Expert-Mole — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$136

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

8 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$205

$205 lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$42

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-17 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

73% 100% +$114

Crypto

24% 50% +$22

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes		-42	$-42	100¢	$-42	+$0	05-17 13:30
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?	Yes		+83	$25	0¢	$0	$-25	05-17 09:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?	1	$58	0	167	-167	open	—	05-17 11:35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	1	$42	0	42	-42	open	—	05-17 13:30
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	1	$25	139	0	+139	Yes	+$114	05-06 15:02
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?	1	$25	83	0	+83	open	—	05-17 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$20	84	0	+84	Up	$-20	05-10 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$20	62	0	+62	Up	+$42	05-10 15:31
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	238	0	+238	open	—	05-14 08:39
Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	104	0	+104	open	—	05-14 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 13:30:49	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xc865ec…
05-17 11:35:40	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	167	35¢	$58	0xf6ee89…
05-17 09:35:30	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x788b15…
05-14 08:39:15	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0xf34009…
05-14 08:34:00	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0xecb28d…
05-10 16:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0xae63ba…
05-10 15:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xf4609a…
05-06 15:02:43	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x24f48e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$3.11K	83	05-17 17:00
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	4	$148.3K	278	05-17 18:02
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	4	$885	102	05-17 17:42
Gloomy-Date 0x30ce…fdce	3	$7.17K	5	05-17 16:58
Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995	3	$6.12K	23	05-17 17:17
Muffled-Frustration 0x26d6…cacc	3	$4.61K	9	05-17 19:27
Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7	3	$845	8	05-17 17:21