Dangerous-Fraction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

305

lifetime

Volume

$4.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-11 18:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-9

Politics

21% — —

Crypto

15% — —

Sports

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	2	$375	305	305	+0	open	—	06-05 11:59
will dan ndoye score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$331	225	225	+0	open	—	06-11 18:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$306	616	616	+0	open	—	05-10 20:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$276	431	431	+0	open	—	05-28 02:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	17	$229	505	505	+0	open	—	05-08 17:30
will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	2	$192	167	167	+0	open	—	06-06 07:38
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$189	123	123	+0	open	—	06-02 23:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	4	$167	226	226	+0	open	—	05-08 18:25
ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	3	$164	270	270	+0	open	—	06-07 04:30
ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	2	$161	133	133	+0	open	—	06-07 06:32
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$158	330	330	+0	open	—	05-08 17:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$154	177	177	+0	open	—	05-10 01:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	7	$136	323	323	+0	open	—	05-09 05:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$127	240	240	+0	open	—	05-08 04:41
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 29 2026 21corbelow	11	$124	2,902	2,902	+0	open	—	03-29 02:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	5	$106	118	118	+0	open	—	05-09 23:37
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	2	$93	96	96	+0	open	—	05-12 14:22
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	2	$92	82	82	+0	open	—	05-12 01:52
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	2	$91	65	65	+0	open	—	06-04 16:55
highest temperature in singapore on march 30 2026 31c	16	$89	150	200	-50	open	—	03-30 01:01
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$66	135	135	+0	open	—	05-08 04:00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	2	$66	56	56	+0	open	—	05-08 14:04
highest temperature in paris on march 29 2026 12c	7	$64	51	51	+0	open	—	03-29 22:49
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	3	$54	122	122	+0	open	—	05-02 01:39
Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$54	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 00:42
highest temperature in singapore on march 29 2026 32c	3	$47	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 00:19
highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 11c	7	$43	41	41	+0	open	—	03-29 09:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$42	103	103	+0	No	$-1	05-06 01:57
highest temperature in milan on march 29 2026 17c	4	$41	49	49	+0	open	—	03-29 04:36
highest temperature in munich on march 29 2026 6c	6	$40	62	62	+0	open	—	03-29 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 18:50:34	will dan ndoye score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	225	73¢	$164	0x7a01b7…
06-11 18:50:22	will dan ndoye score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	225	74¢	$166	0x839d9d…
06-07 06:32:39	ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	No	SELL	133	55¢	$73	0x19a34e…
06-07 06:32:30	ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	No	BUY	133	66¢	$88	0x1c776b…
06-07 04:30:51	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	SELL	73	14¢	$10	0xf76fcb…
06-07 04:30:42	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	SELL	197	30¢	$60	0xacd847…
06-07 04:30:37	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	BUY	270	35¢	$94	0x62abcd…
06-06 07:38:39	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	167	57¢	$95	0xa958d4…
06-06 07:38:30	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	167	58¢	$97	0x95c2e1…
06-05 11:59:31	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	305	61¢	$186	0xae0689…
06-05 11:59:15	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	305	62¢	$189	0xed48d3…
06-04 16:55:13	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	65	70¢	$45	0xad0737…
06-04 16:55:07	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	65	71¢	$46	0x6b4187…
06-04 08:52:09	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x4a46a4…
06-04 08:51:58	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xef7bae…
06-02 23:36:43	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	123	77¢	$95	0x265b51…
06-02 23:36:37	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	123	77¢	$95	0x41ac74…
05-28 02:54:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	431	31¢	$134	0x07413c…
05-28 02:54:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	431	33¢	$142	0x596da6…
05-12 14:22:44	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	SELL	96	47¢	$45	0x4af86f…
05-12 14:22:32	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	BUY	96	50¢	$48	0x2f1f27…
05-12 01:52:06	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	No	SELL	82	54¢	$44	0xcb7242…
05-12 01:51:56	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	No	BUY	82	58¢	$48	0x3c4149…
05-10 20:13:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	398	19¢	$76	0xa62904…
05-10 20:12:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	398	25¢	$100	0x12568d…
05-10 01:34:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	177	42¢	$74	0xfd04a5…
05-10 01:34:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	177	45¢	$80	0xbecbd8…
05-09 23:37:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0x712480…
05-09 23:36:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	49	50¢	$25	0xa278e1…
05-09 23:36:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	67	53¢	$36	0xe282e3…
05-09 05:10:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x02167e…
05-09 05:10:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	20¢	$11	0xabb665…
05-09 05:10:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x561e21…
05-09 05:09:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x614027…
05-09 05:09:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	19¢	$25	0x904e61…
05-09 05:09:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	19¢	$11	0x7183d5…
05-09 05:09:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	323	23¢	$74	0x6db088…
05-09 03:27:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	218	30¢	$65	0xd4562f…
05-09 03:27:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	218	30¢	$65	0xb51bac…
05-08 18:25:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x2a83c6…
05-08 18:01:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	225	36¢	$81	0x81f88f…
05-08 18:00:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	154	38¢	$59	0xa5a0e0…
05-08 18:00:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	72	38¢	$27	0x7b699a…
05-08 17:30:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	104	16¢	$17	0x541f8f…
05-08 17:30:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	168	17¢	$29	0x93f75e…
05-08 17:30:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0xfa7df9…
05-08 17:30:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	285	23¢	$66	0xef3ee3…
05-08 17:05:51	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	330	22¢	$73	0x3bf5e5…
05-08 17:05:37	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	330	26¢	$86	0x6d0d33…
05-08 14:33:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	51	37¢	$19	0x466ac7…
05-08 14:33:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xb7cd9c…
05-08 14:04:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	SELL	56	58¢	$32	0x44d348…
05-08 14:04:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	56	59¢	$33	0x72e0d4…
05-08 04:41:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	240	26¢	$62	0xf2f967…
05-08 04:41:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	240	27¢	$65	0xd4edef…
05-08 04:00:28	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	135	23¢	$31	0xc33383…
05-08 04:00:14	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0xba2b01…
05-08 02:40:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	26¢	$51	0xf278c4…
05-08 02:40:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xb0aa5d…
05-08 02:40:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x655dcb…
05-08 02:40:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	26¢	$8	0x283a16…
05-08 02:40:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xd215ed…
05-08 02:40:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xbf85cb…
05-08 02:40:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xbf7639…
05-08 02:40:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xad4637…
05-08 02:40:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x3fa628…
05-08 02:40:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x1a9ce6…
05-08 02:40:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	74	26¢	$19	0x17d4e7…
05-08 00:36:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x8033ca…
05-08 00:36:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb6dcfd…
05-07 11:07:32	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	32	37¢	$12	0x726ced…
05-07 11:07:20	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x553c78…
05-06 01:57:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	20¢	$21	0x348121…
05-06 01:56:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	21¢	$22	0x7bed9a…
05-05 14:05:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	30¢	$15	0x4259ee…
05-05 14:05:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	33¢	$17	0xd4b2a9…
05-04 16:05:36	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0xc9cca6…
05-04 16:05:20	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0xacae68…
05-04 10:46:04	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x0878f0…
05-04 10:45:46	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xa7fe7f…
05-04 10:45:32	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x5fe4a4…
05-04 00:42:30	Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	33	81¢	$27	0xd4d7c4…
05-04 00:42:24	Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	33	81¢	$27	0xa9f31e…
05-03 13:03:54	Will Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	45	8¢	$4	0x4d7b91…
05-03 13:03:44	Will Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0x186a17…
05-03 13:03:28	Will Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	87	10¢	$9	0x933cc4…
05-03 06:11:46	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	91	12¢	$11	0xf80475…
05-03 06:11:32	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	91	13¢	$12	0x77bb38…
05-03 02:10:08	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	148	2¢	$3	0xaf0115…
05-03 02:09:44	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	148	11¢	$16	0x9093f4…
05-03 00:20:24	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	38¢	$9	0xc58f7a…
05-03 00:20:16	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x6f0c94…
05-03 00:08:34	Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x4db8c6…
05-03 00:08:22	Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x563884…
05-02 18:41:40	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0xf4a881…
05-02 18:41:28	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x9b0b0b…
05-02 18:41:18	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0xf35ca7…
05-02 17:49:30	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x311e50…
05-02 17:49:28	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xe967e4…
05-02 15:26:54	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x1d36b6…