Ironclad-Heart — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved (90d)

102

Trades (90d)

144

3,005 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.40K

$19.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 09-21 13:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Other

97% 77% -$565

Politics

2% 29% -$2

Tech

0% 0% —

Sports

0% 0% —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% —

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?	21	$235	240	240	+0	No	+$2	06-21 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 17?	8	$150	150	150	+0	No	-$12	06-17 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?	12	$148	172	172	+0	Yes	-$21	06-20 15:59
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	5	$138	86	86	+0	No	+$1	06-29 13:55
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	6	$136	111	111	+0	No	$0	07-12 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 24?	16	$118	116	116	+0	Yes	-$4	06-24 09:22
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$118	100	100	+0	No	$0	07-15 23:18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 21?	13	$106	109	109	+0	Yes	-$3	06-20 14:28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?	5	$104	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	06-24 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 23?	9	$101	102	102	+0	Yes	$0	06-23 12:23
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24?	5	$100	100	100	+0	No	-$9	06-24 05:35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?	5	$100	100	100	+0	Yes	-$9	06-24 08:42
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	4	$96	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-13 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 23?	16	$96	92	92	+0	Yes	-$3	06-23 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?	6	$93	100	100	+0	No	-$2	06-20 00:43
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 22?	4	$92	100	100	+0	Yes	-$6	06-22 05:05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 25?	4	$89	82	82	+0	No	-$3	06-24 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 24?	9	$86	100	100	+0	No	-$11	06-24 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 19?	12	$85	92	92	+0	No	-$1	06-19 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 17?	5	$80	92	92	+0	No	-$4	06-17 08:06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?	8	$78	76	76	+0	No	+$0	06-21 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?	7	$78	100	100	+0	Yes	-$7	06-20 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?	8	$78	80	80	+0	No	-$9	06-17 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 15?	8	$77	82	82	+0	Yes	$0	07-15 14:57
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 23?	8	$77	101	101	+0	Yes	-$20	06-23 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 19?	5	$75	71	71	+0	Yes	-$2	06-19 07:42
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	7	$73	100	100	+0	Yes	-$6	06-22 04:50
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 40%-42%?	11	$71	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	07-19 19:22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 24?	4	$71	100	100	+0	No	-$32	06-22 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 24?	21	$71	91	91	+0	No	-$4	06-24 00:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 13:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 21?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa479a7…
09-21 13:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 21?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa543fe…
09-20 03:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x00abd0…
09-20 00:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3b8d15…
09-19 00:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb67c20…
09-19 00:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xffcba6…
09-16 23:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xd88c53…
09-16 23:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xce2286…
09-16 11:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdee6d9…
09-16 00:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 16?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9e86e1…
09-15 12:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 15?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7a2c40…
09-15 12:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on September 15?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf2d080…
09-14 22:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe527f9…
09-14 22:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x2823e5…
09-14 05:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x567d22…
09-14 05:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd9ea27…
09-14 05:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 14?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb932be…
09-14 05:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x928479…
09-14 02:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 14?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x2b6c77…
09-14 02:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb1f874…
09-13 15:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x543e3e…
09-13 15:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 14?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4c3848…
09-13 15:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 13?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x95b6c2…
09-13 15:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbc5703…
09-13 06:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 13?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x551719…
09-13 05:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 13?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x09bc44…
09-11 14:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 11?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xc5742c…
09-11 14:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 11?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x8974fc…
09-11 13:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc7fa50…
09-11 13:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 12?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0b3f98…
09-11 13:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 12?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9afd21…
09-11 11:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfa1786…
09-11 10:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfe70d6…
09-11 10:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 11?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x526959…
09-11 00:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 11?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x490096…
09-10 12:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 11?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x220a09…
09-10 12:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x547c2a…
09-10 12:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe999b1…
09-10 12:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 10?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x72c2ca…
09-10 12:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 10?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb87256…
09-10 12:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on September 10?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x61a67b…
09-09 15:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on September 10?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x703f47…
09-09 15:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa8fcf4…
09-09 15:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 10?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x64ad3a…
09-09 15:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 9?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x29d7e9…
09-09 15:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 9?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0d8fd2…
09-09 15:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 9?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0d14ee…
09-09 05:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 9?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x718211…
09-09 04:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 9?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x09a451…
09-09 03:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 9?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x196933…
09-09 02:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 9?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf01c4e…
09-09 02:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 9?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0a0477…
09-09 00:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa7b9e3…
09-09 00:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9df04d…
09-09 00:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x250743…
09-08 11:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 9?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa43c82…
09-08 11:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on September 9?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe4a78b…
09-08 11:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on September 8?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0923e3…
09-08 11:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 8?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbd3af3…
09-08 11:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 8?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x79d306…
09-07 13:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3a888a…
09-07 13:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on September 8?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x974b71…
09-07 13:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 8?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x4c949b…
09-07 13:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 7?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf0ed1c…
09-06 23:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 7?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xb36be0…
09-06 08:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on September 6?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x34c33d…
09-06 08:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 6?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x75cca1…
09-06 00:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x205867…
09-06 00:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on September 6?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x84dd6d…
09-05 14:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x023eeb…
09-05 09:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4219d8…
09-05 08:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9b5f3f…
09-05 08:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 5?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9f36a6…
09-05 07:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 5?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0a4d59…
09-05 07:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 5?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x77ce23…
09-05 07:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 5?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33bca5…
09-05 06:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 5?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfc14d6…
09-05 04:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x38a0aa…
09-04 23:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 5?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbf0f9b…
09-04 12:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 5?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xebbcae…
09-04 12:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x4cf621…
09-04 08:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 4?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4c5a88…
09-04 07:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 4?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9b74d0…
09-04 07:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 4?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0bd3f8…
09-04 07:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 4?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4fd43e…
09-04 00:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 4?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x2b0416…
09-03 22:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9210b0…
09-03 14:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2ddfe2…
09-03 14:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8c663f…
09-03 14:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x43db6a…
09-03 10:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 3?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x82ad08…
09-02 15:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x42af8b…
09-02 15:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x216d08…
09-02 05:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9e33f7…
09-02 05:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfede22…
09-02 05:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe5a53f…
09-01 23:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa7e356…
09-01 23:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6f7f18…
09-01 12:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x06f5ea…
09-01 12:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x76bd64…