Realized P&L
-$673
Unrealized P&L
-$70
Hit rate
59.9%
Resolved
300
Trades
436
lifetime
Volume
$6.65K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$152
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 11-01 17:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
77% 30% -$493
Sports
10% 49% +$108
Crypto
8% 28% -$128
Politics
4% 7% -$143
Tech
1% 40% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +40 $20 46¢ $19 -$1 10-01 16:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +56 $10 30¢ $17 +$7 08-23 19:20
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +370 $50 4¢ $17 -$33 06-24 05:51
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +14 $10 91¢ $12 +$2 09-27 07:05
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +29 $10 40¢ $11 +$1 07-20 21:07
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +45 $10 22¢ $10 +$0 10-26 12:46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +476 $10 2¢ $10 $0 11-03 14:19
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +270 $10 4¢ $10 $0 11-03 14:19
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +43 $10 18¢ $8 -$2 08-23 19:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +2,000 $10 0¢ $7 -$3 09-22 10:04
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 09-27 07:04
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +805 $20 1¢ $6 -$14 10-26 12:49
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +12 $5 51¢ $6 +$1 10-26 12:42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +750 $15 1¢ $6 -$9 06-22 13:23
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +147 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 09-27 07:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +32 $6 6¢ $2 -$4 06-14 12:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +294 $10 1¢ $2 -$8 09-22 10:04
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 No +10 $5 12¢ $1 -$4 09-27 07:13
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +6 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-13 21:32