Thorny-Heron — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved (30d)

1,121

Trades (30d)

1,241

10,758 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$9.59K

$56.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-21 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 214 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% +$396

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$38	120	120	+0	Down	-$10	05-16 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$33	43	43	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	10	$28	50	0	+50	Up	-$8	10-21 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$27	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	05-14 09:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:50 UTC	2	$27	20	20	+0	Down	-$9	03-24 20:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 19:30 UTC	5	$26	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	09-26 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	8	$26	40	0	+40	Up	+$14	10-21 14:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 02:15 UTC	2	$25	24	24	+0	Down	-$9	03-25 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:25 UTC	2	$23	16	16	+0	Up	-$8	03-24 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 02:25 UTC	2	$22	19	19	+0	Up	-$8	03-25 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:10 UTC	2	$22	20	20	+0	Down	-$11	03-25 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 03:15 UTC	2	$21	20	20	+0	Down	-$9	03-25 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$21	28	28	+0	Up	-$3	05-16 02:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 21:25 UTC	1	$21	26	0	+26	Up	+$5	03-24 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$21	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	10-09 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$21	22	22	+0	Down	+$1	05-16 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 05:05 UTC	1	$20	23	0	+23	Up	+$2	03-25 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-21 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-21 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	10-09 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$20	22	22	+0	Up	-$11	05-15 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$20	67	0	+67	Up	+$47	05-17 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	10-10 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$20	64	0	+64	Up	+$44	05-13 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	$0	05-20 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$19	15	15	+0	Down	-$7	05-15 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$19	15	15	+0	Up	-$8	05-14 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$19	16	16	+0	Up	-$9	05-15 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$18	28	28	+0	Down	-$3	05-17 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$18	11	11	+0	Down	-$3	06-09 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 16:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf7ab56…
10-21 15:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x130d27…
10-21 15:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1bb757…
10-21 15:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe42a9a…
10-21 15:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe9952d…
10-21 15:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4dde7a…
10-21 14:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7d3754…
10-21 14:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xed5bf6…
10-21 14:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1c91ac…
10-21 14:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcd1f24…
10-21 14:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xcc4f93…
10-21 14:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3e43f8…
10-21 14:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd0c19b…
10-21 14:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2176c4…
10-21 14:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbaaeee…
10-21 14:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x632c45…
10-21 14:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xd20308…
10-21 14:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd4d04e…
10-21 14:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x70ac97…
10-21 14:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa926cb…
10-21 14:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2e62f0…
10-21 14:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x648edc…
10-21 14:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3987d7…
10-21 14:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc06a18…
10-21 14:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x3348b3…
10-21 14:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x79d9ea…
10-21 14:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x7d5588…
10-21 14:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x770a4d…
10-21 13:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8ada4c…
10-21 13:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb02e6b…
10-21 12:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd0a8bb…
10-21 11:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc53b51…
10-21 11:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x50bde6…
10-21 11:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf64dc7…
10-21 10:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb7506a…
10-21 08:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0xae155d…
10-21 08:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0b7c76…
10-21 08:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd2d4f8…
10-21 07:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x449ad3…
10-21 07:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbeaf4f…
10-21 07:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x765ebb…
10-21 07:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x67abbb…
10-21 06:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6eee21…
10-21 06:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x49aab0…
10-21 06:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0e056d…
10-21 05:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdba29c…
10-21 05:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4d7041…
10-21 04:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xaa8a89…
10-21 04:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0caee1…
10-21 03:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xec2b8c…
10-21 01:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa86a8b…
10-21 01:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1cfbcb…
10-21 01:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7e3f9c…
10-21 00:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xde5f8e…
10-21 00:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xa10b76…
10-21 00:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe9841c…
10-21 00:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x583d81…
10-20 23:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4b1ccf…
10-20 23:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6683d7…
10-20 22:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7af5e2…
10-20 21:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe65525…
10-20 21:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa2116f…
10-20 20:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe451bf…
10-20 19:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfbf7a1…
10-20 19:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2792aa…
10-20 18:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x25ae1b…
10-20 17:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe0adbe…
10-20 16:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5cc927…
10-20 16:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x814c0c…
10-20 16:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x48cf6c…
10-20 16:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8517c9…
10-20 15:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2b5b23…
10-20 15:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd7170c…
10-20 14:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa83034…
10-20 14:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa1d075…
10-20 14:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb72b82…
10-20 11:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc9363a…
10-20 11:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x93264d…
10-20 09:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5d596a…
10-20 09:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd9da7f…
10-20 08:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd14000…
10-20 08:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0b67b4…
10-20 08:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6b251e…
10-20 07:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x7d7672…
10-20 07:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xedd228…
10-20 07:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2aa3ab…
10-20 07:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x727b9d…
10-20 05:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x03f411…
10-20 05:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6c7624…
10-20 04:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5e5c3e…
10-20 03:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x03b72b…
10-20 02:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbfcabb…
10-20 01:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7c153a…
10-20 01:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4bf133…
10-20 00:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x603c58…
10-20 00:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x55c67e…
10-19 23:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4d9b41…
10-19 23:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x091f58…
10-19 22:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa9833e…
10-19 21:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xefe9dd…