Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved
28
Trades
1,395
lifetime
Volume
$5.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$62
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-09 20:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
60% 40% $-17
Other
25% 70% +$12
Crypto
15%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +22 $13 74¢ $16 +$3 06-09 20:04
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -52 $-33 26¢ $-13 +$20 06-08 05:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +20 $11 60¢ $12 +$0 06-08 06:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 06-04 07:14
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +15 $-10 24¢ $3 +$13 06-07 18:56
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +15 $2 15¢ $2 +$0 05-29 16:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -13 $-5 11¢ $-1 +$4 05-28 13:37
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -6 $-3 20¢ $-1 +$2 05-28 19:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -8 $1 10¢ $-1 $-1 06-03 04:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1 $3 70¢ $1 $-2 05-31 17:26
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +50 $11 $0 $-11 05-16 22:55