Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$77

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-24

last 10-10 21:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

75% 55% -$3

Politics

19% 25% -$8

Tech

3% 0% -$2

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say job 20 times during michigan remarks 20260725221549593	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	07-27 16:43
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-13 05:14
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-02 19:21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-09 08:22
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-03 19:39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-02 02:55
will googl reach 385 by august 3 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-04 03:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-03 11:29
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-09 00:20
will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	07-25 14:39
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-04 19:43
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-13 05:08
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	08-03 03:26
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-14 09:23
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-20 19:41
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-05 03:44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-13 13:16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-14 17:45
will marco rubio say nuclear during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534168	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-01 18:54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-02 11:19
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-24 14:39
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-04 11:41
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-30 03:38
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-27 02:45
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 22:52
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-28 20:10
another pandemic before gta vi	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 06:44
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 14:51
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-24 02:38
will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	07-28 05:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 21:42:49	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1f95af…
10-10 13:40:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6a3df6…
10-10 04:00:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x36b60d…
10-09 06:31:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6438be…
10-08 22:31:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf3f31d…
10-08 01:20:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x21106d…
10-07 17:18:29	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2d78d5…
10-07 09:11:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd86111…
10-07 09:11:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0a5f9b…
10-07 00:48:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf109ed…
10-02 12:18:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb67c35…
09-30 02:42:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8185dc…
09-24 15:16:14	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x013c50…
08-20 19:41:28	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xafa4a3…
08-14 17:45:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x4752ca…
08-14 09:23:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf0cb1f…
08-13 13:16:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3bd046…
08-13 05:14:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x43d631…
08-13 05:08:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd0e1d7…
08-09 08:22:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6e53ea…
08-09 00:20:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x572496…
08-05 03:44:54	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb6b552…
08-04 19:43:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc1d712…
08-04 11:41:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xcd6079…
08-04 03:41:06	will googl reach 385 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfc17e8…
08-03 19:39:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xaa964b…
08-03 11:29:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xdcef59…
08-03 03:26:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd7be6a…
08-02 19:21:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa4f5cf…
08-02 11:19:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x182c4c…
08-02 02:55:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x21ca10…
08-01 18:54:21	will marco rubio say nuclear during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534168	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc3e9f5…
07-31 22:52:20	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x122073…
07-31 14:51:56	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd249cd…
07-31 06:44:21	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x412dc3…
07-30 03:38:29	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x650f5a…
07-28 20:10:04	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfbebbe…
07-28 05:11:13	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbbf280…
07-27 16:43:51	will trump say job 20 times during michigan remarks 20260725221549593	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x67faf2…
07-27 02:45:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xeeb857…
07-26 14:41:00	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x47c1cd…
07-26 02:39:57	hood quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt43	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x84562d…
07-25 14:39:33	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x1e5d69…
07-25 02:39:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9e3037…
07-24 14:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x4d5aa5…
07-24 02:38:27	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6060a8…