Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$94

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-19

last 11-01 12:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

84% 56% +$2

Politics

13% 58% $0

Tech

3% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will hood dip to 97 50 by august 31 2026	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	09-01 02:51
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	2	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$1	08-20 19:13
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 05:55
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 14:08
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-24 03:39
will msft reach 502 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-23 19:39
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-07 23:36
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	11-01 12:10
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 16:11
will ewy dip to 181 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-27 21:47
will nvda reach 224 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-13 21:12
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-16 01:51
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in September?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-24 03:39
spy up or down on october 1 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$2	10-01 16:54
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-25 22:15
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-18 20:20
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 19:05
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-20 00:51
wti up or down on september 25 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Down	-$1	09-25 14:11
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 11:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	1	$1	4	+4	Up	-$1	10-02 09:55
will ewy dip to 184 by october 5 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$2	10-05 14:15
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-07 16:33
will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-30 23:38
will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-14 23:57
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-18 20:31
will tsla reach 390 by october 5 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-05 02:05
will ng dip to 2 90 by september 28 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-28 18:02
spx up or down on october 14 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	10-14 03:01
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-08 00:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:10:58	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9c1173…
10-21 21:20:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x13b46b…
10-21 12:55:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x850dda…
10-21 04:34:38	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xac5267…
10-18 20:20:27	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1eab2a…
10-18 12:04:54	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x96be97…
10-18 00:13:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf3a7e6…
10-17 16:11:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6e6466…
10-16 12:57:48	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x41f287…
10-16 01:51:01	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe1d969…
10-15 16:53:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbd0f6b…
10-15 08:32:04	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd2d7bb…
10-14 23:57:54	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x541de6…
10-14 03:01:55	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x05dbfc…
10-11 06:39:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0aa282…
10-10 21:49:18	Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc59ae6…
10-10 13:41:54	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x159f28…
10-08 07:44:37	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5e20b9…
10-07 23:36:55	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2e97a4…
10-06 14:36:51	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd98d1c…
10-06 06:30:01	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0209a1…
10-05 22:28:55	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xef4a43…
10-05 14:15:20	will ewy dip to 184 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7e9ab6…
10-05 02:05:20	will tsla reach 390 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe93463…
10-04 18:05:16	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc8817f…
10-02 09:55:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x58688e…
10-01 16:54:20	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6441b2…
10-01 08:51:24	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa3b64f…
09-30 23:38:41	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4cb0e3…
09-29 10:53:08	spy up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7a6e76…
09-29 02:52:26	will openais valuation hit high 975b by september 30 20260829011000014	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x27a31e…
09-28 18:02:41	will ng dip to 2 90 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4098fa…
09-28 05:47:20	will googl reach 345 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa331cd…
09-27 21:47:12	will ewy dip to 181 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd9761a…
09-27 06:05:24	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x989491…
09-26 07:53:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf6db76…
09-25 22:15:42	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe3cadc…
09-25 14:11:30	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x71fd10…
09-25 02:57:06	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x206d18…
09-24 03:39:28	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0799dc…
09-24 03:39:22	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe43e19…
09-23 19:39:13	will msft reach 502 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8a403c…
09-23 11:31:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb253d9…
09-22 14:51:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x162ea3…
09-22 06:47:10	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0b0c33…
09-21 22:21:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7f901d…
09-21 14:20:51	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbe8cef…
09-21 06:10:31	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9743e1…
09-20 21:50:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf604bd…
09-20 00:51:31	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc62a76…
09-19 05:55:57	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe8863e…
09-18 20:31:46	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x00d8bb…
09-18 00:08:15	spy closes above 765 on september 18 2026	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe0c7ac…
09-17 11:37:52	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x049e11…
09-17 02:12:00	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x77d8fb…
09-16 18:11:49	spy up or down on september 16 2026	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc3a76d…
09-16 10:10:25	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xce1dd0…
09-16 02:09:54	Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x57ad52…
09-14 05:13:19	will hood reach 120 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xef70ef…
09-13 21:12:37	will nvda reach 224 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x514fb9…
09-11 07:18:37	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2b6a87…
09-10 22:42:04	will nvda reach 220 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x99dde1…
09-10 22:40:42	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x08a119…
09-10 14:08:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf8413c…
09-10 05:25:46	will wti dip to 95 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x360564…
09-09 19:05:22	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcc12b1…
09-09 11:01:24	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa29c50…
09-09 02:08:55	spy up or down on september 9 2026	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3e35fe…
09-08 14:34:42	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9bdd48…
09-08 00:37:16	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5dbaec…
09-07 16:33:49	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa823c4…
09-01 10:55:10	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x64a608…
09-01 02:51:36	will hood dip to 97 50 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x859080…
09-01 02:51:31	will hood dip to 97 50 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5acc75…
09-01 02:51:12	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x09f1f6…
08-31 18:50:24	will xagusd reach 68 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8aad73…
08-31 10:50:02	will ewy reach 184 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3d547c…
08-30 11:30:40	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1f8597…
08-30 02:30:07	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xffbb41…
08-29 18:21:55	will spy reach 770 in august 2026 from august 29	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf96843…
08-29 10:20:31	will xagusd dip to 66 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x083d97…
08-28 23:18:15	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xacc1e9…
08-28 03:16:31	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8e82c3…
08-25 05:44:13	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3e4a93…
08-24 21:41:46	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8fa52d…
08-24 01:40:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x26a69c…
08-24 01:28:27	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5e915f…
08-23 07:26:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe06cbe…
08-21 16:00:15	will warsh say regime during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1cb15c…
08-21 03:14:30	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x55fbd8…
08-20 19:13:03	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6b4b6b…
08-20 18:44:34	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc16bca…
08-20 03:00:57	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdf6be8…
08-19 12:48:15	will warsh say challenge during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x71bc73…