Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
34
lifetime
Volume
$75
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$44
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 10-26 18:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
73% 0% -$12
Other
27% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +43 $27 66¢ $28 +$1 10-21 06:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 54¢ $1 +$0 10-21 06:01
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 10-21 05:57
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 +$0 10-06 22:09
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 42¢ $1 +$0 10-26 18:41
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 10-06 22:00
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 10-26 18:17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 10-06 22:27
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $0 10-26 18:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $0 10-21 00:36
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 60¢ $1 $0 10-26 18:46
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 74¢ $1 $0 10-21 00:45
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 $0 10-06 22:08
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 $0 10-21 00:05
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 60¢ $1 $0 10-21 06:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $1 70¢ $1 $0 10-26 18:41
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $0 05-06 16:28