Virtuous-Shackle — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2.66K

Unrealized P&L

-$373

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved (90d)

409

Trades (90d)

3,997

9,799 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$813.1K

$2.63M lifetime

Avg / trade

$269

Open exposure

$8.71K

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 11-13 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 255 days

Categories

Other

69% 54% -$23,666

Sports

31% 50% -$37,233

Politics

0% 100% +$63

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 215 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$3,600	62¢	$3.1K	-$475	10-23 19:54
Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	+4,400	$2,420	56¢	$2.4K	+$22	11-13 16:00
Chiefs vs. Falcons	Falcons	+6,247	$2,249	38¢	$2.3K	+$94	11-11 04:21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	+2,192	$701	32¢	$712	+$11	11-13 16:44
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	+129	$84	68¢	$87	+$3	11-11 13:24
Will Ruler have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	+255	$33	2¢	$5	-$28	11-01 05:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol tsw tes 2026 07 04	22	$21.5K	28,610	0	+28,610	Team Secret Whales	-$21,529	07-05 05:38
lol jdg wb 2026 03 07	12	$19.8K	35,849	0	+35,849	JD Gaming	+$16,004	03-07 10:05
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	154	$18.3K	27,533	0	+27,533	No	+$9,246	11-03 20:04
lol ns drx 2026 04 11	2	$17.2K	24,627	0	+24,627	Kiwoom DRX	-$17,239	04-11 07:50
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	121	$16.4K	22,481	0	+22,481	Arman Tsarukyan	+$6,070	09-19 20:25
Colts vs. Chiefs	4	$16.3K	22,919	0	+22,919	Chiefs	+$6,647	09-20 20:57
lol gx shft 2026 04 13	6	$15.2K	18,028	0	+18,028	GIANTX	+$2,849	04-12 18:18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	50	$15.0K	71,315	0	+71,315	Yes	-$14,973	10-17 14:20
nhl las wpg 2026 03 24 spread away 1pt5	5	$13.9K	20,494	0	+20,494	Jets	+$6,558	03-24 22:37
cs2 fut m80 2026 03 01	25	$13.6K	27,648	1,809	+25,839	FUT Esports	-$12,335	03-01 17:56
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	26	$13.3K	15,000	5,000	+10,000	Argentina	-$11,560	07-07 17:40
mlb col lad 2026 07 06	3	$12.6K	18,391	0	+18,391	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$5,756	07-07 05:05
ufc mic4 dre 2026 03 07	14	$12.6K	20,557	0	+20,557	Drew Dober	+$7,988	03-08 02:39
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?	6	$12.6K	30,638	0	+30,638	No	+$18,076	10-25 05:46
Bills vs. Rams	3	$12.5K	20,550	0	+20,550	Bills	-$12,536	10-13 00:16
nba tor lac 2026 03 25	2	$12.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	Clippers	+$0	03-26 02:21
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	70	$12.4K	21,806	21,806	+0	Belgium	-$11,178	07-07 01:40
ufc fel6 ed 2026 02 28	5	$12.1K	16,636	0	+16,636	Cháirez	+$4,492	02-27 22:23
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	80	$12.1K	15,680	0	+15,680	Gen.G	+$3,606	10-23 08:22
codmw tor tex 2026 03 22	7	$11.6K	16,605	0	+16,605	OpTic Texas	+$5,036	03-22 22:05
lol kt dk 2026 06 07	6	$11.1K	23,643	0	+23,643	KT Rolster	+$12,531	06-06 22:40
lol g2 tsw 2026 03 16	9	$10.9K	12,950	0	+12,950	G2 Esports	+$2,097	03-11 08:25
lol t1 hle1 2026 04 04	11	$10.8K	21,726	0	+21,726	T1	+$10,916	04-04 08:04
ufc dan6 salpar 2026 09 05	2	$10.8K	13,469	0	+13,469	Salahdine Parnasse	+$2,694	09-05 09:58
cs2 fal2 g2 2026 06 11	5	$10.6K	16,919	0	+16,919	Team Falcons	+$6,364	06-11 14:06
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	59	$10.5K	19,370	0	+19,370	Over	-$10,460	06-23 09:40
codmw van c9ny 2026 03 06	4	$10.3K	14,465	0	+14,465	Vancouver Surge	+$4,195	03-03 08:52
codmw faz g2m 2026 07 16	8	$10.2K	14,642	0	+14,642	FaZe Vegas	+$4,396	07-16 19:52
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	2	$10.0K	12,500	0	+12,500	Under	+$2,500	06-23 08:11
lol tsw tes 2026 07 04 game2	13	$10.0K	7,777	5,000	+2,777	Top Esports	+$778	07-05 04:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 16:44:54	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc04437…
11-13 16:40:15	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x9d0467…
11-13 16:06:36	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x0a2202…
11-13 16:00:58	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	1,789	55¢	$984	0xddba20…
11-13 15:58:43	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x8b5e27…
11-13 15:51:25	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xe5f274…
11-13 15:46:34	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0x2f5e7f…
11-13 15:34:42	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x3c3f70…
11-13 15:33:13	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x1de3d1…
11-13 15:28:52	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0x51ff58…
11-13 15:27:49	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x52fad5…
11-13 15:22:43	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x243e54…
11-13 15:21:48	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa32146…
11-13 15:15:24	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x684094…
11-13 15:15:10	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0x8d1534…
11-13 15:10:21	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	44	32¢	$14	0x23774c…
11-13 15:03:58	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xfe5207…
11-13 14:57:33	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xb97c59…
11-13 14:53:46	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4be1e4…
11-13 14:51:28	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xa22a7d…
11-13 14:49:13	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0xb902dd…
11-13 14:37:07	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x73dec8…
11-13 14:34:21	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x4cc876…
11-13 14:34:16	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xc826ae…
11-13 14:33:24	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	1,029	55¢	$566	0x2402b7…
11-13 14:19:49	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x4c7617…
11-13 14:15:34	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xdad40f…
11-13 14:11:15	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf0039c…
11-13 14:10:52	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x70e9a9…
11-13 13:59:19	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	107	55¢	$59	0x9eb253…
11-13 13:56:48	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	67	55¢	$37	0x8ff1ed…
11-13 13:43:03	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	81	32¢	$26	0x17e535…
11-13 13:30:12	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa18a1e…
11-13 13:29:58	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1b8205…
11-13 13:23:51	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x722ceb…
11-13 13:18:28	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0x90c2b1…
11-13 12:59:40	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x45b5de…
11-13 12:55:10	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2c5433…
11-13 12:46:52	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	111	55¢	$61	0xdd27f0…
11-13 12:41:22	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe85973…
11-13 12:25:13	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x42316b…
11-13 12:19:24	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x01c677…
11-13 12:19:22	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xb8aa98…
11-13 12:19:09	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x9513d7…
11-13 12:19:07	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	441	32¢	$141	0x867126…
11-13 12:13:03	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x1d8b44…
11-13 12:13:01	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x05c8b6…
11-13 12:11:10	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3344bc…
11-13 11:52:06	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x18bdff…
11-13 11:52:00	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xae8fad…
11-13 11:47:43	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	48	55¢	$26	0x9c902d…
11-13 11:25:33	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x1840b6…
11-13 11:05:54	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xa08c72…
11-13 10:57:51	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x373844…
11-13 10:53:28	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x5e3018…
11-13 10:40:57	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x2f8c0d…
11-13 10:37:25	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	111	55¢	$61	0x2982ea…
11-13 10:37:01	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	62	55¢	$34	0xae1f7a…
11-13 10:29:51	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3e260c…
11-13 10:27:57	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x942ac2…
11-13 10:26:48	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	123	55¢	$68	0x2a2b5e…
11-13 10:23:49	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x3fc823…
11-13 10:22:30	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x45d870…
11-13 10:19:06	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x1a3fdc…
11-13 10:18:37	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0af519…
11-13 10:07:18	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x7c1724…
11-13 10:07:15	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x371d36…
11-13 09:59:48	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	111	55¢	$61	0x3e93b4…
11-13 09:47:07	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xcc2b97…
11-13 09:28:33	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x62338f…
11-13 09:08:04	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xde6c28…
11-13 09:07:55	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xb7cceb…
11-13 08:44:27	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	190	55¢	$105	0xc774db…
11-13 06:51:09	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6a5d56…
11-13 04:05:27	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	70	32¢	$22	0x40d962…
11-13 04:03:00	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x8e6f7a…
11-13 01:49:58	Spread: Blues (-1.5)	Utah	BUY	752	68¢	$512	0xc65dbc…
11-13 01:49:58	Spread: Blues (-1.5)	Utah	BUY	3,038	68¢	$2,066	0x55ef91…
11-13 01:49:57	Spread: Blues (-1.5)	Utah	BUY	2,348	68¢	$1,596	0xa92dc6…
11-13 01:14:43	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf2dbbe…
11-13 01:14:34	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x8fae4f…
11-13 01:14:28	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x09d0c8…
11-13 01:14:15	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	57	47¢	$27	0xdf5ecb…
11-13 01:13:52	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x040bae…
11-13 01:13:43	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5238a8…
11-13 01:13:37	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc5493c…
11-13 01:13:37	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x515722…
11-13 01:13:37	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4154c3…
11-13 01:13:31	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1a3eb4…
11-13 01:13:28	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdbd164…
11-13 01:13:22	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb6a1c1…
11-13 01:13:21	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf2fb3f…
11-13 01:12:52	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5f06d7…
11-13 01:12:48	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x2d4c54…
11-13 01:12:40	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdb72b0…
11-13 01:12:27	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	186	47¢	$87	0xe5138b…
11-13 01:12:09	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3a2871…
11-13 01:12:06	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9118ed…
11-13 01:12:06	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0876e6…
11-13 01:12:03	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7d93b2…