Smug-Candidacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

995

Trades

2,530

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-08 09:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

100% 84% +$37

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 53°F or below on May 24?	22	$167	84	84	+0	No	$0	05-23 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or below on May 26?	20	$166	83	83	+0	No	$0	05-25 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 26?	3	$165	83	83	+0	No	$0	05-25 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on May 26?	13	$158	87	87	+0	No	-$10	05-25 14:18
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on May 29?	7	$146	73	73	+0	No	$0	05-28 14:25
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on May 29?	5	$145	73	73	+0	No	$0	05-28 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on May 22?	11	$120	60	60	+0	No	$0	05-21 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 24?	5	$119	60	60	+0	No	+$0	05-22 13:15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 22?	9	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$0	05-21 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 30?	3	$114	57	57	+0	No	$0	05-28 14:02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 22?	14	$113	58	58	+0	No	-$1	05-21 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on May 21?	9	$104	59	59	+0	No	-$10	05-21 02:53
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 60 61f	21	$88	44	44	+0	No	+$1	04-15 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 25?	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	$0	05-24 10:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 3?	25	$82	41	41	+0	No	+$0	05-02 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on May 24?	5	$74	37	37	+0	No	+$0	05-22 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on May 29?	3	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-28 01:38
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C or below on May 27?	4	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-26 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 29?	8	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	05-28 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on May 29?	6	$66	34	34	+0	No	$0	05-28 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 69°F or below on May 23?	5	$62	61	2	+59	No	+$1	05-22 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 21?	4	$62	33	33	+0	No	+$3	05-21 01:26
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 25?	43	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	04-25 22:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?	5	$61	59	2	+57	Yes	+$0	05-07 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or below on May 23?	31	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-22 18:42
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on May 29?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-28 12:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 23?	23	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-22 11:35
highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 80 81f	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	04-20 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 24?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-22 19:49
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 26?	16	$57	33	32	+1	Yes	+$1	04-26 20:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 09:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 8?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x32bbf1…
06-08 09:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 8?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x036544…
06-08 03:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6cdbae…
06-08 03:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 8?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x48abdb…
06-08 03:07:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 7?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0c1d65…
06-08 03:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 7?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x70e074…
06-08 03:07:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 7?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc4f1cc…
06-08 02:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 8?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x13593d…
06-08 02:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x17ce6f…
06-06 23:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7da531…
06-06 23:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 7?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xe72cd0…
06-06 16:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 7?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x129319…
06-06 15:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 7?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xe52579…
06-06 15:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 7?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x765d95…
06-06 15:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x7dcfff…
06-06 15:09:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 7?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x942a35…
06-06 14:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 7?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7831ca…
06-06 14:36:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 7?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xae2165…
06-06 14:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 7?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd3a3f7…
06-06 14:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 7?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6466f4…
06-06 13:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 7?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xad7d47…
06-06 13:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 7?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x544e24…
06-06 13:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc6cad2…
06-06 13:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 7?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xac26ab…
06-06 12:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 7?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x893134…
06-06 11:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb4be1c…
06-06 10:53:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x8929fa…
06-06 10:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 7?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6826cb…
06-06 10:24:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xbde5cc…
06-06 10:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfeca0a…
06-06 10:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd2cb46…
06-06 09:45:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xbaadd3…
06-06 09:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 7?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5dcf6e…
06-06 09:00:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on June 6?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7a3a39…
06-06 08:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 6?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x966cc2…
06-06 08:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb59395…
06-06 08:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x27b331…
06-06 08:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe36cdd…
06-06 07:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3142d…
06-06 07:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 6?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x35468f…
06-06 06:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5ad6fd…
06-06 06:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 6?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x30af34…
06-06 06:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 6?	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x5f5e80…
06-06 06:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2dfa2c…
06-06 06:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 6?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3cdae2…
06-06 06:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x23a960…
06-06 05:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbf43be…
06-06 04:40:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xe4232b…
06-06 04:03:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x8496c7…
06-06 03:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x622bce…
06-06 03:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0adba1…
06-06 03:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x06c163…
06-06 02:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on June 6?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf13634…
06-06 02:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x37070d…
06-06 02:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x44865a…
06-06 01:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x008af0…
06-06 01:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x3a1dc6…
06-06 00:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x9087db…
06-05 23:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x27eb7c…
06-05 23:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 6?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x07d996…
06-05 23:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe87ed1…
06-05 23:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 6?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x361a90…
06-05 23:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 6?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x46a974…
06-05 22:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x85d8a0…
06-05 22:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 6?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe14520…
06-05 22:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 6?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x39b601…
06-05 22:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe38cec…
06-05 22:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xadf01b…
06-05 21:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xcb0f70…
06-05 19:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 5?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb310eb…
06-05 19:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0xba2ec8…
06-05 19:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7b12d4…
06-05 19:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 6?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x510282…
06-05 19:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5c7304…
06-05 19:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x52e49d…
06-05 19:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9011f6…
06-05 19:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x9e9b13…
06-05 18:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe05ad6…
06-05 18:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdfb00a…
06-05 18:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x135252…
06-05 18:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 5?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa598ce…
06-05 17:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0xfdf4be…
06-05 17:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on June 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe982e8…
06-05 17:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on June 6?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd3854d…
06-05 17:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 6?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x74fcd4…
06-05 17:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xda3a8f…
06-05 16:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x74a52c…
06-05 16:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x5e78bf…
06-05 16:40:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xabab97…
06-05 16:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 6?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9a466d…
06-05 16:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x65fb99…
06-05 16:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xbd6371…
06-05 15:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1cd25a…
06-05 15:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7b4568…
06-05 15:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on June 5?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x31e2e3…
06-05 15:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 6?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd15ee9…
06-05 15:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x431df7…
06-05 14:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x46dee1…
06-05 14:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x26b790…
06-05 14:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 5?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7fb6a3…