19	05-13 21:09
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	2	$87	58	57	+0	Yes	+$28	03-31 21:04
wta bondar akugue 2026 07 22	2	$84	44	44	+0	Anna Bondar	+$4	07-22 20:15
por spo cds 2026 04 03 spo	2	$83	56	55	+1	Yes	+$23	04-03 20:24
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?	2	$80	51	50	+1	Yes	+$21	04-26 15:01
epl tot cry 2026 03 05 cry	2	$80	53	53	+0	Yes	+$20	03-05 21:07
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?	3	$78	48	48	+0	Yes	+$18	05-08 21:20
Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-02?	2	$75	45	45	+0	No	+$15	05-02 20:26
epl ars che 2026 03 01 spread home 1pt5	2	$75	45	45	+0	Chelsea FC	+$15	03-01 18:36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	2	$75	56	56	+0	Yes	+$15	05-16 15:40
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 shots johan manzambi gte1	2	$75	50	50	+0	No	+$25	07-07 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 19:35:15	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x252edc…
11-04 19:35:04	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x12c8c5…
11-04 19:30:54	PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd36968…
11-04 19:27:36	FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x747608…
11-04 19:27:25	Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdcab98…
11-04 19:25:09	Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x25d628…
11-04 19:22:24	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: Real Betis Balompié O/U 4.5 Corners	Under	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x3106bc…
11-04 19:22:15	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund O/U 5.5 Corners	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc2aaf1…
11-04 19:20:49	Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6a14f1…
11-04 19:16:52	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x298db3…
11-04 17:44:16	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xad82bf…
11-04 17:44:06	Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xd3e692…
11-04 17:43:58	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2e50d9…
11-04 17:43:46	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xb5756d…
11-04 17:15:01	ucl fen liv 2026 11 04 ags bradley barcola 90098824	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd6fed9…
11-04 17:14:46	ucl fen liv 2026 11 04 ags virgil van dijk 90026643	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0afe3d…
11-04 17:11:00	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x446bc7…
11-04 17:09:19	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: AEK O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb54e4e…
11-04 00:47:40	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa694c1…
11-04 00:47:13	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8a418b…
11-04 00:46:01	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xd49481…
11-04 00:44:52	Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x07d14e…
11-04 00:43:22	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x656a9f…
11-04 00:15:36	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdf0438…
11-04 00:14:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x5fb08e…
11-04 00:13:09	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x07a052…
11-03 22:14:48	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 2.5 Corners	Over	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa43a3e…
11-03 22:12:57	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x075691…
11-03 19:28:36	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd7ccf3…
11-03 19:27:45	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x549501…
11-03 19:27:39	Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)	Lille OSC	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x472685…
11-03 19:27:15	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 2.5 Corners	Over	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7c0fca…
11-03 19:24:03	Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Villarreal CF O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x48671a…
11-03 19:23:03	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6dc6b8…
11-03 19:20:09	Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: Manchester United FC O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7ab1cf…
11-03 19:19:57	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x976742…
11-03 16:54:06	FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbd6364…
11-03 16:53:57	FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6e2b29…
11-03 16:52:15	Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: Galatasaray SK O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbbe2e7…
11-03 16:52:09	Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 4.5 Corners	Under	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xaecc21…
11-03 01:02:33	Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x205908…
11-02 20:35:55	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x703639…
11-02 20:35:48	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-11-02?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc5e46b…
11-02 19:47:40	Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xcbfdb8…
11-02 19:47:01	Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: Everton FC O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x54a505…
11-02 19:41:57	FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5f67cf…
11-02 17:18:31	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5c4836…
11-02 17:18:00	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x29031a…
11-02 17:17:00	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x40726f…
11-02 17:16:40	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x7365f5…
11-02 17:13:57	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Bears	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf45baa…
11-02 16:51:58	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7e2b1c…
11-01 19:31:27	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Toulouse FC O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf63b26…
11-01 19:29:58	Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe0478a…
11-01 19:24:22	Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Juventus FC O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x80f886…
11-01 16:41:55	US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: US Lecce O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x343d9d…
11-01 15:39:42	Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe88e3b…
11-01 15:39:13	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: Angers SCO O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8ad36f…
11-01 14:24:39	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xff7b94…
11-01 13:54:48	RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x11b1eb…
11-01 13:54:36	RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AJ Auxerre: AJ Auxerre O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6e89b8…
11-01 13:53:55	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x058043…
10-31 19:04:58	AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x14b5ab…
10-31 19:04:36	ES Troyes AC vs. Le Mans FC: ES Troyes AC O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x549f7e…
10-31 15:15:43	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x443b70…
10-31 15:15:19	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xaf7341…
10-31 15:15:09	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x974156…
10-31 15:14:48	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xea53e3…
10-31 14:07:54	Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe8e7f5…
10-31 14:04:40	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdc3a4a…
10-31 14:04:13	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1d8a54…
10-31 14:02:04	SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe8030b…
10-31 13:38:01	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x786e33…
10-30 21:07:01	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd0a121…
10-30 19:10:19	Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9e73a6…
10-30 19:06:46	Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x789613…
10-30 19:00:24	SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xdd8baa…
10-30 18:20:03	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x355b88…
10-30 17:52:25	OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2b5165…
10-30 17:25:55	OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2ebf08…
10-28 20:06:49	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xedb70c…
10-28 20:06:16	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb508c0…
10-28 19:39:26	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2aed2c…
10-28 19:39:16	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcaffb3…
10-28 19:04:34	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8b4148…
10-28 17:26:43	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5f96f0…
10-28 17:26:07	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3261e8…
10-28 17:25:31	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4b340c…
10-28 15:31:05	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x06a8f2…
10-27 21:27:30	Will RC Recreativo de Huelva win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x514a8a…
10-27 21:27:00	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8b7f5c…
10-27 21:26:26	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1d17ce…
10-27 20:33:12	Will RC Recreativo de Huelva win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x8c52b7…
10-27 14:17:27	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x547bb1…
10-26 17:51:36	Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x977865…
10-25 22:11:57	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5a5c28…
10-25 22:11:47	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x16adf0…
10-25 20:00:57	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x1357aa…
10-25 19:59:32	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x53b40f…
10-25 19:59:23	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0d10d3…