Shy-Supernatural — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

Trades

415

lifetime

Volume

$5.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 06-30 17:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 38% +$85

Other

27% — —

Politics

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	12	$326	529	511	+18	open	—	04-27 07:05
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	4	$300	255	249	+7	open	—	04-24 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	5	$276	434	434	+0	Down	+$96	05-05 11:28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	3	$203	778	52	+725	open	—	04-28 09:17
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$185	193	193	+0	open	—	04-24 09:43
btc updown 5m 1777049700	4	$163	143	137	+5	open	—	04-24 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$152	112	112	+0	Down	+$52	05-05 11:50
btc updown 5m 1777049100	4	$151	152	147	+5	open	—	04-24 16:47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$148	259	249	+9	open	—	04-26 13:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	2	$138	265	253	+12	open	—	04-24 23:22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$131	553	192	+360	open	—	04-26 14:20
btc updown 5m 1777047600	2	$125	122	117	+5	open	—	04-24 16:23
btc updown 5m 1777048500	2	$120	111	107	+4	open	—	04-24 16:36
btc updown 5m 1777050300	4	$119	125	120	+5	open	—	04-24 17:06
btc updown 5m 1777050600	2	$117	167	158	+8	open	—	04-24 17:12
btc updown 5m 1777047900	5	$116	141	113	+28	open	—	04-24 16:29
btc updown 15m 1777059000	4	$103	103	99	+4	open	—	04-24 19:37
btc updown 5m 1777051500	2	$101	204	31	+173	open	—	04-24 17:28
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	4	$94	141	135	+6	open	—	04-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	8	$83	85	84	+0	open	—	05-04 09:10
btc updown 5m 1777050000	2	$77	139	132	+6	open	—	04-24 17:02
btc updown 5m 1777048200	2	$73	143	136	+7	open	—	04-24 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	4	$65	81	81	+0	open	—	05-04 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	4	$64	66	63	+3	open	—	04-24 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$59	67	60	+7	open	—	04-24 20:13
btc updown 5m 1777047300	6	$56	89	84	+5	open	—	04-24 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	5	$53	134	134	+0	Down	$-17	05-11 23:08
btc updown 5m 1777048800	1	$50	929	0	+929	open	—	04-24 16:41
btc updown 5m 1777050900	1	$50	147	0	+147	open	—	04-24 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	6	$48	305	63	+242	open	—	05-28 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 17:36:53	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 shots viktor gyokeres gte5	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xcc14d3…
06-13 23:22:36	btc updown 5m 1781392800	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x7f1724…
06-13 21:54:00	btc updown 5m 1781387400	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x058f97…
06-08 22:09:42	btc updown 15m 1780956000	Up	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x9ef588…
06-08 22:02:00	btc updown 15m 1780956000	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x563e95…
06-08 21:48:46	btc updown 15m 1780955100	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x874fab…
06-08 21:44:09	btc updown 15m 1780954200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x17f56e…
06-08 21:42:42	btc updown 15m 1780954200	Down	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xaf1142…
06-08 21:41:19	btc updown 15m 1780954200	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x154e32…
06-02 00:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xf72926…
06-02 00:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x3bedcc…
06-02 00:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xcaf283…
06-02 00:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xfad998…
05-28 13:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	185	1¢	$2	0x1362a7…
05-28 13:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	57	21¢	$12	0x37967b…
05-28 13:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	50	27¢	$13	0x21f202…
05-28 13:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4b3be1…
05-28 13:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x908dfb…
05-28 13:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf2b6da…
05-28 12:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb2dec0…
05-28 12:52:43	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x92dc15…
05-28 12:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x3957ac…
05-28 12:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x11dfca…
05-28 12:49:29	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x539b97…
05-28 12:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd3e586…
05-27 17:43:42	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x21cf93…
05-27 17:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xdd3e22…
05-27 17:41:09	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x0b1248…
05-27 17:39:47	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x1f588a…
05-27 17:38:35	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe26ef6…
05-27 17:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0xbf5384…
05-27 17:24:51	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x0c8f9e…
05-27 17:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xaf449e…
05-27 16:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xb5e6fb…
05-27 16:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x234537…
05-27 16:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0x6696a4…
05-26 22:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1ca5a8…
05-26 15:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa36947…
05-26 15:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x4b3ded…
05-26 15:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6e0ea8…
05-26 15:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xc3ab27…
05-26 15:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb4566d…
05-26 13:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x4b610e…
05-26 13:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xae096f…
05-25 21:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x03b075…
05-25 21:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xaeed02…
05-25 20:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x168c9e…
05-25 20:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0xa12001…
05-25 20:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x562842…
05-25 20:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5e341c…
05-25 19:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1b2930…
05-25 19:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0xc6804f…
05-25 19:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x037e7d…
05-25 19:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0xf9c490…
05-25 18:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9c266b…
05-25 18:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0xb42ec1…
05-25 18:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6b450c…
05-25 18:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x0d6f07…
05-25 16:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xeab8bf…
05-25 15:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xcf4d38…
05-25 15:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xade0ce…
05-25 15:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc282b8…
05-17 00:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xb8c41b…
05-17 00:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x3992c7…
05-17 00:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x42013c…
05-17 00:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x93f99d…
05-17 00:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbdaeba…
05-17 00:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$6	0x558301…
05-17 00:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x97ac2f…
05-17 00:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x6c0158…
05-17 00:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x96fbee…
05-17 00:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xd75f9d…
05-17 00:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9047f2…
05-17 00:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0f66ca…
05-12 22:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xb4d4ea…
05-12 22:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x346b7a…
05-12 21:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x8beb4c…
05-12 21:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xda3bac…
05-12 19:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	86	9¢	$8	0x55d4b7…
05-12 19:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x01f7d7…
05-12 19:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5e41b9…
05-12 19:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xc3ba32…
05-12 19:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf89a55…
05-12 18:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3d1616…
05-12 18:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0x006598…
05-12 18:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc864cc…
05-12 17:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x9dfe25…
05-12 17:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5c6e47…
05-12 13:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4a086a…
05-12 10:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	53¢	$12	0xbe6421…
05-12 10:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x3d09cf…
05-12 09:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x6727ad…
05-12 09:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xcb1738…
05-12 09:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x66779b…
05-12 09:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xba1129…
05-12 09:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc8cadd…
05-11 23:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8e3579…
05-11 23:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x46ec40…
05-11 23:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7f0373…
05-11 23:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	62	8¢	$5	0x870e1e…