Scarce-String — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$340

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

365

Trades

636

lifetime

Volume

$63.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

$99

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-17 16:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 90% -$19

Other

11% 67% -$70

Politics

2% 100% +$3

Sports

1% 30% -$259

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-100	-$96	99¢	$-99	-$3	06-29 13:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	34	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$46	02-16 11:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	12	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	06-06 10:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	5	$964	600	400	+200	No	+$8	07-17 16:32
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	7	$854	500	500	+0	No	+$2	03-13 08:31
bitcoin above 92k on january 29	1	$833	834	0	+834	No	+$1	01-29 15:32
bitcoin above 82k on january 28	1	$800	802	0	+802	Yes	+$2	01-27 20:50
bitcoin above 98k on january 10	1	$800	801	0	+801	No	+$1	01-09 20:28
bitcoin above 90k on february 2	1	$800	801	0	+801	No	+$1	02-01 20:02
bitcoin above 80k on january 27	1	$800	801	0	+801	Yes	+$1	01-26 22:26
bitcoin above 84k on january 12	1	$800	801	0	+801	Yes	+$1	01-11 23:21
bitcoin above 80k on january 8	1	$800	801	0	+801	Yes	+$1	01-08 06:14
bitcoin above 96k on january 23	1	$800	801	0	+801	No	+$1	01-23 06:14
bitcoin above 84k on january 7	1	$799	800	0	+800	Yes	+$1	01-06 21:51
bitcoin above 90k on february 3	2	$799	800	0	+800	No	+$1	02-02 22:00
bitcoin above 80k on january 5	2	$799	800	0	+800	Yes	+$1	01-05 05:28
bitcoin above 86k on january 6	1	$799	800	0	+800	Yes	+$1	01-06 08:43
bitcoin above 98k on january 20	1	$799	800	0	+800	No	+$1	01-20 06:33
bitcoin above 80k on january 2	1	$799	800	0	+800	Yes	+$1	01-02 00:02
bitcoin above 84k on january 19	1	$799	800	0	+800	Yes	+$1	01-18 20:48
bitcoin above 98k on january 22	1	$799	800	0	+800	No	+$1	01-21 21:04
bitcoin above 78k on february 6	1	$799	800	0	+800	No	+$1	02-06 06:12
bitcoin above 80k on january 9	2	$799	800	0	+800	Yes	+$1	01-09 01:53
bitcoin above 82k on january 3	1	$799	800	0	+800	Yes	+$1	01-03 00:28
bitcoin above 86k on january 16	1	$799	800	0	+800	Yes	+$1	01-15 22:29
bitcoin above 86k on january 15	1	$799	800	0	+800	Yes	+$1	01-15 00:35
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	4	$799	600	200	+400	Yes	+$0	03-12 08:02
bitcoin above 84k on january 1	1	$798	800	0	+800	Yes	+$2	01-01 12:13
bitcoin above 96k on january 21	1	$798	800	0	+800	No	+$2	01-20 20:50
bitcoin above 84k on january 13	1	$797	799	0	+799	Yes	+$2	01-12 22:31
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	1	$797	800	0	+800	No	+$3	02-05 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 16:32:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x7dad2a…
07-17 07:13:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x5a1dd0…
07-15 21:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x739089…
07-15 20:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$2	0x0bc7ec…
07-15 20:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x75e893…
07-15 20:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x2b78c3…
07-15 14:22:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x610246…
07-15 12:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xb1e2e6…
07-15 11:45:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x33d4e6…
07-15 11:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x2e95a7…
07-15 11:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x5e5432…
07-15 10:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xc160b3…
07-15 10:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x628875…
07-15 10:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xc2cf0f…
07-15 10:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xb00a36…
07-15 10:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf972ec…
07-15 10:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd2d47d…
07-15 10:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x45f934…
07-15 10:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x6ed69a…
07-15 09:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xf643f1…
07-15 08:11:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x353348…
07-11 10:36:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x88828b…
07-11 08:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x754001…
07-09 15:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xec31f6…
07-09 13:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0xa63a7b…
07-09 13:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x3c06a0…
07-09 12:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x1e805f…
07-09 11:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 10?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x5c3acd…
07-09 10:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 10?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xdca6cc…
07-09 10:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 10?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xfdf5d5…
07-09 10:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xd414a6…
07-09 07:48:50	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 10?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$0	0x5a6661…
07-09 07:37:13	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa22e25…
07-09 07:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x7e2815…
07-07 21:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 8?	No	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0xbd9d9f…
07-07 21:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 8?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x84ec53…
07-07 21:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 8?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb100d7…
07-07 20:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 8?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x2f65e8…
07-07 15:45:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 8?	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xd0a2d8…
07-07 15:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5d8fa1…
07-07 14:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 8?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xcef16a…
07-07 13:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa9669b…
07-07 13:38:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 8?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xae4361…
07-07 13:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?	No	BUY	17	79¢	$13	0xe2acdc…
07-07 13:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0xdfb3e2…
07-07 13:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 8?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xf10157…
07-07 13:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xfe4bad…
07-07 13:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 8?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x0f89ce…
07-07 13:11:22	Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 8?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x6ef427…
07-07 13:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xae9f61…
07-06 11:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 7?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x0c0c25…
07-06 07:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x96fe98…
07-06 06:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 7?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xdcd8df…
07-06 06:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 7?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x2ec002…
07-06 06:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 7?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xe877f0…
07-05 19:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 6?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$12	0x383289…
07-05 14:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 6?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x5edbce…
07-05 14:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 6?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x1e82f8…
07-05 13:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x3ed79d…
07-05 11:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 6?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0x5d5d77…
07-05 10:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5b9c60…
07-05 10:40:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 6?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x26fc57…
07-05 10:31:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 6?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x31a46f…
07-05 09:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 6?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xefe685…
07-05 08:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4e2b13…
07-05 08:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 6?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x02fc2a…
07-03 12:28:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x608947…
07-03 10:26:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xadc9a2…
07-03 09:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x6a11f9…
07-03 09:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 4?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x775351…
07-03 09:29:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x465a30…
06-30 12:59:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xcbb6cd…
06-29 13:39:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x2fd9bb…
06-29 13:38:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xc09d7f…
06-29 13:36:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x3d3cac…
06-28 10:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 29?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9b042f…
06-28 10:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 29?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2aab98…
06-28 10:30:53	Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf76829…
06-27 06:30:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 28?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5c629c…
06-27 06:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc5c005…
06-27 06:28:47	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x95eb5e…
06-25 13:13:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0x744fa1…
06-25 12:42:41	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x971cf6…
06-25 12:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xce4590…
06-25 12:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 26?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x606cc1…
06-24 23:56:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0xdeb810…
06-23 12:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1c82ab…
06-23 12:40:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 40°C on June 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3599b2…
06-19 06:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 20?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x13e55e…
06-19 06:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x295161…
06-19 06:38:08	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf1f3f8…
06-19 06:37:55	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0ec580…
06-18 12:31:25	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x48968e…
06-18 12:31:13	Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x0d461a…
06-18 12:31:02	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x730a42…
06-18 12:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6f5b4c…
06-18 12:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x04951e…
06-17 05:45:41	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x41e7a3…
06-16 20:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 17?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xcc7ca8…
06-16 20:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x954631…