Realized P&L
-$19.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$274
Hit rate
55.6%
Resolved
372
Trades
1,374
lifetime
Volume
$130.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$380
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-06 09:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
50% 43% -$1,570
Sports
27% 45% -$14,624
Politics
21% 67% -$2,646
Tech
1% 25% -$193
Crypto
1% 25% -$310
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +149 $126 98¢ $146 +$20 06-09 10:02
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +121 $72 96¢ $116 +$44 06-10 11:52
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +85 $66 59¢ $50 -$16 06-07 23:23
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +77 $44 44¢ $34 -$10 06-01 23:12
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +105 $26 18¢ $19 -$7 06-14 08:21
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +11 -$236 97¢ $11 +$246 07-06 09:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +4 $1 80¢ $3 +$2 06-15 05:59
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +11 $6 3¢ $0 -$5 06-10 16:06