Rusty-Father — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

291 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$59

$3.51K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-04 13:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 10:20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:36
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:31
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:19
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:14
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:53
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:40
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:53
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-04 13:38
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:27
highest temperature in los angeles on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 02:13
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:40
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 13:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb8e8d…
11-03 17:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd941d…
11-02 06:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c383f…
10-31 15:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ddc81…
10-30 14:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b2404…
10-29 17:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42556b…
10-29 09:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9da51c…
10-28 07:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ddbe1…
10-27 09:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2db795…
10-26 09:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8538f3…
10-24 11:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49a3d9…
10-22 10:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1d4f1…
10-20 07:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8d502…
10-19 09:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x068f55…
10-18 10:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64bab0…
10-17 15:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc8f92…
10-16 10:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ceca7…
10-15 13:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8bbd6…
10-14 09:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8fd05…
10-13 09:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe69dd3…
10-12 09:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ffd36…
10-11 09:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23f88f…
10-08 12:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95d7da…
10-07 15:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x141d45…
10-06 15:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x479a63…
10-05 06:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67f980…
10-03 09:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a0eb6…
10-02 13:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5aee3…
10-01 09:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52b1ce…
09-30 02:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f71cc…
09-28 09:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f5788…
09-27 09:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2086e8…
09-25 16:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd27291…
09-24 08:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d6e1b…
09-23 08:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x106735…
09-22 08:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0cd8e9…
09-21 09:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93d504…
09-20 05:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a7c16…
09-19 08:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x819fd3…
09-18 07:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7aebfb…
09-17 04:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2193db…
09-16 08:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf62436…
09-15 10:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ad947…
09-14 09:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32982d…
09-13 03:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba2a49…
09-11 09:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8afde6…
09-10 08:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c9f24…
09-09 02:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9e74d…
09-08 06:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1005d5…
09-07 08:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27c61e…
09-06 16:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcced3a…
09-06 10:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89c672…
09-05 01:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02b990…
09-04 01:01:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b5045…
09-02 07:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6615f…
08-30 09:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x201506…
08-29 09:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3014e…
08-28 08:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61fa3c…
08-27 09:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x771f0c…
08-26 08:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x460f50…
08-25 09:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b0121…
08-24 14:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6b4d3e…
08-23 15:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e83e1…
08-22 09:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03b694…
08-21 08:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5259f4…
08-20 09:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37a477…
08-18 08:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8efdb9…
08-17 08:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa32fd4…
08-16 14:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6c429…
08-15 10:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf04a57…
08-14 06:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20032a…
08-13 09:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ec3e7…
08-12 09:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x436b26…
08-11 07:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55dbda…
08-10 08:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a78e3…
08-09 06:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb75cb9…
08-08 07:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d998f…
08-07 08:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x113028…
08-06 07:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x756084…
08-05 08:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1e474…
08-04 08:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e9277…
08-03 07:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b236b…
08-02 06:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf4625…
08-01 07:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15ceb7…
07-31 14:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc44ac4…
07-30 07:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe40c6…
07-29 07:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf82d1f…
07-28 07:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecb8eb…
07-27 09:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0172e…
07-26 07:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a9c4c…
07-25 09:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbfafb3…
07-24 13:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13de59…
07-23 08:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c5d6a…
07-22 02:11:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41496e…
07-21 09:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x701b8e…
07-21 00:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d2c20…
07-20 08:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1f8a3…
07-18 23:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc73ea…
07-18 05:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67363f…
07-17 07:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2f0a7…