Smoggy-Cosset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$1.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-12 01:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 100% +$1

Other

8% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-03 01:11
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-27 03:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 18?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-18 02:06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	1	$50	50	+50	Yes	+$0	05-08 07:09
ethereum above 1600 on march 3	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-03 02:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-19 06:27
ethereum above 1600 on february 23	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-23 04:05
bitcoin above 64k on february 22	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-22 07:27
will the us next strike iran on january 19 2026 et 726	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	01-19 01:57
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	01-06 02:03
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	01-07 10:27
ethereum above 2200 on april 18	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	04-18 01:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-13 02:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 19?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-20 03:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-04 08:59
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$30	31	+31	open	—	04-08 03:22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	05-09 04:38
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-31 02:23
ethereum above 1900 on march 17	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-17 01:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	05-12 06:47
solana above 70 on february 25	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	02-25 03:32
bitcoin above 62k on april 7	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	04-07 06:25
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-11 08:34
bitcoin above 64k on march 10	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-10 03:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-22 03:03
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	03-30 01:20
ethereum above 1900 on march 16	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	03-16 02:41
bitcoin above 64k on april 5	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	04-05 06:57
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-15 02:32
ethereum above 2900 on january 13	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	01-13 07:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 01:58:10	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe4186e…
06-08 02:11:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7f0ff6…
06-06 10:47:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd5bc45…
06-03 02:05:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xce3d04…
05-29 03:16:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb86bf8…
05-28 07:17:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d5571…
05-26 01:45:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0a1df9…
05-26 01:45:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9eb360…
05-25 01:45:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xadfc0d…
05-22 03:03:33	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf069cd…
05-22 03:03:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x25f2f0…
05-20 03:28:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x767a33…
05-19 06:27:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xae937e…
05-18 02:06:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2c5882…
05-18 02:06:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x43d213…
05-15 03:17:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeac378…
05-15 03:17:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdf2d35…
05-13 02:54:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf611fa…
05-13 02:54:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc6bea7…
05-12 06:47:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc9a96c…
05-10 10:01:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa35ff7…
05-10 10:01:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x02361f…
05-09 04:38:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x34e4f5…
05-08 07:09:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2ae36a…
05-07 07:10:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x667bba…
05-06 07:13:28	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xecce7c…
05-04 08:59:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x608e92…
04-29 07:51:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x587564…
04-28 07:35:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe9f18e…
04-27 02:36:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b670f…
04-26 02:00:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x728ceb…
04-24 02:58:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x69e66e…
04-23 01:29:40	will xrp dip to 1pt35 on april 22	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x935b86…
04-22 01:29:40	bitcoin above 80k on april 22	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd56301…
04-21 04:08:20	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdba09a…
04-18 01:35:06	ethereum above 2200 on april 18	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5aea65…
04-15 02:32:16	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x423ab1…
04-14 08:01:25	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x21fa22…
04-13 02:23:35	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf52aa7…
04-10 02:18:53	ethereum above 2000 on april 10	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4711dd…
04-09 02:19:31	will solana dip to 80 on april 8	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c3fda…
04-08 03:23:35	Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7aa071…
04-08 03:22:37	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x73114c…
04-07 06:25:25	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x73e3e2…
04-05 06:57:49	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x68baf8…
04-04 02:04:57	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0def24…
04-04 02:04:11	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x81362e…
04-03 01:11:39	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xae73f6…
04-01 03:26:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x9f8e96…
04-01 03:23:45	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x36e516…
03-31 02:23:23	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0fde63…
03-30 01:20:06	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x10fc0b…
03-29 02:17:36	bitcoin above 62k on march 29	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8cd1a8…
03-27 08:21:19	hok littea dcg 2026 03 27	LIT Team	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1914dc…
03-26 07:38:07	dota2 yg ivo 2026 03 26	Ivory	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x66816c…
03-25 04:07:41	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xeb17da…
03-24 02:42:45	ethereum above 1800 on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97042d…
03-23 02:06:15	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x89b371…
03-20 03:07:19	cbb penn ill 2026 03 19	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf4e458…
03-20 03:04:27	cbb penn ill 2026 03 19	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6994d2…
03-20 02:59:21	ethereum above 1800 on march 20	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a2e75…
03-20 02:57:39	cbb penn ill 2026 03 19	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcf2fb1…
03-20 02:57:03	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x647100…
03-19 02:50:23	nba lal hou 2026 03 18	Lakers	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa0fcb3…
03-19 02:49:31	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb4c7c2…
03-18 04:44:43	dota2 yg cloudd 2026 03 18	Yangon Galacticos	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6362cf…
03-18 04:44:07	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xff8d99…
03-17 01:23:33	ethereum above 1900 on march 17	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf30c10…
03-16 02:41:55	ethereum above 1900 on march 16	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x577e89…
03-11 08:34:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0882a8…
03-10 03:25:33	bitcoin above 74k on march 10	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4aeaba…
03-10 03:24:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x200336…
03-08 08:16:15	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x93a6c4…
03-07 01:52:49	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 80 99	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x60f073…
03-06 01:53:17	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9ff812…
03-05 03:36:37	ethereum above 1800 on march 5	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd30b36…
03-03 02:10:33	ethereum above 1600 on march 3	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaaa01f…
02-28 03:02:33	will trump post president djt on truth social this week march 8	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8a8916…
02-27 03:17:26	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x34f7ca…
02-25 03:32:18	solana above 70 on february 25	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5b1a43…
02-24 07:28:46	atp manas sakella 2026 02 22	Sakellaridis	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3568ea…
02-23 04:05:32	ethereum above 1600 on february 23	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x298d1d…
02-22 07:27:26	bitcoin above 64k on february 22	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc5dc25…
02-22 07:26:14	bitcoin above 64k on february 22	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf8e640…
02-21 02:45:44	bitcoin above 68k on february 21	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcc08fb…
02-21 02:45:26	bitcoin above 66k on february 21	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfd8c0c…
02-21 02:43:02	nba bkn okc 2026 02 20	Thunder	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe21a6f…
02-12 09:51:33	lol fox1 dnf 2026 02 12	BNK FEARX	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x7cb6b4…
01-31 02:10:04	Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5a68a8…
01-30 02:03:10	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa0724e…
01-29 06:14:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 29	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xee6ffb…
01-26 01:53:50	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2fef00…
01-26 01:52:08	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x84d235…
01-24 08:32:12	will the us strike somalia next 656	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb194eb…
01-23 02:10:04	Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5f5542…
01-23 02:09:40	Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x886393…
01-22 01:36:08	Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3cb9f2…
01-21 01:33:14	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2a0ccc…
01-21 01:33:04	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x937d46…
01-19 01:57:22	will the us next strike iran on january 19 2026 et 726	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xffc7d6…