Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
5
lifetime
Volume
$7
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$5
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 23:15
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
86%
Other
14%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +12 $3 28¢ $3 $-0 05-05 23:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 05-05 23:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +12 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 23:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes +6 $1 $0 $-1 05-05 21:35
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes +6 $1 $0 $-1 05-05 17:44