Scarce-String — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$154

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

Trades

460

lifetime

Volume

$60.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-17 16:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 64% $-154

Other

8% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	34	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-16 11:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	5	$964	600	400	+200	open	—	07-17 16:32
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	7	$854	500	500	+0	open	—	03-13 08:31
bitcoin above 92k on january 29	1	$833	834	0	+834	open	—	01-29 15:32
bitcoin above 82k on january 28	1	$800	802	0	+802	open	—	01-27 20:50
bitcoin above 96k on january 23	1	$800	801	0	+801	open	—	01-23 06:14
bitcoin above 90k on february 2	1	$800	801	0	+801	open	—	02-01 20:02
bitcoin above 80k on january 27	1	$800	801	0	+801	open	—	01-26 22:26
bitcoin above 98k on january 10	1	$800	801	0	+801	open	—	01-09 20:28
bitcoin above 80k on january 8	1	$800	801	0	+801	open	—	01-08 06:14
bitcoin above 84k on january 12	1	$800	801	0	+801	open	—	01-11 23:21
bitcoin above 86k on january 6	1	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	01-06 08:43
bitcoin above 82k on january 3	1	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	01-03 00:28
bitcoin above 90k on february 3	2	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	02-02 22:00
bitcoin above 80k on january 2	1	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	01-02 00:02
bitcoin above 80k on january 5	2	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	01-05 05:28
bitcoin above 98k on january 20	1	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	01-20 06:33
bitcoin above 84k on january 7	1	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	01-06 21:51
bitcoin above 98k on january 22	1	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	01-21 21:04
bitcoin above 78k on february 6	1	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	02-06 06:12
bitcoin above 86k on january 15	1	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	01-15 00:35
bitcoin above 84k on january 19	1	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	01-18 20:48
bitcoin above 86k on january 16	1	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	01-15 22:29
bitcoin above 80k on january 9	2	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	01-09 01:53
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	4	$799	600	200	+400	open	—	03-12 08:02
bitcoin above 84k on january 1	1	$798	800	0	+800	open	—	01-01 12:13
bitcoin above 96k on january 21	1	$798	800	0	+800	open	—	01-20 20:50
bitcoin above 84k on january 13	1	$797	799	0	+799	open	—	01-12 22:31
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	1	$797	800	0	+800	open	—	02-05 13:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	3	$700	502	202	+300	open	—	06-25 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 16:32:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x7dad2a…
07-17 07:13:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x5a1dd0…
07-15 08:11:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x353348…
07-11 10:36:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x88828b…
07-03 10:26:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xadc9a2…
06-29 13:39:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x2fd9bb…
06-29 13:38:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xc09d7f…
06-29 13:36:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x3d3cac…
06-25 13:13:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0x744fa1…
06-24 23:56:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0xdeb810…
06-10 11:15:15	bitcoin up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xd23705…
06-10 09:15:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xde025b…
06-09 06:41:15	bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x3b68ba…
06-08 05:15:07	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48b2fc…
06-06 10:51:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x4c211b…
05-29 08:00:32	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x55678d…
05-29 07:59:28	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xc89ef8…
05-25 05:46:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x4a19f9…
05-21 21:08:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xa6136b…
05-20 19:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x8c2012…
05-19 07:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xc3da3c…
05-19 07:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	96	17¢	$16	0x49dccf…
05-18 12:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x053113…
05-18 12:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8a6388…
05-18 12:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x979dbc…
05-18 12:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x533524…
05-18 12:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	31	83¢	$26	0x8c8040…
05-18 12:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x776f3f…
05-18 12:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x778230…
05-18 12:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x7614f5…
05-16 19:59:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xedfdf5…
05-14 20:40:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xdcf461…
05-14 14:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xec57ee…
05-13 08:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0xf746a3…
05-13 08:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	34	84¢	$28	0xb52c91…
05-13 08:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0xb7a35e…
05-13 08:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xafb0e6…
05-13 08:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xac83f4…
05-13 08:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x13f056…
05-13 08:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe29e80…
05-13 08:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x873902…
05-13 08:22:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x7a7566…
05-12 11:58:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xde6f8f…
05-10 09:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x3cc89c…
05-08 20:10:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x797304…
05-06 21:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x2b7ab2…
05-06 21:34:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xbf5099…
05-06 21:06:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc76e8a…
05-05 20:13:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd5756a…
05-05 20:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc15f58…
05-05 20:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xa1a48a…
05-05 20:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc3c256…
05-05 20:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4ea539…
05-05 20:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x46e378…
05-05 20:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xfa24de…
05-05 20:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe8be2c…
05-05 20:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x98aa56…
05-05 20:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x523c25…
05-05 20:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3de575…
05-05 20:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc381c0…
05-04 21:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	87	50¢	$43	0xbd6d3d…
05-04 21:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa26828…
05-04 21:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x1ffeb8…
05-04 21:11:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa44b8f…
05-03 20:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x394b84…
05-03 20:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0x31aca6…
05-03 20:23:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb39e3a…
05-02 10:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x542788…
05-02 01:32:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x62d149…
04-29 20:57:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x963b66…
04-28 12:47:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x075765…
04-28 12:39:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	SELL	299	100¢	$299	0xa3bfc7…
04-27 21:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xaaed87…
04-27 21:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb61040…
04-27 17:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x25bdb1…
04-27 17:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x06651b…
04-27 17:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x98f577…
04-27 17:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x24f814…
04-27 17:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6375c8…
04-27 17:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xad93e0…
04-27 17:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x898c31…
04-27 17:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x0c212d…
04-27 17:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xe21953…
04-27 17:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2c01aa…
04-27 17:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9d283c…
04-27 17:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0eed7b…
04-27 16:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x64af0b…
04-27 16:38:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x91f739…
04-26 21:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0x1fc50e…
04-26 21:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xe40dd0…
04-26 21:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd50ef5…
04-25 22:43:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x15660d…
04-24 19:06:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xc6bb9e…
04-24 17:37:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x6be3a7…
04-23 14:30:24	bitcoin up or down on april 23 2026	Up	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x57bc0a…
04-23 14:02:18	bitcoin up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x798a8c…
04-21 23:42:36	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	98	46¢	$45	0xaafb4f…
04-21 16:41:58	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6801a2…
04-21 07:25:14	bitcoin up or down on april 21 2026	Up	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x7614ff…
04-20 21:02:28	bitcoin up or down on april 21 2026	Up	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0x9339f4…