Thorny-Heron — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

385

Trades

6,189

lifetime

Volume

$31.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 08-10 18:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 86% +$99

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$38	120	120	+0	open	—	05-16 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$33	43	43	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 09:35
btc updown 5m 1774385400	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	03-24 20:54
btc updown 5m 1774404900	2	$25	24	24	+0	open	—	03-25 02:19
btc updown 5m 1774383900	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	03-24 20:29
btc updown 5m 1774405500	2	$22	19	19	+0	open	—	03-25 02:29
btc updown 5m 1774401000	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	03-25 01:14
btc updown 5m 1774408500	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	03-25 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$21	28	28	+0	open	—	05-16 02:42
btc updown 5m 1774387500	1	$21	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$21	22	22	+0	open	—	05-16 19:24
btc updown 5m 1774415100	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	03-25 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$20	22	22	+0	open	—	05-15 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$20	67	0	+67	open	—	05-17 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$20	64	0	+64	Up	+$44	05-13 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	05-15 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$19	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$18	28	28	+0	open	—	05-17 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$18	12	12	+0	Down	$-3	05-13 15:44
btc updown 5m 1774393500	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	03-24 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	05-16 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$17	13	13	+0	Down	$-4	05-13 08:29
btc updown 5m 1774379100	1	$17	19	0	+19	open	—	03-24 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$17	20	20	+0	Down	$-5	05-09 13:29
btc updown 5m 1775683800	3	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-08 21:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 19:30:55	btc updown 5m 1786390200	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x3af25e…
08-10 19:22:30	btc updown 5m 1786389600	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xefacc8…
08-10 19:13:58	btc updown 15m 1786388400	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x21a146…
08-10 19:07:15	btc updown 15m 1786388400	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa0c83e…
08-10 18:59:36	btc updown 5m 1786388100	Up	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x3d746b…
08-10 18:59:33	btc updown 5m 1786388100	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x8e7549…
08-10 18:59:33	btc updown 5m 1786388100	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8c6d92…
08-10 18:59:33	btc updown 5m 1786388100	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x709962…
08-10 18:59:33	btc updown 5m 1786388100	Up	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x6b334a…
08-10 18:59:33	btc updown 5m 1786388100	Up	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x68de7c…
08-10 18:32:42	btc updown 5m 1786386600	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x99a3ab…
08-10 18:27:12	btc updown 15m 1786385700	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xf0bc32…
08-10 18:24:33	btc updown 15m 1786385700	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x2964ca…
08-10 18:14:46	btc updown 5m 1786385400	Up	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x814d73…
08-10 18:14:42	btc updown 5m 1786385400	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x992831…
08-10 18:12:30	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2134e6…
08-10 18:08:33	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7da939…
08-10 18:03:00	btc updown 5m 1786384800	Up	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0xc1a3d4…
08-10 18:02:43	btc updown 5m 1786384800	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xb8cada…
08-10 17:43:25	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x62cf39…
08-10 17:42:39	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdf129d…
08-10 17:27:42	btc updown 5m 1786382700	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x835c3b…
08-10 17:07:25	btc updown 5m 1786381500	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xeacfc0…
08-10 16:43:30	btc updown 5m 1786380000	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x03a138…
08-10 16:27:46	btc updown 15m 1786378500	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x83d9db…
08-10 16:20:28	btc updown 15m 1786378500	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x90b427…
08-10 16:04:12	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x5d9a03…
08-10 16:04:10	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xb44550…
08-10 15:38:06	btc updown 5m 1786376100	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9e7b94…
08-10 15:12:42	btc updown 5m 1786374600	Up	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xc0010a…
08-10 15:12:24	btc updown 5m 1786374600	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x001285…
08-10 13:57:30	btc updown 5m 1786370100	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x68ad24…
08-10 13:52:36	btc updown 5m 1786369800	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x5a9a5e…
08-10 13:52:04	btc updown 5m 1786369800	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9c0cb2…
08-10 13:08:52	btc updown 5m 1786367100	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa4a8b5…
08-10 13:03:28	btc updown 5m 1786366800	Up	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xd4c784…
08-10 13:03:16	btc updown 5m 1786366800	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1b656d…
08-10 13:03:15	btc updown 5m 1786366800	Up	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x726c00…
08-10 12:03:19	btc updown 5m 1786363200	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2bd465…
08-10 11:56:19	btc updown 5m 1786362900	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf28e51…
08-10 11:26:52	btc updown 15m 1786360500	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd5ca76…
08-10 11:23:55	btc updown 15m 1786360500	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7dbaa8…
08-10 11:23:54	btc updown 15m 1786360500	Up	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xd2a921…
08-10 11:17:07	btc updown 5m 1786360500	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe5efca…
08-10 11:09:58	btc updown 5m 1786359900	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd2caec…
08-10 11:09:28	btc updown 5m 1786359900	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5d12cd…
08-10 09:58:00	btc updown 5m 1786355700	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6428e1…
08-10 09:52:27	btc updown 5m 1786355400	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdab66f…
08-10 09:52:27	btc updown 5m 1786355400	Up	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x7a4fcb…
08-10 09:39:15	btc updown 15m 1786354200	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x45b20a…
08-10 09:33:42	btc updown 15m 1786354200	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xbcfa1e…
08-10 09:32:15	btc updown 5m 1786354200	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7ad28b…
08-10 09:28:07	btc updown 5m 1786353900	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc766e2…
08-10 08:58:10	btc updown 15m 1786351500	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6e9121…
08-10 08:52:28	btc updown 15m 1786351500	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe29b4e…
08-10 08:43:06	btc updown 5m 1786351200	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x15c34e…
08-10 07:36:15	btc updown 15m 1786347000	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x6d305b…
08-10 07:36:13	btc updown 15m 1786347000	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xd95eb3…
08-10 07:22:55	btc updown 5m 1786346400	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x70a790…
08-10 06:57:40	btc updown 5m 1786344900	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe29f2d…
08-10 06:19:16	btc updown 5m 1786342500	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xaf9c88…
08-10 06:12:13	btc updown 15m 1786341600	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x470134…
08-10 06:09:28	btc updown 5m 1786341900	Up	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x22ec24…
08-10 06:08:12	btc updown 5m 1786341900	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xfb53f6…
08-10 06:07:39	btc updown 15m 1786341600	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9563a8…
08-10 05:53:33	btc updown 5m 1786341000	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xadc095…
08-10 05:43:01	btc updown 15m 1786339800	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb31e5b…
08-10 05:38:04	btc updown 5m 1786340100	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xab4386…
08-10 05:38:04	btc updown 5m 1786340100	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x3343fc…
08-10 05:36:06	btc updown 15m 1786339800	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x3a731d…
08-10 04:48:48	btc updown 5m 1786337100	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7850d3…
08-10 04:42:45	btc updown 15m 1786336200	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x00a6be…
08-10 04:42:18	btc updown 15m 1786336200	Down	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x4cfe83…
08-10 04:41:54	btc updown 15m 1786336200	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x399986…
08-10 04:40:43	btc updown 5m 1786336800	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6c81e3…
08-10 04:13:00	btc updown 5m 1786335000	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb45e80…
08-10 04:08:49	btc updown 5m 1786334700	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x166a4d…
08-10 02:43:04	btc updown 5m 1786329600	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xafe324…
08-10 01:12:13	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x70a967…
08-10 01:04:07	btc updown 5m 1786323600	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x7f4767…
08-10 00:52:01	btc updown 5m 1786323000	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf87279…
08-10 00:11:22	btc updown 5m 1786320600	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x52e974…
08-10 00:03:31	btc updown 5m 1786320000	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$2	0xbb4088…
08-10 00:02:15	btc updown 5m 1786320000	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xb226b0…
08-09 23:48:57	btc updown 5m 1786319100	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x030d55…
08-09 23:39:01	btc updown 5m 1786318500	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x52fa53…
08-09 23:18:19	btc updown 5m 1786317300	Up	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x951d34…
08-09 23:17:18	btc updown 5m 1786317300	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x36b2e2…
08-09 23:13:06	btc updown 5m 1786317000	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0a9107…
08-09 22:00:39	btc updown 5m 1786312800	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x482f7b…
08-09 21:44:27	btc updown 5m 1786311600	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x24a334…
08-09 21:39:54	btc updown 15m 1786311000	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x696957…
08-09 21:37:28	btc updown 15m 1786311000	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0027e1…
08-09 21:19:25	btc updown 5m 1786310100	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xf3a8f2…
08-09 21:17:34	btc updown 5m 1786310100	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0a8f3b…
08-09 21:09:21	btc updown 5m 1786309500	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x4ea5e9…
08-09 21:06:49	btc updown 5m 1786309500	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x9cd835…
08-09 20:27:51	btc updown 5m 1786307100	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x396fd3…
08-09 20:27:34	btc updown 15m 1786306500	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe3bce2…
08-09 20:22:07	btc updown 5m 1786306800	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x037bf6…