Jam-Packed-Fraud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$298

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 08-21 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Tech

54% 75% $-425

Other

42% 71% +$96

Politics

4% 100% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$838	446	446	+0	No	+$47	05-28 18:44
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	6	$801	1,349	1,349	+0	Yes	$-504	07-11 06:51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$282	295	0	+295	No	+$13	05-23 12:07
will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	2	$275	407	0	+407	open	—	08-06 18:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$231	243	0	+243	No	+$12	05-03 18:19
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by march 31	1	$230	244	0	+244	No	+$14	03-03 16:00
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	2	$200	213	0	+213	Yes	+$13	05-22 22:44
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	1	$200	231	0	+231	No	+$31	04-01 17:20
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$197	119	119	+0	Yes	$-13	05-16 22:12
will the spacex starship launch from florida by december 31 2026 20260617154758584	1	$178	254	0	+254	open	—	08-06 04:41
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$171	202	0	+202	No	+$31	03-08 12:31
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	1	$148	168	0	+168	No	+$20	07-11 12:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$135	175	0	+175	No	+$40	04-16 17:43
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	1	$110	123	0	+123	No	+$13	07-19 16:26
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$100	146	0	+146	Yes	+$46	05-15 20:23
will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 15	2	$100	218	0	+218	open	—	08-19 20:01
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 14 516	1	$100	135	0	+135	No	+$35	03-15 10:27
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	2	$100	128	0	+128	Yes	$-47	05-22 23:37
will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	1	$50	106	0	+106	open	—	08-21 16:20
Nothing Ever Happens: April	1	$50	262	0	+262	Something	$-50	04-03 19:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 16:20:15	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xc9488e…
08-19 20:01:48	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 15	No	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0x7bf680…
08-18 19:37:45	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 15	No	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0xc6d89b…
08-06 18:59:20	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	323	68¢	$221	0x426e41…
08-06 18:53:08	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	84	65¢	$55	0x5c0bce…
08-06 04:41:09	will the spacex starship launch from florida by december 31 2026 20260617154758584	No	BUY	254	70¢	$178	0xc88e39…
07-19 16:26:03	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	123	90¢	$110	0xd4eb5e…
07-11 12:57:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	No	BUY	168	88¢	$148	0x7ac54e…
07-11 06:51:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	1,349	11¢	$148	0x1f314a…
06-30 17:24:47	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	373	58¢	$215	0x15b512…
06-28 06:42:14	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	537	44¢	$237	0xd093bd…
06-26 16:52:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x234e39…
06-24 19:41:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x434ed5…
06-21 17:36:08	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb2feaa…
05-28 18:44:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	446	99¢	$443	0xf2e451…
05-23 21:57:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	239	82¢	$196	0x67f990…
05-23 12:07:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	190	95¢	$181	0x4419e9…
05-23 07:03:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x17dad5…
05-22 23:37:01	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x3b0bc0…
05-22 22:48:44	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xbebe49…
05-22 22:44:15	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x26c0e0…
05-22 22:37:22	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xc494de…
05-16 22:12:41	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	77¢	$92	0x5081a9…
05-15 20:26:12	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	88¢	$105	0x430f80…
05-15 20:23:01	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0x564333…
05-13 04:32:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$101	0x97b733…
05-03 18:19:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	138	95¢	$131	0x8259d1…
05-01 08:20:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xfb9c95…
04-16 17:43:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	175	77¢	$135	0x01f11a…
04-03 19:50:45	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	BUY	262	19¢	$50	0x6c2472…
04-01 17:20:35	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	No	BUY	231	87¢	$200	0x490a22…
03-15 10:27:45	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 14 516	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x460a76…
03-08 12:31:25	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	202	85¢	$171	0x7f09e6…
03-03 16:00:31	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by march 31	No	BUY	244	94¢	$230	0x605f7c…